Emma Biagioni Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 18 13 31
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 11 24 35
3 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 17 30 47
4 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 34 14 48
5 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 32 37 69
6 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 61 47 108
7 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 59 52 111
8 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 57 55 112
9 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 68 50 118
10 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 48 71 119
11 Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 74 72 146
12 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 67 82 149
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 3 1 1 1 3 11 Billy Vogel '25
Samuel Stephens '25
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 17 Liam Walz '21 [1-7]
Adrienne Johnson '22 [1-4]
Andrew Michels '25 [5-7]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 3 1 4 3 4 1 18 Emma Turner '23
Molly Sullivan '23
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 3 5 4 6 5 5 4 32 Nick Maude '22 [1-7]
Crown Steiner '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Christopher Ford '23 [3-4]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 8 4 5 3 4 3 7 34 George Lockwood '25
Dylan Gorman '25
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 7 7 10 5 7 6 6 48 Henry Westlind '23
Makenna Whiting '23
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 9 8 8 6 12 8 57 Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-4]
Grace Goszkowicz '22 [5-7]
Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1-2]
Natalie Glover '25 [3-4]
Gabriella Thomas '25 [5-6]
Laura Prince '24 [7]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 10 10 6 9 8 11 5 59 Corinne Nedeau '22 [1-4]
Eva Rossell '23 [5-7]
Charlotte Jaqua '24 [1-6]
Mila Straskraba '25 [7]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 9 6 7 7 11 10 11 61 Chase Ireland '22 [1-7]
John Sullivan '25 [1-2]
Lindsey Allen '25 [3-7]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 11 9 10 12 9 12 67 Alex Schock '25
Carly Fraker '23
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 11 8 11 11 9 8 10 68 Abigale Airo '24
Makenzie Reid '24
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 12 12 12 12 10 7 9 74 Avie Krauss '24
Danielle Paten '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 2 2 5 1 1 1 13 Brittany Shabino '25
Frannie Lambie '23
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 14 Mary Castellini '25
Mabel Sliney '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 3 3 1 4 3 5 24 Zachary Beyer '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Samuel Ephraim '22 [3-4]
Hal Berdichesky '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Yuchen Zhou '23 [3-4]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 6 4 4 2 2 6 6 30 Sarah Corder '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Mitchell Irwin '22 [3-4]
Carly Irwin '25 [1-2]
Garrett Szlachta '25 [3-4]
Maddy Gallagher '22 [5-7]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 4 8 6 6 5 5 3 37 Siri Schantz '23
Carly Wisner '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 7 9 7 9 4 8 47 Erin Flanagan '23 [1-7]
Colin Gagne '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Lindsey Heben '23 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 7 6 10 8 7 8 4 50 Jack Lefevre '24 [1-7]
Gonzalo Hurtado '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Gwenyth Schimmel '25 [3-4]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 8 5 8 11 6 7 7 52 Brynna Smith '22 [1-7]
Guy Sloan '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Mila Straskraba '25 [3-4]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 10 10 5 4 8 9 9 55 Audrey Kaczmarek '23 [1-2]
Jack Bergman '24 [3-4]
Charles Soucey '22 [5-7]
Addison Panse '22 [1-2]
Neva Brown '25 [3-4]
Ceara Donovan '22 [5-7]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 9 9 7 DNF 11 11 11 71 Andrew Tallmadge '22
Scott Minshall '24
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 11 11 11 9 10 10 10 72 Sarah Rozboril '22
Morgan Lovegrove '24
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 12 12 12 10 12 12 12 82 Jayson Miller '22
Shelby Level '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers1133557
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen2244668
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles3355779
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines10101212113
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans44668810
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats6688101012
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats88101012121
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes779911114327
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals991111432743272
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets111143274327224
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos4327432722446
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers121211335

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers2244668
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen3355779
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles44668810
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines111143274327224
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans55779911
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats779911114327
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats991111432743272
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes88101012121
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals10101212113
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets121211335
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1133557
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers4327432722446
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Liam Walz '21 [1-7] Adrienne Johnson '22 [1-4]
Andrew Michels '25 [5-7]
Lakers Sarah Corder '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Mitchell Irwin '22 [3-4]
Carly Irwin '25 [1-2]
Garrett Szlachta '25 [3-4]
Maddy Gallagher '22 [5-7]
Hope College Hope College Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-4]
Grace Goszkowicz '22 [5-7]
Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1-2]
Natalie Glover '25 [3-4]
Gabriella Thomas '25 [5-6]
Laura Prince '24 [7]
Flying Dutchmen Audrey Kaczmarek '23 [1-2]
Jack Bergman '24 [3-4]
Charles Soucey '22 [5-7]
Addison Panse '22 [1-2]
Neva Brown '25 [3-4]
Ceara Donovan '22 [5-7]
Marquette University Marquette University Emma Turner '23 Molly Sullivan '23
Golden Eagles Brittany Shabino '25 Frannie Lambie '23
Michigan State University Michigan State University Corinne Nedeau '22 [1-4]
Eva Rossell '23 [5-7]
Charlotte Jaqua '24 [1-6]
Mila Straskraba '25 [7]
Spartans Brynna Smith '22 [1-7] Guy Sloan '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Mila Straskraba '25 [3-4]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Henry Westlind '23 Makenna Whiting '23
Wildcats Andrew Tallmadge '22 Scott Minshall '24
Ohio State University Ohio State University Chase Ireland '22 [1-7] John Sullivan '25 [1-2]
Lindsey Allen '25 [3-7]
Buckeyes Erin Flanagan '23 [1-7] Colin Gagne '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Lindsey Heben '23 [3-4]
Ohio University Ohio University Nick Maude '22 [1-7] Crown Steiner '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Christopher Ford '23 [3-4]
Bobcats Siri Schantz '23 Carly Wisner '25
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Avie Krauss '24 Danielle Paten '22
Cardinals Sarah Rozboril '22 Morgan Lovegrove '24
University of Michigan University of Michigan Billy Vogel '25 Samuel Stephens '25
Wolverines Zachary Beyer '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Samuel Ephraim '22 [3-4]
Hal Berdichesky '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Yuchen Zhou '23 [3-4]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Alex Schock '25 Carly Fraker '23
Rockets Jayson Miller '22 Shelby Level '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin George Lockwood '25 Dylan Gorman '25
Badgers Mary Castellini '25 Mabel Sliney '25
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Abigale Airo '24 Makenzie Reid '24
Broncos Jack Lefevre '24 [1-7] Gonzalo Hurtado '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Gwenyth Schimmel '25 [3-4]

Conditions — 10/23/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1016.6 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · E 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hope: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.56 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hope by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Hope, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →