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SAISA North Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 4 8
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 3 5 8
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 3 8
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 9 8 17
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 12 14 26
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 12 15 27
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 16 14 30
8 Tigers Tigers Tigers 13 18 31
9 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 20 16 36
10 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 18 18 36
11 Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 20 17 37
12 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 24 24 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 1 3 John Fewell '20
Brooke Hagler '18
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 3 4 Abbie Probst '19
Madison Carroll '20
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 5
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 4 5 9 Darby Reddaway '19
Hannah Gersch '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 12 Hogan O'Donnell '21
Katherine Richardson '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 8 4 12 Leigh Collier '19
Katherine Kwasniak '19
Tigers Tigers Tigers 5 8 13
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 9 16 Allison Chenard '19
Ross Oliver '19
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 11 7 18 Avery Fulford '21
Annika Hsu '21
Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 9 11 20
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 10 20 Robert Williams '21
Elizabeth Howard '20
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 12 12 24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
TigersTigers Tigers11
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils44
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs88
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 155
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 266
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks1010
VolunteersVolunteers Volunteers1111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt1212

Division B

Team1B2B
TigersTigers Tigers22
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers33
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils55
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs99
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 166
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 277
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack88
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks1111
VolunteersVolunteers Volunteers1212
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1010
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt11

Conditions — 10/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From ESE (105°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine3.7 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1023.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.40 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →