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The John Quinn

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 29 44 73
2 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 53 21 74
3 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 35 62 97
4 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 59 56 115
5 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 57 86 143
6 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 79 MRP 69 148 MRP
7 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 58 91 149
8 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 118 55 173
9 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 112 73 185
10 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 110 124 234
11 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 110 126 236
12 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 134 129 263
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 5 7 3 1 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 29 Connor Mraz '23 [1-12]
Jack Nusbaum '22 [1-8]
Isabella Impalli '22 [9-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 3 1 4 5 1 5 5 3 1 1 2 4 35 Jeremy Mccauley '20
Kristin Hess '22
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 6 4 5 3 4 3 3 6 7 5 4 3 53 William Sunkler '20
Eloise Lienert '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 1 2 1 4 5 6 7 7 6 4 8 6 57 Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-12]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [1-10]
Jacob Nantz '21 [11-12]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 7 5 6 7 2 2 4 2 4 7 7 5 58 Garrett Mergenthaler '23
Genevieve Lee '20
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 2 3 7 2 7 7 2 4 5 3 10 7 59 Max Gillette '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Jack Murray '22 [5-6, 11-12]
Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Jack Murray '22 [3-4]
Joe Cooner '23 [5-6]
Katharine Marriott '23 [7-8, 11-12]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 4 6 2 6 11 4 6 5 3 6 5 1 79 MRP Townsend Morey '21
Sean Jahnige '22
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 10 9 10 10 10 10 11 10 8 8 6 8 110 Morgan Kelly '21 [1-12]
Alexandra Starr '22 [1-4, 9-12]
Jack Ausmus '21 [5-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 12 10 8 9 9 8 8 11 10 12 3 10 110 River Dixon '20 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Sleys '21 [1-8]
Victoria Daly '23 [9-12]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 8 8 9 8 6 11 9 8 11 11 11 12 112 Ryan Flanagan '21
Adriana Torres Rodriguez '23
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 9 BKD 11 11 8 9 10 9 9 9 12 11 118 Abigail Brooks '23 [1-12]
Sarah Ward '24 [1-2, 9-12]
Hannah Craft '22 [3-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 9 134 Andrew Cater '20 [1-6]
Sophia Rosahl '23 [7-12]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [1-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 1 1 1 3 3 6 1 1 1 1 1 21 Stewart Gurnell '23
Andrew Vernon '20
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 2 2 2 4 1 5 2 2 10 8 3 44 Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 [1-6]
Zak Dasaro '21 [7-8, 11-12]
Connor Larson '22 [9-10]
Adrienne Mandelbaum '20 [1-6]
Nikhil De '22 [7-8]
Edward Bless '22 [9-12]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 5 6 3 3 2 7 1 3 10 7 4 4 55 Abigail Brooks '23 [1-12]
Isabella Hughes '24 [1-2, 9-12]
Morgan Swit '24 [3-8]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 2 4 5 4 1 2 2 8 6 9 6 7 56 Brian Tiernan '21 [1-8]
Joe Cooner '23 [9-12]
Cameron Hunter '21 [1-4]
Olivia Pasquale '23 [5-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 10 3 4 6 6 5 3 10 3 4 2 6 62 Jonathan Gorman '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9, 11]
Samantha Mislinski '19 [3-4, 7-8, 10, 12]
Samantha Mislinski '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9, 11]
Jonathan Gorman '21 [3-4, 7-8, 10, 12]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 11 5 8 7 9 4 4 5 5 3 3 5 69 Michael Dasaro '23 [1-8]
Alex Wiggins '22 [9-12]
Adilah Khan '20 [1-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 4 9 6 5 7 9 7 4 7 2 5 8 73 Jack Kirk '23
Kira Shaw '23
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 12 8 7 8 8 6 11 6 4 5 9 2 86 Lindsey Winter '20 [1-12]
Jacob Nantz '21 [1-6]
Wesley Lukas '20 [7-12]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 6 7 9 9 5 10 8 7 8 6 7 9 91 Clare Leeper '23
Caroline Fortier '23
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 8 12 11 10 10 8 9 9 12 12 12 11 124 Robert Chapman '22
Emmilee Stocker '21
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 9 10 10 11 12 11 12 12 11 8 10 10 126 Tyler Merrow '21
Claire Bullard '21
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 11 12 12 11 12 10 11 9 11 11 12 129 Zhenyu Yin '21
Richard Chui '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens99111111335577
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11335577991111
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds2244668810101212
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks33557799111111
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings4466881010121222
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55779911111133
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights6688101012122244
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks8810101212224466
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves77991111113355
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1010121222446688
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen11111133557799
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1212224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1010121222446688
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons2244668810101212
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds33557799111111
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks4466881010121222
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings55779911111133
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6688101012122244
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights77991111113355
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks99111111335577
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves8810101212224466
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats11111133557799
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1212224466881010
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-12] Elizabeth Calio '20 [1-10]
Jacob Nantz '21 [11-12]
Dragons Lindsey Winter '20 [1-12] Jacob Nantz '21 [1-6]
Wesley Lukas '20 [7-12]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Garrett Mergenthaler '23 Genevieve Lee '20
Greyhounds Clare Leeper '23 Caroline Fortier '23
Monmouth University Monmouth University Abigail Brooks '23 [1-12] Sarah Ward '24 [1-2, 9-12]
Hannah Craft '22 [3-8]
Hawks Abigail Brooks '23 [1-12] Isabella Hughes '24 [1-2, 9-12]
Morgan Swit '24 [3-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College River Dixon '20 [1-12] Kaitlyn Sleys '21 [1-8]
Victoria Daly '23 [9-12]
Vikings Robert Chapman '22 Emmilee Stocker '21
Princeton University Princeton University Connor Mraz '23 [1-12] Jack Nusbaum '22 [1-8]
Isabella Impalli '22 [9-12]
Tigers Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 [1-6]
Zak Dasaro '21 [7-8, 11-12]
Connor Larson '22 [9-10]		 Adrienne Mandelbaum '20 [1-6]
Nikhil De '22 [7-8]
Edward Bless '22 [9-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Andrew Cater '20 [1-6]
Sophia Rosahl '23 [7-12]		 Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [1-6]
Scarlet Knights Zhenyu Yin '21 Richard Chui '22
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Jeremy Mccauley '20 Kristin Hess '22
Seawolves Jonathan Gorman '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9, 11]
Samantha Mislinski '19 [3-4, 7-8, 10, 12]		 Samantha Mislinski '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9, 11]
Jonathan Gorman '21 [3-4, 7-8, 10, 12]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Townsend Morey '21 Sean Jahnige '22
Ducks Michael Dasaro '23 [1-8]
Alex Wiggins '22 [9-12]		 Adilah Khan '20 [1-8]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Morgan Kelly '21 [1-12] Alexandra Starr '22 [1-4, 9-12]
Jack Ausmus '21 [5-8]
Blue Hens Tyler Merrow '21 Claire Bullard '21
Villanova University Villanova University Max Gillette '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Jack Murray '22 [5-6, 11-12]		 Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Jack Murray '22 [3-4]
Joe Cooner '23 [5-6]
Katharine Marriott '23 [7-8, 11-12]
Wildcats Brian Tiernan '21 [1-8]
Joe Cooner '23 [9-12]		 Cameron Hunter '21 [1-4]
Olivia Pasquale '23 [5-12]
Washington College Washington College William Sunkler '20 Eloise Lienert '20
Shoremen Stewart Gurnell '23 Andrew Vernon '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Ryan Flanagan '21 Adriana Torres Rodriguez '23
Clippers Jack Kirk '23 Kira Shaw '23

Conditions — 09/14/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1024.7 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 28.4 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover60% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1024.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Monmouth: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Monmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Monmouth, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →