College Sailing Open Western Semifinal

HostTulane
Date05/19/2022
TypeNational Championship Semifina
BoatFJ/Z420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	University of Rhode Island	Rams	81	56	137
2	Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Statesmen	66	74	140
3	Roger Williams University	Hawks	89	58	147
4	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	101	60	161
5	Tufts University	Jumbos	92	71	163
6	U. S. Naval Academy	Midshipmen	59	114	173
7	Dartmouth College	Big Green	87	89	176
8	Boston College	Eagles	90	88	178
9	Brown University	Bears	115	72	187
10	Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	82	126	208
11	University of Pennsylvania	Quakers	110	108	218
12	College of Charleston	Cougars	95	133	228
13	Cornell University	Big Red	117	116	233
14	University of Wisconsin	Badgers	125	129	254
15	University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos	143	114	257
16	University of Miami	Hurricanes	122	147	269
17	Jacksonville University	Fins	124	148	272
18	University of Michigan	Wolverines	183	169	352

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	TOT	Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy	Midshipmen	7	1	6	4	6	9	2	2	4	1	17	59	Jc Hermus '22 [1-10] Jack Carminati '22 [11] Fiona Lobon '22 [1-6] Ryan Wahba '25 [7-10] Colin Macgillivray '23 [11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Statesmen	6	3	5	8	3	10	9	4	1	13	4	66	Jake Vickers '22 Katherine Klempen '22
University of Rhode Island	Rams	2	12	10	1	18	5	3	6	7	10	7	81	Aidan Naughton '22 Taylor Borges '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	1	8	8	12	4	8	1	11	13	5	11	82	Sam Bruce '24 [1-11] Maaya Prasad '22 [1-6] Nicholas Abate '25 [7-11]
Dartmouth College	Big Green	5	2	1	3	10	4	18	16	11	7	10	87	Robert Bragg '23 [1-6, 9-10] James Paul '23 [7-8, 11] Eloise Burn '21 [1-4] Drew Clutterbuck '23 [5-10] Reese Bragg '25 [11]
Roger Williams University	Hawks	3	17	13	7	8	1	15	7	8	2	8	89	Spencer Cartwright '22 [1-8] Aidan Hoogland '24 [9-11] Annika Irene '23 [1-4] Molly Matthews '23 [5-8] Hank Bailey '24 [9-11]
Boston College	Eagles	15	4	2	2	5	6	7	10	15	12	12	90	Jack Denatale '22 [1-2, 7-10] Sophia Reineke '22 [3-6, 11] Michaela O'Brien '24 [1-2] Sara Schumann '25 [3-4] Laura Ferraris '22 [5-11]
Tufts University	Jumbos	14	16	4	5	11	3	4	5	6	15	9	92	Samuel Merson '22 [1-6] Alex Fasolo '22 [7-11] Celia Byrne '24 [1-6] Amelia Carlson '24 [7-11]
College of Charleston	Cougars	17	15	12	6	2	2	11	8	3	16	3	95	Brandon Geller '23 [1-11] Lucy Klempen '24 [1-8] Jack Sutton '22 [9-10] Anna Sherry '23 [11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	11	11	3	17	7	13	17	1	12	3	6	101	Colman Schofield '25 [1-10] Matthew Kickhafer '23 [11] Mary Tran '22 [1-10] Lauren O'Neill '24 [11]
University of Pennsylvania	Quakers	9	13	9	9	13	18	13	3	10	8	5	110	Jordan Bruce '24 [1-11] Shaanti Choi-Bose '24 [1-4] Joshua Zeelander '24 [5-11]
Brown University	Bears	12	10	15	13	12	11	5	13	16	6	2	115	Connor Nelson '24 Julia Reynolds '22
Cornell University	Big Red	10	9	17	11	1	12	10	9	14	9	15	117	Meredith Moran '23 [1-4] Lilly Myers '23 [5-11] Amelia Neumann '25 [1-4] Gabbi Delbello '23 [5-6] Jana Laurendeau '23 [7-11]
University of Miami	Hurricanes	13	18	7	16	14	14	8	12	2	4	14	122	Atlee Kohl '25 [1-11] Natalie Elder '25 [1-6] Teddy Bueres '24 [7-10] Grace Harden '22 [11]
Jacksonville University	Fins	4	6	14	10	9	7	12	18	17	14	13	124	Charlotte Rose '22 [1-10] Gordon Gurnell '23 [11] Caroline Bourgeois '22 [1-4] Elizabeth Johnson '22 [5-8] Jarret Monroe '23 [9-10] Mia Porter '22 [11]
University of Wisconsin	Badgers	16	5	18	15	16	17	6	15	5	11	1	125	Christian Spencer '22 [1-11] Allison Hansen '23 [1-6] Sam Spencer '24 [7-11]
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos	8	7	11	14	15	16	16	14	9	17	16	143	David Eastwood '22 [1-10] Sidney Gathrid '22 [11] Kyla Murphy '23 [1-4] Jake Zieba '22 [5-6] Tristan Richmond '22 [7-11]
University of Michigan	Wolverines	18	14	16	18	17	15	14	17	18	18	18	183	Sherman Thompson '22 [1-11] Lily Allen '23 [1-6, 11] Adrian Stone '25 [7-10]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	TOT	Sailors
University of Rhode Island	Rams	3	8	13	7	9	6	1	3	1	2	3	56	Kerem Erkmen '25 Edward Gary '22
Roger Williams University	Hawks	4	4	1	4	4	2	3	7	7	17	5	58	Cameron Wood '22 [1-8] Mathieu Dale '25 [9-11] Emily Gildea '21 [1-6] Annika Irene '23 [7-11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	5	3	7	5	2	5	4	11	3	7	8	60	Daniel Unangst '24 [1-10] Nicholas Reeser '25 [11] Jack Farrell '23 [1-10] Lauren O'Neill '24 [11]
Tufts University	Jumbos	7	11	10	1	1	17	6	1	10	5	2	71	Ansgar Jordan '22 [1-11] Ann Sheridan '22 [1-10] William Eykyn '25 [11]
Brown University	Bears	8	1	11	2	5	3	9	5	14	1	13	72	Olivia Belda '22 [1-4, 11] Jack Murphy '22 [5-10] Emma Montgomery '22 [1-4, 11] Madeleine Mcgrath '22 [5-10]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Statesmen	13	2	3	3	15	7	10	2	4	14	1	74	Charles Carraway '22 [1-4, 7-11] Will Murray '24 [5-6] Sarah Smith '22 [1-4, 7-11] Anna Mcbride '24 [5-6]
Boston College	Eagles	6	6	6	13	12	1	5	4	17	9	9	88	Colleen O'Brien '24 [1-6, 11] Robert Hunter '22 [7-10] Michaela O'Brien '24 [1-2] Laura Ferraris '22 [3-4] Declan Mcgranahan '22 [5-6, 11] Emma Batcher '22 [7-10]
Dartmouth College	Big Green	1	5	12	11	3	13	RDG	15	9	4	7	89	Maddie Hawkins '24 [1-6, 9-10] William Michels '25 [7-8, 11] Yumi Yoshiyasu '24 [1-2, 9-10] Aisling Sullivan '22 [3-4, 11] Carlota Hopkins Guerra '22 [5-6] Ryan Goldstein '22 [7-8]
University of Pennsylvania	Quakers	14	12	5	17	11	8	15	6	13	3	4	108	Javier Garcon '25 [1-4, 9-11] Christopher Sharpless '23 [5-8] Ella Marsden '24 [1-4] Kiki Bruzzi '25 [5-11]
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos	2	7	2	6	17	11	8	10	18	16	17	114	Chris Kayda '23 [1-10] Lukas Kraak '23 [11] Sydney Aguirre '22 [1-6, 9-10] Jake Zieba '22 [7-8] Julia Roudebush '23 [11]
U. S. Naval Academy	Midshipmen	11	16	8	10	10	15	2	14	8	10	10	114	Gray Benson '22 [1-2, 5-8] Olivia De Olazarra '22 [3-4, 9-10] Louis Margay '22 [11] Kimmie Leonard '22 [1-2, 5-8] Ryan Wahba '25 [3-4] Jonah Hatt '23 [9-10] Fiona Lobon '22 [11]
Cornell University	Big Red	10	13	4	14	18	12	7	8	2	12	16	116	Bridget Green '25 [1-2, 7-10] Brooke Shachoy '22 [3-6, 11] Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-2] Amelia Neumann '25 [3-6, 11] Rocco Cappetta '24 [7-10]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	15	10	17	9	13	18	16	9	5	8	6	126	John Ped '21 [1-4, 7-11] Maks Groom '24 [5-6] Abigail Vanlonkhuyzen '23 [1-4, 11] Nicholas Abate '25 [5-6] Jeremy Mcculloch '22 [7-10]
University of Wisconsin	Badgers	17	18	14	12	6	9	13	12	11	6	11	129	Jonathan Bailey '22 [1-4] Samuel Bartel '22 [5-8] Hailey Feinzig '22 [9-11] Cristina Dombrowski '23 [1-4] Lucas Quinn '23 [5-8] Kate Thickens '23 [9-11]
College of Charleston	Cougars	16	14	9	18	7	4	11	18	6	15	15	133	Max Anker '24 [1-2, 9-11] Pierce Ornstein '22 [3-8] Noelle Owen '24 [1-8] Jack Sutton '22 [9-11]
University of Miami	Hurricanes	9	17	15	8	14	10	12	17	15	18	12	147	Aidan Dennis '25 [1-10] Zachary Ward '25 [11] James Nappo '24 [1-6] Dominic Canonico '23 [7-10] Ashley Delisser '24 [11]
Jacksonville University	Fins	12	15	18	15	8	14	14	13	12	13	14	148	Matthew King '24 [1-6] Emily Allen '25 [7-11] Elisabeth Bowman '22 [1-2] Grace Benzal '23 [3-11]
University of Michigan	Wolverines	18	9	16	16	16	16	17	16	16	11	18	169	Joe Serpa '24 [1-8] Samuel Ephraim '22 [9-11] Asha Baddi '24 [1-6] Caroline Grin '25 [7-8] Abigail Paul '25 [9-11]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A
Boston College Eagles	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Brown University Bears	2	2	18	18	16	16	14	14	12	12	10
College of Charleston Cougars	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3
Cornell University Big Red	4	4	2	2	18	18	16	16	14	14	12
Dartmouth College Big Green	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen	6	6	4	4	2	2	18	18	16	16	14
Jacksonville University Fins	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
University of Miami Hurricanes	14	14	12	12	10	10	8	8	6	6	4
University of Michigan Wolverines	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	8	8	6	6	4	4	2	2	18	18	16
U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen	12	12	10	10	8	8	6	6	4	4	2
University of Pennsylvania Quakers	16	16	14	14	12	12	10	10	8	8	6
University of Rhode Island Rams	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Roger Williams University Hawks	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1
Tufts University Jumbos	10	10	8	8	6	6	4	4	2	2	18
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5
University of Wisconsin Badgers	18	18	16	16	14	14	12	12	10	10	8

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B
Boston College Eagles	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Brown University Bears	1	1	17	17	15	15	13	13	11	11	9
College of Charleston Cougars	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4
Cornell University Big Red	3	3	1	1	17	17	15	15	13	13	11
Dartmouth College Big Green	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen	5	5	3	3	1	1	17	17	15	15	13
Jacksonville University Fins	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
University of Miami Hurricanes	13	13	11	11	9	9	7	7	5	5	3
University of Michigan Wolverines	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	7	7	5	5	3	3	1	1	17	17	15
U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen	11	11	9	9	7	7	5	5	3	3	1
University of Pennsylvania Quakers	15	15	13	13	11	11	9	9	7	7	5
University of Rhode Island Rams	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Roger Williams University Hawks	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2
Tufts University Jumbos	9	9	7	7	5	5	3	3	1	1	17
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6
University of Wisconsin Badgers	17	17	15	15	13	13	11	11	9	9	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Boston College	Jack Denatale '22 [1-2, 7-10] Sophia Reineke '22 [3-6, 11]	Michaela O'Brien '24 [1-2] Sara Schumann '25 [3-4] Laura Ferraris '22 [5-11]
Eagles	Colleen O'Brien '24 [1-6, 11] Robert Hunter '22 [7-10]	Michaela O'Brien '24 [1-2] Laura Ferraris '22 [3-4] Declan Mcgranahan '22 [5-6, 11] Emma Batcher '22 [7-10]
Brown University	Connor Nelson '24	Julia Reynolds '22
Bears	Olivia Belda '22 [1-4, 11] Jack Murphy '22 [5-10]	Emma Montgomery '22 [1-4, 11] Madeleine Mcgrath '22 [5-10]
College of Charleston	Brandon Geller '23 [1-11]	Lucy Klempen '24 [1-8] Jack Sutton '22 [9-10] Anna Sherry '23 [11]
Cougars	Max Anker '24 [1-2, 9-11] Pierce Ornstein '22 [3-8]	Noelle Owen '24 [1-8] Jack Sutton '22 [9-11]
Cornell University	Meredith Moran '23 [1-4] Lilly Myers '23 [5-11]	Amelia Neumann '25 [1-4] Gabbi Delbello '23 [5-6] Jana Laurendeau '23 [7-11]
Big Red	Bridget Green '25 [1-2, 7-10] Brooke Shachoy '22 [3-6, 11]	Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-2] Amelia Neumann '25 [3-6, 11] Rocco Cappetta '24 [7-10]
Dartmouth College	Robert Bragg '23 [1-6, 9-10] James Paul '23 [7-8, 11]	Eloise Burn '21 [1-4] Drew Clutterbuck '23 [5-10] Reese Bragg '25 [11]
Big Green	Maddie Hawkins '24 [1-6, 9-10] William Michels '25 [7-8, 11]	Yumi Yoshiyasu '24 [1-2, 9-10] Aisling Sullivan '22 [3-4, 11] Carlota Hopkins Guerra '22 [5-6] Ryan Goldstein '22 [7-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Jake Vickers '22	Katherine Klempen '22
Statesmen	Charles Carraway '22 [1-4, 7-11] Will Murray '24 [5-6]	Sarah Smith '22 [1-4, 7-11] Anna Mcbride '24 [5-6]
Jacksonville University	Charlotte Rose '22 [1-10] Gordon Gurnell '23 [11]	Caroline Bourgeois '22 [1-4] Elizabeth Johnson '22 [5-8] Jarret Monroe '23 [9-10] Mia Porter '22 [11]
Fins	Matthew King '24 [1-6] Emily Allen '25 [7-11]	Elisabeth Bowman '22 [1-2] Grace Benzal '23 [3-11]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Sam Bruce '24 [1-11]	Maaya Prasad '22 [1-6] Nicholas Abate '25 [7-11]
Engineers	John Ped '21 [1-4, 7-11] Maks Groom '24 [5-6]	Abigail Vanlonkhuyzen '23 [1-4, 11] Nicholas Abate '25 [5-6] Jeremy Mcculloch '22 [7-10]
Roger Williams University	Spencer Cartwright '22 [1-8] Aidan Hoogland '24 [9-11]	Annika Irene '23 [1-4] Molly Matthews '23 [5-8] Hank Bailey '24 [9-11]
Hawks	Cameron Wood '22 [1-8] Mathieu Dale '25 [9-11]	Emily Gildea '21 [1-6] Annika Irene '23 [7-11]
Tufts University	Samuel Merson '22 [1-6] Alex Fasolo '22 [7-11]	Celia Byrne '24 [1-6] Amelia Carlson '24 [7-11]
Jumbos	Ansgar Jordan '22 [1-11]	Ann Sheridan '22 [1-10] William Eykyn '25 [11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Colman Schofield '25 [1-10] Matthew Kickhafer '23 [11]	Mary Tran '22 [1-10] Lauren O'Neill '24 [11]
Bears	Daniel Unangst '24 [1-10] Nicholas Reeser '25 [11]	Jack Farrell '23 [1-10] Lauren O'Neill '24 [11]
U. S. Naval Academy	Jc Hermus '22 [1-10] Jack Carminati '22 [11]	Fiona Lobon '22 [1-6] Ryan Wahba '25 [7-10] Colin Macgillivray '23 [11]
Midshipmen	Gray Benson '22 [1-2, 5-8] Olivia De Olazarra '22 [3-4, 9-10] Louis Margay '22 [11]	Kimmie Leonard '22 [1-2, 5-8] Ryan Wahba '25 [3-4] Jonah Hatt '23 [9-10] Fiona Lobon '22 [11]
University of California at Santa Barbara	David Eastwood '22 [1-10] Sidney Gathrid '22 [11]	Kyla Murphy '23 [1-4] Jake Zieba '22 [5-6] Tristan Richmond '22 [7-11]
Gauchos	Chris Kayda '23 [1-10] Lukas Kraak '23 [11]	Sydney Aguirre '22 [1-6, 9-10] Jake Zieba '22 [7-8] Julia Roudebush '23 [11]
University of Miami	Atlee Kohl '25 [1-11]	Natalie Elder '25 [1-6] Teddy Bueres '24 [7-10] Grace Harden '22 [11]
Hurricanes	Aidan Dennis '25 [1-10] Zachary Ward '25 [11]	James Nappo '24 [1-6] Dominic Canonico '23 [7-10] Ashley Delisser '24 [11]
University of Michigan	Sherman Thompson '22 [1-11]	Lily Allen '23 [1-6, 11] Adrian Stone '25 [7-10]
Wolverines	Joe Serpa '24 [1-8] Samuel Ephraim '22 [9-11]	Asha Baddi '24 [1-6] Caroline Grin '25 [7-8] Abigail Paul '25 [9-11]
University of Pennsylvania	Jordan Bruce '24 [1-11]	Shaanti Choi-Bose '24 [1-4] Joshua Zeelander '24 [5-11]
Quakers	Javier Garcon '25 [1-4, 9-11] Christopher Sharpless '23 [5-8]	Ella Marsden '24 [1-4] Kiki Bruzzi '25 [5-11]
University of Rhode Island	Aidan Naughton '22	Taylor Borges '22
Rams	Kerem Erkmen '25	Edward Gary '22
University of Wisconsin	Christian Spencer '22 [1-11]	Allison Hansen '23 [1-6] Sam Spencer '24 [7-11]
Badgers	Jonathan Bailey '22 [1-4] Samuel Bartel '22 [5-8] Hailey Feinzig '22 [9-11]	Cristina Dombrowski '23 [1-4] Lucas Quinn '23 [5-8] Kate Thickens '23 [9-11]

Conditions — 05/19/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 52% · Pressure 1012.7 hPa

Temperature

87°F

↑ 92°F ↓ 80°F

Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

8.7 kn

avg · max 11.9 kn

Gusts to 21.8 kn

From SSW (205°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1012.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · S 12 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.05)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment −0.21 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.16

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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