NEISA Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13 10 23
2 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 33 26 59
3 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 28 32 60
4 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 34 49 83
5 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 37 50 87
6 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 38 50 88
7 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 60 39 99
8 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 52 53 105
9 Providence College Providence College Friars 65 54 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 13 Frank Reeg '19 [1-8]
Sydney Clays '21 [1-2]
Thomas Dunn '21 [3-8]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 5 3 2 2 2 3 7 28 Dylan Whitcraft '19
Claire Deplanck '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 5 4 1 3 3 6 8 3 33 Alexander Baskin '19
Erich Wu '19
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 2 2 7 5 5 5 2 6 34 Lillian Vincens '19
Caroline Smith '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 7 5 4 6 7 5 2 37 Noah Brayer '18
Emily Pearson '20
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 6 1 6 6 4 3 7 5 38 Nathaniel Barton '18 [1-8]
Dominoe Jones '19 [1-6]
Courtney Robinson '18 [7-8]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 6 4 7 7 4 9 8 52 Danielle Elson '19 [1-4]
Martin Hooker '18 [5-8]
Olivia Mclaughlin '18 [1-4]
Alexandra Burke '21 [5-8]
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 8 9 9 9 8 9 4 4 60 Nicole Owens '19 [1-6]
Nicholas Memoli '20 [7-8]
Peter Lillys '20 [1-6]
Providence College Providence College Friars 9 8 8 8 9 8 6 9 65 Marisa Marino '21
Margaret Burns '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 10 Christos Karplus '21
Sergio Gratta '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 6 1 3 3 1 2 4 26 Warren Galloway '21
Gabrielle Beaulieu '20
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 2 7 2 2 8 4 5 32 Amy Macdonald '18
Katherine Schell '19
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 7 3 6 5 4 4 3 7 39 Rachael Krawiecki '21
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 4 7 9 6 8 5 8 2 49 Isaac Bode '20 [1-8]
Sarah Jarbeau '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Connolly '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 8 9 3 7 9 6 5 3 50 Christian Lynch '21
Alex Cooper '20
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 9 4 5 4 5 3 DNS DNS 50 Abraham Kipnis '19 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]
Courtney Robinson '18 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 5 8 DNF 6 7 6 6 53 Anne Cathrine Longo '20
Aimee Merkle-Scotland '19
Providence College Providence College Friars 3 8 4 8 7 9 7 8 54 Jackie Degeorgis '19
Tim Dillon '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1010335577
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons2244111188
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies77992244
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags33557799
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen8810103355
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers441111881010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55779922
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars111188101033
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals9922441111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244111188
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons33557799
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies8810103355
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags441111881010
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen9922441111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers55779922
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers111188101033
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars77992244
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1010335577

Conditions — 10/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From S (179°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn* · SW 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Providence: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Providence by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Providence, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →