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Cascadia Cup GOLD

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 12 7 19
2 Beavers Beavers Beavers 16 20 36
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 21 20 41
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 1 28 14 42
5 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 22 34 56
6 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 2 35 34 69
7 Ducks Ducks Ducks 34 39 73
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 6 1 1 1 2 12 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
Beavers Beavers Beavers 3 1 4 3 2 3 16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 7 5 3 1 21 Chloe Dawson '20
Camille Ottaway '20
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 6 2 2 2 4 6 22 Sean Grealish '21
Arthur Jenkins '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 1 5 7 3 4 5 4 28 Joseph Gustafson '18 [1, 3, 5]
Gabrielle Savage '18 [2, 4, 6]
Elmeri Hakkinen '18 [1, 3, 5]
Eleanor Hawkins '19 [2, 4, 6]
Ducks Ducks Ducks 7 4 6 6 6 5 34
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 2 4 5 5 7 7 7 35 Jenny Dinwoodie '19 [1, 3, 5]
Aidan Chiu '21 [2, 4, 6]
Natalie Benoit '20 [1, 3, 5]
Julian Deggan '19 [2, 4, 6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 Connor Hughes '19 [1-4]
Erik Skeel '20 [5-6]
Bekah Ashpole '18 [1-4]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 1 3 2 4 2 2 1 14 Richard Minielly '20 [1, 3, 5]
Laura Stewart '17 [2, 4, 6]
Matthew Goguen '20 [1, 3, 5]
Mary Kristen '20 [2, 4, 6]
Beavers Beavers Beavers 2 5 3 4 3 3 20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 3 2 3 4 4 20 Ezekiel Ward '20
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 2 5 6 5 6 5 7 34 Andrew Futcher '20 [1, 3, 5]
Margaret Joba-Woodruff '20 [2, 4, 6]
Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19 [1, 3, 5]
Molly Voltz '20 [2, 4, 6]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 7 4 7 5 6 5 34 Arthur Jenkins '19
Anny Schmidt '21
Ducks Ducks Ducks 6 7 6 7 7 6 39
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 1808080808080
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 2818181818181
DucksDucks Ducks747474747474
BeaversBeavers Beavers757575757575
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers183118311831183118311831
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies121212121212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878787878787

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 1808080808080
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 2818181818181
DucksDucks Ducks747474747474
BeaversBeavers Beavers757575757575
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers183118311831183118311831
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies121212121212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878787878787
School / Team SkipperCrew
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Joseph Gustafson '18 [1, 3, 5]
Gabrielle Savage '18 [2, 4, 6]		 Elmeri Hakkinen '18 [1, 3, 5]
Eleanor Hawkins '19 [2, 4, 6]
UBC Thunderbirds SC 1 Richard Minielly '20 [1, 3, 5]
Laura Stewart '17 [2, 4, 6]		 Matthew Goguen '20 [1, 3, 5]
Mary Kristen '20 [2, 4, 6]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Jenny Dinwoodie '19 [1, 3, 5]
Aidan Chiu '21 [2, 4, 6]		 Natalie Benoit '20 [1, 3, 5]
Julian Deggan '19 [2, 4, 6]
UBC Thunderbirds SC 2 Andrew Futcher '20 [1, 3, 5]
Margaret Joba-Woodruff '20 [2, 4, 6]		 Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19 [1, 3, 5]
Molly Voltz '20 [2, 4, 6]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Sean Grealish '21 Arthur Jenkins '21
Loggers Arthur Jenkins '19 Anny Schmidt '21
University of Washington University of Washington Hayden Potter '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
Huskies Connor Hughes '19 [1-4]
Erik Skeel '20 [5-6]		 Bekah Ashpole '18 [1-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Chloe Dawson '20 Camille Ottaway '20
Vikings Ezekiel Ward '20 Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20

Conditions — 10/07/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From S (186°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn* · NE 3 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →