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MAISA North Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 14 9 23
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 18 28
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 18 11 29
4 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 30 29 59
5 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 27 36 63
6 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 41 35 76
7 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 45 52 97
8 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 51 52 103
9 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 52 51 103
10 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 46 68 114
11 University of Ottawa University of Ottawa uOttawa sailing 69 62 131
12 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 79 55 134
13 Gannon University Gannon University Knights 67 82 149
14 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 81 70 151
15 University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue 96 96 192
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 1 1 3 1 1 10 Alecsander Tayler '17
Katherine Jones '18
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 3 4 1 3 2 14 Greiner Hobbs '18
Anna Flaherty '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 4 3 2 2 3 18 Connor Kelter '18
Julie Barbera '17
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 2 5 9 5 4 27 John Lawless '19
Morgan Forde '20
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 6 5 6 4 4 5 30 Matti Muru '20
Max Willms '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 5 11 2 7 10 6 41 Zane Tinnell '20 [1-6]
Taylor Reiss '18 [1-4]
Declan Gaylo '19 [5-6]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 9 7 6 8 8 45 Adam Devita '18
Elizabeth Keeney '19
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 9 7 8 5 7 10 46 Rory Mess '16
Teresa Dirado '17
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 8 6 11 8 9 9 51 Tyler Rochon '18
James Emery '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 11 8 9 11 6 7 52 Zachary Warner '19
Diego Becerra '21
Gannon University Gannon University Knights 10 10 13 10 13 11 67 Michal Szelwach '19 [1-6]
Emily Stroh '20 [1-4]
Stephen Knouse '19 [5-6]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa uOttawa sailing 12 12 10 12 11 12 69 Karina Desrosiers '18
Victor Courarie- Delage '17
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 14 14 12 13 12 14 79 Matthew Nelson '17 [1-2]
Christian Langalis '17 [3-6]
Alison Hogue '18 [1-2]
Ally Diwik '20 [3-6]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 13 13 14 14 14 13 81 Jennifer Suter '19
Danielle Jordan '17
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 96 Evan Fitzgerald '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 1 1 2 1 2 9 Charles Miller '19
Maya Weber '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 2 3 1 3 1 11 Clark Uhl '19
Diana Otis '19
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 3 2 3 2 4 18 Roberto Stevens '19
Cortney Rielly '20
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 3 4 7 6 4 5 29 Michael Montagnese '20
Iain Doran-Des Brisay '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 8 7 4 4 5 7 35 Alex Dzinbal '17
Muriel Weathers '19
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 9 5 5 8 6 3 36 Arthur Libby '17 [1-4]
Andreas Adam '18 [5-6]
Macy Blakeley '20 [1-4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 5 9 6 13 10 8 51 Henry Sanders '18 [1-2, 5-6]
John Colby '20 [3-4]
Daniel Piccininni '17 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 7 6 10 10 7 12 52 Sean Kilcullen '20
Kelly Chang '17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 11 8 9 7 8 9 52 Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-4]
Calvin Tong '19 [5-6]
Bailey Fryer '18 [1-4]
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 10 10 11 9 9 6 55 Bryn Clark '20
Anna Conway '17
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa uOttawa sailing 6 13 12 5 13 13 62 Brian Rebec '17
Valerie Robichaud '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 12 11 13 11 11 10 68 Emily Hann '17
Lauren Abbondondolo '18
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 13 12 8 14 12 11 70 Matthew Morris '17
Carolyn Weiler '20
Gannon University Gannon University Knights 14 14 14 12 14 14 82 Andrea Swagler '17 [1-2]
Katherine Hanna '17 [3-6]
Katherine Hanna '17 [1-2]
Andrea Swagler '17 [3-6]
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 96 Evan Fitzgerald '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights101012121414
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls111113131515
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders113355
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions224466
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red335577
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams446688
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights557799
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66881010
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers8810101212
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa uOttawa sailing1212141411
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels77991111
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets1313151522
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange9911111313
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue14141133
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers15152244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights111113131515
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1212141411
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders224466
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions335577
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red446688
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights66881010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77991111
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers9911111313
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa uOttawa sailing1313151522
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels8810101212
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets14141133
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange101012121414
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue15152244
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Colgate University Colgate University Matthew Nelson '17 [1-2]
Christian Langalis '17 [3-6]		 Alison Hogue '18 [1-2]
Ally Diwik '20 [3-6]
Raiders Bryn Clark '20 Anna Conway '17
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 Elizabeth Keeney '19
Lions Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-4]
Calvin Tong '19 [5-6]		 Bailey Fryer '18 [1-4]
Cornell University Cornell University Connor Kelter '18 Julie Barbera '17
Big Red Clark Uhl '19 Diana Otis '19
Fordham University Fordham University Alecsander Tayler '17 Katherine Jones '18
Rams Roberto Stevens '19 Cortney Rielly '20
Gannon University Gannon University Michal Szelwach '19 [1-6] Emily Stroh '20 [1-4]
Stephen Knouse '19 [5-6]
Knights Andrea Swagler '17 [1-2]
Katherine Hanna '17 [3-6]		 Katherine Hanna '17 [1-2]
Andrea Swagler '17 [3-6]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Greiner Hobbs '18 Anna Flaherty '20
Statesmen Charles Miller '19 Maya Weber '20
Queen's University Queen's University Matti Muru '20 Max Willms '20
Gaels Michael Montagnese '20 Iain Doran-Des Brisay '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College John Lawless '19 Morgan Forde '20
Privateers Arthur Libby '17 [1-4]
Andreas Adam '18 [5-6]		 Macy Blakeley '20 [1-4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Zachary Warner '19 Diego Becerra '21
Orange Henry Sanders '18 [1-2, 5-6]
John Colby '20 [3-4]		 Daniel Piccininni '17 [1-2, 5-6]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Jennifer Suter '19 Danielle Jordan '17
Black Knights Matthew Morris '17 Carolyn Weiler '20
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Rory Mess '16 Teresa Dirado '17
Bulls Emily Hann '17 Lauren Abbondondolo '18
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa Karina Desrosiers '18 Victor Courarie- Delage '17
uOttawa sailing Brian Rebec '17 Valerie Robichaud '18
University of Rochester University of Rochester Tyler Rochon '18 James Emery '18
Yellowjackets Sean Kilcullen '20 Kelly Chang '17
University of Toronto University of Toronto Evan Fitzgerald '17
True Blue Evan Fitzgerald '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Zane Tinnell '20 [1-6] Taylor Reiss '18 [1-4]
Declan Gaylo '19 [5-6]
Clippers Alex Dzinbal '17 Muriel Weathers '19

Conditions — 09/24/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From N (358°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1023.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hobart & William Sm: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.33 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →