Lilly Myers

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded3.85unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)56Fall 2021

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
2.66 (fleet 3.73) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) −0.04 ± 0.18
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 24–22 (52%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2022324–22—
2.22.32.42.5Spring 2022Washington College Team Race (2022-03-19): rating 2.33, fleet rating alone 2.32, offset +0.01; record 8-7 in this boatWomen's Team Race National Championship (2022-04-23): rating 2.33, fleet rating alone 2.41, offset -0.08; record 0-2 in this boatWomen's Team Race National Championship (2022-04-23): rating 2.33, fleet rating alone 2.41, offset -0.08; record 1-2 in this boatWomen's Team Race National Championship (2022-04-23): rating 2.33, fleet rating alone 2.41, offset -0.08; record 2-3 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (46 matches) the record is 24–22 against 30.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−6.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 18 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2022-04-23Women's Team Race National Championshipskipper2.702.033–74.0−0.670.589%
2022-03-19Washington College Team Raceskipper2.69-0.338–714.3−3.0217.2>99%
2022-02-26Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Raceskipper2.302.6513–811.9+0.350.337%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2022 Team page Season
Women's Team Race National Championship Women's Skipper TR 11 27% —
Washington College Team Race Skipper TR 15 53% —
College Sailing Women’s National Championship Women's Skipper B 1 12.0 —
College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinals Women's Skipper B 7 4.9 4.07
College Sailing Open Western Semifinal Skipper A 7 10.0 3.89
Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 21 62% —
MAISA Spring Women's Championship Women's Skipper B 4 2.0 4.94
America Trophy - MAISA Open Dinghy Championships Skipper B 13 6.5 3.85
Fall 2021 Team page Season
Women's ACC's Round 1A Women's Skipper A 1 11.0 —
Top 9 MAISA Coed Regatta Skipper A 14 13.9 -0.45
College Sailing Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 3.5 4.71
MAISA Fall Women's Women's Skipper B 10 3.1 3.96
Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 1.9 4.67
David Lee Arnoff Trophy Skipper A 12 6.2 3.29
Spring 2020 Team page Season
ODU Women's Interconference Women's Skipper A 10 5.4 2.73
Fall 2019 Team page Season
Yale Women's Women's Skipper B 9 5.7 3.50
Nevins Trophy Skipper B 16 2.6 3.49
LaserPerformance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 7.0 3.65
KP Women's Regatta Women's Skipper A 10 2.8 3.60
Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 2.7 4.72
David Lee Arnoff Trophy Skipper B 12 6.1 2.28

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →