Caboose Cup Classic

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 15 15
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 29 29
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 31 31
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 31 31
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 38 38
6 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 41 41
7 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 41 41
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 53 53
9 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 54 54
10 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 10 57 57
11 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 61 61
12 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 65 65
13 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 72 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 1 10 1 1 15 Jack Reiter '22
Eva Fortunato '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 5 4 5 1 5 9 29 Scott Mais '23
Carly Broussard '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 2 9 11 2 5 31 Taylor Walshe '22
Elizabeth Fortunato '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 8 5 3 4 7 4 31 Jack Murray '22
Rebekah Morrison '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 7 9 2 6 12 2 38 Morgan Sailer '22
Henry Wu '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 4 14 4 5 6 8 41 John Patrick Panarella '22
Louisa Buckingham '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 6 8 8 3 3 13 41 Jack Hemmelgarn '23
Julia Faranetta '22
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 12 7 10 8 4 12 53 Gloria Kevliciute '21
Ellie Sekowski '23
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 11 6 12 9 10 6 54 Hunter Cutting '21
Dexter Mueller '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 10 14 3 7 12 11 10 57 Alexander Mazzeo '22
William Wu '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 13 13 6 14 8 7 61 Nathaniel Winters '22
Aislinn O'Brien '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 9 11 13 7 14 11 65 Quinn Sheehan '23
Cates Doyle '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 10 10 DNF 13 9 DNS 72 Riley Kloc '23
Kathryn Winters '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 10101010101010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 2222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 3333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 4444444
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 5555555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 6666666
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 7777777
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 8888888
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 9999999
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1131313131313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2141414141414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3111111111111

Conditions — 10/20/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Moderate rain
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From NNE (32°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1013.0 hPa Rain1.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Georgetown: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.73 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →