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Webb/Woollum Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 211
2 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 225
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 258
4 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 268
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 271
6 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 356
7 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 410
8 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 440
9 American University American University Eagles 601
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 A 1 12 4 2 6 3 12 1 6 7 1 5 10 4 1 3 6 13 97 Daniel Hodges '22 [1-18]
Rachel Clarke '23 [1-4, 10-14]
Jonathan Eaton '20 [5-9, 15-18]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos A 2 10 11 1 4 7 7 BKD 13 9 3 3 1 5 7 8 3 2 102 Katarina Catallo '20
Elizabeth Harrington '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 10 9 8 6 1 1 4 6 1 1 BKD 1 6 8 9 6 14 7 104 Colleen Baumann '21
Makalynne Dyer '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 7 1 5 9 7 6 5 12 BKD 2 10 7 8 7 5 7 2 1 107 Frank Frisinger '23
Julia Williams-Portland '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 A 11 3 1 8 2 9 8 8 4 3 5 10 7 3 6 9 13 4 114 Anna Patterson '20
Alesha Darling '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 B 12 8 3 3 14 8 2 5 2 5 12 8 3 13 2 5 10 9 124 Luke Hayes '22
Heath Stockton '22
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies B 5 4 7 12 8 5 1 9 9 10 13 16 12 2 3 2 5 5 128 Reid Shanabrook '22
Jackson Livanec '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 B 9 2 6 5 5 13 11 2 15 4 8 2 5 6 4 4 15 12 128 Brian Fox '23
Alexandria Brooks '22
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies A 4 11 10 10 13 12 10 11 10 13 2 11 4 1 13 1 1 3 140 Christopher Magno '22 [1-18]
Allie Champion '23 [1-10]
Gustav Berner '21 [11-18]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 B 15 6 2 4 3 4 3 7 14 14 7 9 2 10 8 DNF 7 10 144 Emily Key '22 [1, 10]
David Grace '23 [2-9, 11-18]
Julia Burns '22 [1, 10-16]
Emily Key '22 [2-9, 17-18]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 A 13 7 9 11 11 2 9 3 7 8 4 4 11 9 11 10 12 6 147 Zachary Douglass '21 [1-4, 10-12, 15-16]
Jacob Hoagland '22 [5-9, 13-14, 17-18]
Shelby Svilich '23 [1-4, 17-18]
Peter Coburn '23 [5-9, 15-16]
Lauren Wilkinson '23 [10-12]
Maiya Foleck '01 [13-14]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 3 5 13 7 10 11 6 14 5 6 6 6 9 11 17 11 4 11 155 Connor Chapin '20
Maria Torregrosa '21
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps A 14 13 14 17 12 10 15 4 3 12 9 13 13 12 15 15 11 14 216 Natalie Jones '20
Julie Coffman '22
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps B 6 14 BKD 14 9 15 14 10 8 16 14 14 14 14 14 13 8 15 224 Madeline Mulligan '20
Katherine Crawford '22
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos B 8 15 12 13 17 17 13 15 16 17 17 15 15 16 10 12 9 17 254 Emma Sullivan '23 [1-4, 10-14]
Matthew Weisenfluh '20 [5-9, 15-18]
Lauren Murphy '23 [1-4, 10-18]
Sarah Besecky '23 [5-9]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 16 16 16 15 15 14 16 17 12 11 11 12 17 15 12 14 18 8 255 Nina Willms '20 [1-9]
Claire Rae '20 [10-18]
Elizabeth Plaster '20 [1-9]
American University American University Eagles A 17 17 17 16 16 16 18 13 11 15 15 17 16 17 16 16 16 16 285 Cala Coffman '21
Fan Tai Bridges '21
American University American University Eagles B 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 16 17 18 16 18 18 18 18 17 17 18 316 Marty Isaacson '22 [1-2, 10-14]
Kathleen Yellin '23 [3-9, 15-18]
Kathleen Yellin '23 [1-2, 10-14]
Marty Isaacson '22 [3-9, 15-18]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles112233445566778899
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 122111818171716161515141413131212
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 23344556677889910101111
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 34433221118181717161615151414
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps665544332211181817171616
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs55667788991010111112121313
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos778899101011111212131314141515
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies88776655443322111818
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe9910101111121213131414151516161717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles10109988776655443322
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 11111121213131414151516161717181811
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 2121211111010998877665544
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 3131314141515161617171818112233
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps15151616171718181122334455
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1414131312121111101099887766
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161515141413131212111110109988
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1717181811223344556677
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Cala Coffman '21 Fan Tai Bridges '21
Eagles Marty Isaacson '22 [1-2, 10-14]
Kathleen Yellin '23 [3-9, 15-18]		 Kathleen Yellin '23 [1-2, 10-14]
Marty Isaacson '22 [3-9, 15-18]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Daniel Hodges '22 [1-18] Rachel Clarke '23 [1-4, 10-14]
Jonathan Eaton '20 [5-9, 15-18]
Captains 1 Brian Fox '23 Alexandria Brooks '22
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Anna Patterson '20 Alesha Darling '20
Captains 2 Emily Key '22 [1, 10]
David Grace '23 [2-9, 11-18]		 Julia Burns '22 [1, 10-16]
Emily Key '22 [2-9, 17-18]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Zachary Douglass '21 [1-4, 10-12, 15-16]
Jacob Hoagland '22 [5-9, 13-14, 17-18]		 Shelby Svilich '23 [1-4, 17-18]
Peter Coburn '23 [5-9, 15-16]
Lauren Wilkinson '23 [10-12]
Maiya Foleck '01 [13-14]
Captains 3 Luke Hayes '22 Heath Stockton '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Colleen Baumann '21 Makalynne Dyer '22
Monarchs Frank Frisinger '23 Julia Williams-Portland '21
University of Maryland University of Maryland Natalie Jones '20 Julie Coffman '22
Terps Madeline Mulligan '20 Katherine Crawford '22
University of Virginia University of Virginia Katarina Catallo '20 Elizabeth Harrington '22
Wahoos Emma Sullivan '23 [1-4, 10-14]
Matthew Weisenfluh '20 [5-9, 15-18]		 Lauren Murphy '23 [1-4, 10-18]
Sarah Besecky '23 [5-9]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Christopher Magno '22 [1-18] Allie Champion '23 [1-10]
Gustav Berner '21 [11-18]
Hokies Reid Shanabrook '22 Jackson Livanec '21
William and Mary William and Mary Connor Chapin '20 Maria Torregrosa '21
Tribe Nina Willms '20 [1-9]
Claire Rae '20 [10-18]		 Elizabeth Plaster '20 [1-9]

Conditions — 10/05/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1026.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.2 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From ENE (68°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1026.6 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 13 kn* · S 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →