NEISA Southern Seven

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 6 15 21
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 10 21
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 17 5 22
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 18 26
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 13 14 27
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 15 13 28
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 19 12 31
8 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 20 23 43
9 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 26 25 51
10 Providence College Providence College Friars 30 30 60
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 1 4 6 Aaron Klein '18
Kelsey Foster '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 3 3 8 Owen Reuther '21
Sophie Jackson '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 2 6 11 Haley Kachmar '18
Molly Weiner '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 6 6 1 13 Andrew Savage '19
Kahler Newsham '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 4 9 2 15 Nicholas Giacobbe '19
Marley Hillman '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 5 7 5 17 Joey Lark '21
Grace Benzal '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 8 4 7 19 Aryaman Dutta '22
Justin Chiang '21
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 7 5 8 20 Thomas Pluchino '18
Caoilinn Boyle '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 9 8 9 26 Allison Deluca '21
Emma Sexton '20
Providence College Providence College Friars 10 10 10 30 Marisa Marino '21
Christine Cromie '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 2 1 2 5 Brian Baker '18
Allison Gilson '21
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 3 1 10 Phillip Rosenthall '18
Charlotte Williams '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 4 7 12 Ian Light '20
Catherine Mcclenahan '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 5 2 6 13 Lindsay Powers '21
Sarah Bunney '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 8 3 14 Matthew Galbraith '21
Ashley Smith '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 7 4 15 Tyler Paige '18
Matthew Keller '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 6 5 18 Kylie Castellano '21
Alyssa Hall '20
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 9 5 9 23 Brett Doty '20
Marina Merchant '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 8 9 8 25 Sean Morrissey '20
Michaela Mcmahon '19
Providence College Providence College Friars 10 10 10 30 Brendan Ungemach '18
Winifred Kennedy '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11112
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels223
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats334
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars445
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams101011
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 15512
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 212127
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1778
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2889
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 39910

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11112
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels223
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats334
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars445
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams101011
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 15512
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 212127
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1778
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2889
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 39910

Conditions — 10/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1028.8 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From SE (132°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1028.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Providence: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Providence by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Providence, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →