2017 Sugar Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 30 22 52
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 20 34 54
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 23 33 56
4 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 36 22 58
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 32 42 74
6 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 35 44 79
7 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 40 53 93
8 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 38 61 99
9 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 62 40 102
10 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 70 44 114
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 3 2 3 3 1 3 5 20 Megan Ploch '21
Hannah Gersch '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 7 5 2 2 2 4 1 23 Lane Tobin '18
Sidney Thompson '18
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 5 3 1 8 6 1 6 30 Ryan Clulo '18
Makena Walsh '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 1 8 4 1 7 8 3 32 Darby Reddaway '19
Matthew Dalton '20
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 4 7 5 4 5 2 8 35 Lindsey Clark '20 [1-7]
Sydney Eger '20 [1-6]
Halle Imm '21 [7]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 6 1 7 6 9 5 2 36 David Graf '19 [1-7]
William Hoover '20 [1-4]
Leland Van Deventer '20 [5-6]
Kevin Conrad '19 [7]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 9 4 6 5 3 7 4 38 Colton Gerber '18
Patrick Ryan '20
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 2 6 8 7 4 6 7 40 Mary Berg '20
Sophia Ricker '19
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 8 9 10 9 8 9 9 62 Jordan Johnson '18
Cheyenne Christy '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 10 10 9 10 10 10 DNS 70 Megan Carugati '19 [1-7]
Christopher Helms '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Everett Wainright '19 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 3 2 6 1 6 3 22 Malcolm Kriegel '18
Grace Bloomfield '19
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 3 1 3 4 3 4 4 22 Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-7]
Olivia Menzia '19 [1-6]
Grant Younger '18 [7]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 2 2 4 1 4 9 DNF 33 Hannah Thayer '20
Sofia Gambini '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 5 4 10 2 7 5 1 34 Maggie Royal '20
Zoe Genet '21
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 4 6 8 10 2 8 2 40 Maria Canovas Gonzalez '19 [1-7]
Marissa Thelen '19 [1-2, 5-6]
David Harlin '21 [3-4, 7]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 8 7 1 5 8 2 DNF 42 David Sutton '19 [1-2, 7]
Leigh Collier '19 [3-6]
Ledyard Mcfadden '21 [1-2, 7]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 6 9 9 7 6 1 6 44 Carson Pepper '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Gabby Spring '20 [3-4]
Riley Hoofard '21 [1-2]
Carson Pepper '17 [3-4]
Amelia Knapp '21 [5-6]
Gabby Spring '20 [7]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 9 8 6 8 5 3 5 44 Learon Mcginn '19 [1-7]
Karaline Black '20 [1-6]
Claire Heneghan '19 [7]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 7 5 5 9 9 7 DNF 53 Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-7]
Lily Zechiel '21 [1-2, 7]
Katherine Robinson '19 [3-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 10 10 7 3 10 10 DNF 61 Graham Eger '19
Max Ellsworth '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos8866442
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 11133557
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2221010886
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 13355779
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 2442210108
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 19911335
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2101088664
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies5577991
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave7799113
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave Women66442210

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos7755331
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 12244668
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 21199775
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 144668810
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 23311997
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 1101022446
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 29977553
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies668810102
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave881010224
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave Women5533119
School / Team SkipperCrew
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Darby Reddaway '19 Matthew Dalton '20
Yellow Jackets 1 David Sutton '19 [1-2, 7]
Leigh Collier '19 [3-6]
Ledyard Mcfadden '21 [1-2, 7]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Megan Ploch '21 Hannah Gersch '19
Yellow Jackets 2 Maggie Royal '20 Zoe Genet '21
Marquette University Marquette University Ryan Clulo '18 Makena Walsh '21
Golden Eagles 1 Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-7] Olivia Menzia '19 [1-6]
Grant Younger '18 [7]
Marquette University Marquette University Lindsey Clark '20 [1-7] Sydney Eger '20 [1-6]
Halle Imm '21 [7]
Golden Eagles 2 Learon Mcginn '19 [1-7] Karaline Black '20 [1-6]
Claire Heneghan '19 [7]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Megan Carugati '19 [1-7] Christopher Helms '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Everett Wainright '19 [3-4]
Aggies Carson Pepper '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Gabby Spring '20 [3-4]
Riley Hoofard '21 [1-2]
Carson Pepper '17 [3-4]
Amelia Knapp '21 [5-6]
Gabby Spring '20 [7]
Tulane University Tulane University David Graf '19 [1-7] William Hoover '20 [1-4]
Leland Van Deventer '20 [5-6]
Kevin Conrad '19 [7]
Green Wave Malcolm Kriegel '18 Grace Bloomfield '19
Tulane University Tulane University Mary Berg '20 Sophia Ricker '19
Green Wave Women Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-7] Lily Zechiel '21 [1-2, 7]
Katherine Robinson '19 [3-6]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Jordan Johnson '18 Cheyenne Christy '19
Bronchos Maria Canovas Gonzalez '19 [1-7] Marissa Thelen '19 [1-2, 5-6]
David Harlin '21 [3-4, 7]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Colton Gerber '18 Patrick Ryan '20
Wolverines 1 Graham Eger '19 Max Ellsworth '21
University of Michigan University of Michigan Lane Tobin '18 Sidney Thompson '18
Wolverines 2 Hannah Thayer '20 Sofia Gambini '19

Conditions — 12/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From E (100°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · N 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.34 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →