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Owlapalooza 2017

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 24 10 34
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 27 25 52
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 22 57 79
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 25 65 90
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 60 34 94
6 Owls 1 Owls 1 Owls 1 65 MRP 49 MRP 114 MRP
7 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 78 44 122
8 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 48 84 132
9 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 78 67 145
10 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 83 78 161
11 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 86 87 173
12 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 114 MRP 102 MRP 216 MRP
13 Jayhawks Jayhawks Jayhawks 98 MRP 136 MRP 234 MRP
14 Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys 130 MRP 122 MRP 252 MRP
15 Owls 2 Owls 2 Owls 2 147 MRP 127 MRP 274 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 1 6 1 3 4 3 2 2 22 James Mcavoy '20
Hannah Erbrick '21
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 1 10 2 1 1 3 4 24 Catie Cullen '20
Stephen Hahn '20
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 3 3 2 4 2 2 6 3 25 Thomas Braly '19
Josiah Doty '20
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 7 2 4 5 3 4 1 1 27 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8]
Christopher Helms '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Stony Maness '20 [3-4]
Aidan Broyles '21 [5-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 5 4 7 6 6 8 5 7 48 Alexandra Oyston '18 [1-8]
Adam Vollmar '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Katherine Mason '21 [3-4]
Jette Polasek '21 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 6 7 8 10 7 7 9 6 60 Andrew Essenburgh '19
Hunter Steele '21
Owls 1 Owls 1 Owls 1 4 5 3 7 5 5 8 8 65 MRP
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 9 14 12 11 11 12 4 5 78 Arosh Chaudhari '20
Jacob Atlas '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 11 8 9 13 9 9 10 9 78 Aaron Comen '18 [1-8]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariana Caldas '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 8 11 6 8 8 10 DNS DNS 83 Elizabeth Batton '19 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [1-2]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [3-4]
Weston Luke '20 [5-6]
No Show [7-8]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 10 12 11 12 10 13 7 11 86 Sofia Giordano '20 [1-8]
Natalie Kulka '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Vanessa Tetzlaff '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Jayhawks Jayhawks Jayhawks 13 9 5 1 12 6 DNS DNS 98 MRP
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 12 10 14 9 14 14 11 10 114 MRP Rachel Pearson '20
Benjamin Froelich '21
Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys 14 13 13 14 13 11 DNS DNS 130 MRP
Owls 2 Owls 2 Owls 2 DNS 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 147 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 10 Mary Berg '20
Sophia Ricker '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 4 6 3 3 2 2 2 25 Daniel Kendrick '19 [1-8]
John Mcdavid V '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Stoutamyer '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 5 2 3 4 6 4 3 7 34 Dean Bethel '19
Hannah Barlow '20
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 7 6 10 5 4 5 4 3 44 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-6]
Caroline Bik '19 [7-8]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-6]
Owls 1 Owls 1 Owls 1 1 3 1 2 5 3 9 5 49 MRP
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 12 10 5 7 2 6 11 4 57 Sean Tichenor '21
Brenna Armfield '20
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 4 7 12 9 10 8 7 8 65 Joseph Rogalski '19
Avery Edge '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 6 9 9 11 13 7 6 6 67 Carter Young '20
Frederik Winguth '21
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 8 5 4 8 9 12 DNS DNS 78 Emma Cooledge '20 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]
Brendan Frederick '21 [1-2]
Michael Coyle '20 [3-4]
Adithya Pillai '17 [5-6]
No Show [7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 9 8 13 14 12 11 8 9 84 Megan Carugati '19 [1-8]
Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [5-6]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 10 14 8 13 8 14 10 10 87 Patrick Burtchaell '18 [1-8]
Gabriel Philbois '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Amy Waguespack '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 13 12 7 12 7 10 5 DNF 102 MRP Marisa Soto '20
Paige Hall '19
Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys 14 13 14 6 14 9 DNS DNS 122 MRP
Owls 2 Owls 2 Owls 2 11 11 11 10 DNS DNS DNF DNS 127 MRP
Jayhawks Jayhawks Jayhawks 15 15 15 15 11 13 DNS DNS 136 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
JayhawksJayhawks Jayhawks161614141133
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack11336688
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas131315152244
CowboysCowboys Cowboys22447799
Owls 1Owls 1 Owls 13366881010
Owls 2Owls 2 Owls 24477991111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 11414113366
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 21515224477
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1668810101212
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2779911111616
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders88101012121313
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 199111116161414
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 21010121213131515
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 111111616141411
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 212121313151522

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
JayhawksJayhawks Jayhawks131315152244
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack22447799
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas1414113366
CowboysCowboys Cowboys3366881010
Owls 1Owls 1 Owls 14477991111
Owls 2Owls 2 Owls 2668810101212
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 11515224477
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 211336688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1779911111616
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 288101012121313
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders99111116161414
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 11010121213131515
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 211111616141411
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 112121313151522
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 2161614141133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Sofia Giordano '20 [1-8] Natalie Kulka '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Vanessa Tetzlaff '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Wolfpack Patrick Burtchaell '18 [1-8] Gabriel Philbois '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Amy Waguespack '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8] Christopher Helms '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Stony Maness '20 [3-4]
Aidan Broyles '21 [5-6]
Aggies 1 Daniel Kendrick '19 [1-8] John Mcdavid V '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Stoutamyer '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Alexandra Oyston '18 [1-8] Adam Vollmar '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Katherine Mason '21 [3-4]
Jette Polasek '21 [5-6]
Aggies 2 Megan Carugati '19 [1-8] Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Rachel Pearson '20 Benjamin Froelich '21
Islanders Marisa Soto '20 Paige Hall '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Thomas Braly '19 Josiah Doty '20
Aggies 1 Joseph Rogalski '19 Avery Edge '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Andrew Essenburgh '19 Hunter Steele '21
Aggies 2 Dean Bethel '19 Hannah Barlow '20
Tulane University Tulane University Catie Cullen '20 Stephen Hahn '20
Green Wave 1 Mary Berg '20 Sophia Ricker '19
Tulane University Tulane University James Mcavoy '20 Hannah Erbrick '21
Green Wave 2 Sean Tichenor '21 Brenna Armfield '20
University of North Texas University of North Texas Elizabeth Batton '19 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]		 Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [1-2]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [3-4]
Weston Luke '20 [5-6]
No Show [7-8]
North Texas Emma Cooledge '20 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]		 Brendan Frederick '21 [1-2]
Michael Coyle '20 [3-4]
Adithya Pillai '17 [5-6]
No Show [7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Arosh Chaudhari '20 Jacob Atlas '21
Longhorns 1 Carter Young '20 Frederik Winguth '21
University of Texas University of Texas Aaron Comen '18 [1-8] Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariana Caldas '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 2 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-6]
Caroline Bik '19 [7-8]		 Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-6]

Conditions — 09/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From NNE (29°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1016.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · E 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rice: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rice by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Rice: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →