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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 20 28 48
2 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 29 42 71
3 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 47 47 94
4 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 57 49 106
5 St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 64 50 114
6 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 52 64 116
7 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 72 53 125
8 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 76 81 157
9 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 78 83 161
10 Greyhounds Greyhounds Greyhounds 121 121 242
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 2 1 3 1 2 5 1 1 1 1 20 Derek Safieh '21 [1-11]
Eric Garvey '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Keller '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Anna O'Connell '22 [9-11]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 1 2 2 3 1 1 4 3 2 2 29 Liliana Taub '24 [1-11]
Isabella Impalli '22 [1-6]
Robert Rubin '23 [7-8]
Catherine Kruse '22 [9-11]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 7 5 1 2 5 4 5 7 7 3 47 River Dixon '20
Kaitlyn Sleys '21
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 3 7 7 9 6 2 6 2 3 4 52 Yanni Tsetsekos '23
Kediel Morales '20
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 5 3 5 6 4 3 3 9 9 6 57 Tamryn Whyte '23 [1-4]
Brianna Dittenhofer '22 [5-8, 11]
Robert Cathell '21 [9-10]
Mackenna Caryl '22 [1-2]
Alec Laundree '20 [3-4]
Isabella Defrancesco '21 [5-6]
Danielle Powell '22 [7-8]
Alexandra Hanson '21 [9-10]
Sarah Belden '21 [11]
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 5 4 6 6 7 8 8 2 5 5 8 64 John Monday '19
Katherine Quinn '22
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 9 8 9 4 8 7 6 8 4 4 5 72 Erica Stone '20
Scott Bernetich '22
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 6 9 8 9 4 3 9 9 6 6 7 76 Stephen Turocy '21 [1-3, 5-11]
Mckenzie Brown '21 [4]
Mckenzie Brown '21 [1-3, 5-11]
Stephen Turocy '21 [4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 7 6 4 8 5 9 7 7 8 8 9 78 Anne Caldwell '20
Emily Baum '21
Greyhounds Greyhounds Greyhounds DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 5 1 1 5 3 2 1 1 3 1 28 Charles Cannon '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Michael Bisson '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Finley Potter '22 [1-2]
Julie Coffman '22 [3-4, 7-10]
Andrew Lynch '22 [5-6, 11]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 1 2 4 2 1 7 4 7 4 7 42 William Cowen-Breen '22 [1-6]
Edward Bless '22 [7-11]
Nikhil De '22 [1-6]
Aliya Ismagilova '22 [7-11]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 8 4 8 3 5 4 5 2 2 2 47 Robert Chapman '22
Daniel Balton '22
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 2 2 3 2 4 7 1 2 9 DNF 6 49 Pearce Bragaw '23 [1-4]
Claire Bullard '21 [5-6, 11]
Quinn Harrington '23 [7-8]
Elizabeth Barile '23 [9-10]
Evan Walter '23 [1-2]
Tobias Bulk '23 [3-4]
Alexandra Starr '22 [5-6]
Shalom Fadullon '22 [7-8]
Mikaela Eck '21 [9-11]
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 9 3 6 7 1 6 3 7 4 1 3 50 Brooke Murphy-Petri '23
Jonah Donis '23
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 7 5 3 6 4 5 6 3 8 5 53 Victoria Larow '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Jessica Traub '20 [3-6, 9-11]
Jessica Traub '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Victoria Larow '22 [3-6, 9-11]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 6 6 9 5 8 2 6 3 6 5 8 64 Tyler Kaplan '21 [1-11]
Wesley Lukas '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Lillian Cardonne '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 7 4 7 6 7 9 9 8 8 7 9 81 Warren Adams '20
Riley Shannon '23
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 8 9 8 9 9 8 8 9 5 6 4 83 Erin Splaine '23 [1-11]
Sydney Bak '24 [1-6]
Julia Pepin '23 [7-11]
Greyhounds Greyhounds Greyhounds DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 121
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens8810102244668
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11335577991
GreyhoundsGreyhounds Greyhounds2244668810102
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps99113355779
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33557799113
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions4466881010224
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers10102244668810
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55779911335
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies6688101022446
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange77991133557

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens99113355779
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons2244668810102
GreyhoundsGreyhounds Greyhounds33557799113
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps10102244668810
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings4466881010224
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions55779911335
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers11335577991
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6688101022446
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies77991133557
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange8810102244668
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Yanni Tsetsekos '23 Kediel Morales '20
Dragons Tyler Kaplan '21 [1-11] Wesley Lukas '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Lillian Cardonne '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College River Dixon '20 Kaitlyn Sleys '21
Vikings Robert Chapman '22 Daniel Balton '22
Penn State University Penn State University Erica Stone '20 Scott Bernetich '22
Nittany Lions Victoria Larow '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Jessica Traub '20 [3-6, 9-11]		 Jessica Traub '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Victoria Larow '22 [3-6, 9-11]
Princeton University Princeton University Liliana Taub '24 [1-11] Isabella Impalli '22 [1-6]
Robert Rubin '23 [7-8]
Catherine Kruse '22 [9-11]
Tigers William Cowen-Breen '22 [1-6]
Edward Bless '22 [7-11]		 Nikhil De '22 [1-6]
Aliya Ismagilova '22 [7-11]
St. John's College St. John's College John Monday '19 Katherine Quinn '22
Johnnies Brooke Murphy-Petri '23 Jonah Donis '23
Syracuse University Syracuse University Anne Caldwell '20 Emily Baum '21
Orange Erin Splaine '23 [1-11] Sydney Bak '24 [1-6]
Julia Pepin '23 [7-11]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Tamryn Whyte '23 [1-4]
Brianna Dittenhofer '22 [5-8, 11]
Robert Cathell '21 [9-10]		 Mackenna Caryl '22 [1-2]
Alec Laundree '20 [3-4]
Isabella Defrancesco '21 [5-6]
Danielle Powell '22 [7-8]
Alexandra Hanson '21 [9-10]
Sarah Belden '21 [11]
Blue Hens Pearce Bragaw '23 [1-4]
Claire Bullard '21 [5-6, 11]
Quinn Harrington '23 [7-8]
Elizabeth Barile '23 [9-10]		 Evan Walter '23 [1-2]
Tobias Bulk '23 [3-4]
Alexandra Starr '22 [5-6]
Shalom Fadullon '22 [7-8]
Mikaela Eck '21 [9-11]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Derek Safieh '21 [1-11] Eric Garvey '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Keller '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Anna O'Connell '22 [9-11]
Terps Charles Cannon '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Michael Bisson '22 [3-4, 7-8]		 Finley Potter '22 [1-2]
Julie Coffman '22 [3-4, 7-10]
Andrew Lynch '22 [5-6, 11]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Stephen Turocy '21 [1-3, 5-11]
Mckenzie Brown '21 [4]		 Mckenzie Brown '21 [1-3, 5-11]
Stephen Turocy '21 [4]
Panthers Warren Adams '20 Riley Shannon '23

Conditions — 09/28/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1018.7 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From SSW (211°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine6.9 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1018.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.31
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →