University of Michigan '25
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.69 | 169 of 251 | 81 | Fall 2024 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.49 (fleet 2.06) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 20–20 (50%) as crew 4–1 (80%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 4 | 19–14 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 1–6 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 1 | — | 4–1 |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (45 matches) the record is 24–21 against 23.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-24 | ICSA Open Team Race National Championship | skipper | 1.97 | -1.03 | 0–10 | 0.0 | ≤−3.00 | 0.0 | >99% |
| 2025-04-04 | MCSA Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.86 | 4.86 | 6–0 | 5.1 | ≥+3.00 | 1.4 | 35% |
| 2025-03-29 | Big 10 Team Race | skipper | 1.66 | 2.38 | 10–2 | 8.7 | +0.72 | 0.7 | 29% |
| 2025-03-15 | Washington College Team Race | skipper | 1.61 | 1.53 | 3–2 | 3.1 | −0.07 | 0.0 | 75% |
| 2024-03-16 | Washington College Open Team Race | skipper | 1.78 | -0.27 | 1–6 | 2.9 | −2.06 | 2.6 | 99% |
| 2022-04-02 | Big Ten Team Race | crew | 1.14 | 1.44 | 4–1 | 3.8 | +0.30 | 0.0 | 64% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 60% | — |
| MCSA Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 10 | 90% | — |
| ICSA Open Team Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 15 | 0% | — |
| Big 10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 83% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MCSA Open Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.1 | 1.84 |
| MCSA Open Fall Championship | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.6 | 1.95 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| MCSA Singlehanded Championship: Open ILCA 7 Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.8 | 3.47 |
| Glen S. Foster Trophy Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 17.3 | 0.23 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Laker Showdown | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.8 | 2.39 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Glen S. Foster Trophy Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 16.9 | 0.73 |
| MCSA Men's Singlehanded Qualifiers Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 1.4 | 3.96 |
| Cary Price | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.8 | 2.29 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| First Year Icebreaker | Skipper | A | 15 | 3.3 | 2.40 |
| Cream City Classic | Skipper | B | 8 | 1.0 | — |
| Big Ten Team Race | Crew | TR | 6 | 83% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| The Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 15.2 | 1.94 |
| MCSA Men's Singlehanded Championships Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.9 | 1.99 |
| Emma Biagioni Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 7 | 1.6 | 3.92 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Billy Vogel |  Grosse Pointe South High School |
'21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
