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David Lee Arnoff Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 30 46 76
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 64 52 116
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 63 56 119
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 52 86 138
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 77 62 139
6 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 101 47 148
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 89 78 167
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 91 87 178
9 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 95 104 199
10 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 97 119 216
11 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 105 124 229
12 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 152 159 311
13 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 168 164 332
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 3 1 1 2 4 2 1 3 1 6 1 2 30 Kyle Easton '20 [1-13]
Aidan Morgan '21 [1-10]
Ian Beckley '20 [11-13]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 4 3 2 4 3 1 7 1 11 1 3 5 52 Tyler Mowry '23
Trent Chismar '22
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 2 9 2 8 3 1 7 8 2 3 4 4 10 63 Gerard Eastman '21
Ana Schonander '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 8 1 8 4 9 6 4 5 7 2 3 6 1 64 Christian Spencer '22
Olivia Staruck '20
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 10 5 5 7 11 6 10 6 9 2 2 3 77 Richie Gordon '21
Jack Farrell '23
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 5 4 6 8 8 3 6 8 5 11 10 11 89 Aidan Molesky '20
William Centeno '23
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 10 6 12 3 1 2 8 9 11 8 9 5 7 91 Meredith Moran '23 [1-13]
Louisa Bjerke '22 [1-8]
Jessie Stoller '21 [9-13]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 2 10 7 5 10 9 4 4 6 10 DSQ 9 95 David Perez '21
Sara Flowerday '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 8 7 9 10 7 11 3 9 4 8 9 6 97 Sherman Thompson '22
Lily Allen '23
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 9 7 6 10 11 5 12 2 10 7 7 7 8 101 Ella Withington '22
Alice Mitchell '22
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 11 9 11 6 9 5 11 5 10 5 8 4 105 Adam Krzeszowski '21
Rachel Beisswenger '22
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 12 12 11 12 12 12 10 12 12 12 12 11 12 152 Andrew Vernon '20
Jonathan Kelly '23
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 13 168 Stephen Turocy '21
Emily Mcconnell '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 5 1 1 3 1 1 5 10 1 2 10 1 46 Jake Vickers '22 [1-8]
Charles Carraway '22 [9-13]
Sarah Smith '22 [1-8]
Tory Mileti '22 [9-10]
Blake Stackpoole '22 [11-13]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 4 6 2 2 4 3 3 4 6 2 3 6 2 47 Sinead Mcmanus '20
Caroline Martocci '22
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 4 4 6 2 9 4 1 5 3 4 1 7 52 Samuel Bartel '22 [1-13]
Kate Britt '21 [1-8]
Edward Hansen '23 [9-13]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 1 1 3 5 5 7 2 8 2 8 1 2 11 56 Phillip Schofield '21
Patricia Corujo '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 3 11 3 1 6 5 2 1 6 5 11 5 62 Matthew Kickhafer '23 [1-13]
Charles Mason '23 [1-4]
Jin Johnson '23 [5-8]
Casey Gale '22 [9-13]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 2 6 7 11 2 7 3 7 9 10 4 3 78 Cormac Murphy '23
Brian Buckley '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 7 5 9 6 8 9 9 4 4 6 5 6 86 Skye Shepherd '20 [1-13]
Chet Swanson '23 [1-2, 11-13]
Olivia Cronin-Golomb '20 [3-10]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 RAF 8 8 4 8 11 6 6 3 5 7 3 4 87 Lilly Myers '23
Jana Laurendeau '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 6 9 7 8 9 4 11 7 8 7 9 9 10 104 Nathan Ikeda '21 [1-4, 9-13]
Ben Mckissick-Hawley '20 [5-8]
Madison Reynolds '21 [1-4, 9-13]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 9 10 9 10 7 10 8 10 9 10 11 7 9 119 Ryan O'Connor '23 [1-13]
Isabel Dziuba '23 [1-6, 9-13]
Alexis Stokel '21 [7-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 10 11 10 11 10 5 10 11 11 11 8 8 8 124 Sunrae Sturmer '23 [1-4, 9-10, 13]
Maddie Talecki '20 [5-8, 11-12]
Maddie Talecki '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Amanda Yeam '22 [3-8, 11-13]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 12 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 12 12 159 John Mecca '21
Jodi Eren '23
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 12 13 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 13 13 164 Mckenzie Brown '21 [1-2, 9-10]
Caroline Westrick '20 [3-8, 11-13]
Madeline Love '23 [1-4, 7-13]
Mckenzie Brown '21 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1133557799111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears88101012121133555
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 1224466881010121212
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 2335577991111131313
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons55779911111313222
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen44668810101212111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins66881010121211333
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners99111113132244666
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines10101212113355777
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers77991111131322444
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers11111313224466888
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen131322446688101010
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers121211335577999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466881010121212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears99111113132244666
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 1335577991111131313
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 244668810101212111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons66881010121211333
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55779911111313222
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins77991111131322444
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners10101212113355777
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines11111313224466888
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88101012121133555
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers121211335577999
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1133557799111111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers131322446688101010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Tyler Mowry '23 Trent Chismar '22
Terriers Skye Shepherd '20 [1-13] Chet Swanson '23 [1-2, 11-13]
Olivia Cronin-Golomb '20 [3-10]
Cornell University Cornell University Gerard Eastman '21 Ana Schonander '20
Big Red 1 Phillip Schofield '21 Patricia Corujo '21
Cornell University Cornell University Meredith Moran '23 [1-13] Louisa Bjerke '22 [1-8]
Jessie Stoller '21 [9-13]
Big Red 2 Lilly Myers '23 Jana Laurendeau '23
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Ella Withington '22 Alice Mitchell '22
Herons Sinead Mcmanus '20 Caroline Martocci '22
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Kyle Easton '20 [1-13] Aidan Morgan '21 [1-10]
Ian Beckley '20 [11-13]
Statesmen Jake Vickers '22 [1-8]
Charles Carraway '22 [9-13]		 Sarah Smith '22 [1-8]
Tory Mileti '22 [9-10]
Blake Stackpoole '22 [11-13]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University David Perez '21 Sara Flowerday '22
Fins Nathan Ikeda '21 [1-4, 9-13]
Ben Mckissick-Hawley '20 [5-8]		 Madison Reynolds '21 [1-4, 9-13]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Aidan Molesky '20 William Centeno '23
Privateers Cormac Murphy '23 Brian Buckley '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Richie Gordon '21 Jack Farrell '23
Bears Matthew Kickhafer '23 [1-13] Charles Mason '23 [1-4]
Jin Johnson '23 [5-8]
Casey Gale '22 [9-13]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Adam Krzeszowski '21 Rachel Beisswenger '22
Mariners Sunrae Sturmer '23 [1-4, 9-10, 13]
Maddie Talecki '20 [5-8, 11-12]		 Maddie Talecki '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Amanda Yeam '22 [3-8, 11-13]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Sherman Thompson '22 Lily Allen '23
Wolverines Ryan O'Connor '23 [1-13] Isabel Dziuba '23 [1-6, 9-13]
Alexis Stokel '21 [7-8]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Stephen Turocy '21 Emily Mcconnell '22
Panthers Mckenzie Brown '21 [1-2, 9-10]
Caroline Westrick '20 [3-8, 11-13]		 Madeline Love '23 [1-4, 7-13]
Mckenzie Brown '21 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Christian Spencer '22 Olivia Staruck '20
Badgers Samuel Bartel '22 [1-13] Kate Britt '21 [1-8]
Edward Hansen '23 [9-13]
Washington College Washington College Andrew Vernon '20 Jonathan Kelly '23
Shoremen John Mecca '21 Jodi Eren '23

Conditions — 10/12/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1014.3 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From SW (219°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine0.6 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1014.3 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hobart & William: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Hobart & William, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →