Navigate

First Year Icebreaker

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 49 34 83
2 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 53 36 89
3 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 48 73 121
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 72 70 142
5 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 71 77 148
6 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 99 67 166
7 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 121 89 210
8 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 76 156 232
9 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 129 116 245
10 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 137 134 271
11 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 138 142 280
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 6 3 2 3 2 3 1 5 2 1 6 2 1 5 6 48 Joseph Gallagher '24
John Szymanski '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 4 3 1 7 1 3 1 1 9 3 3 9 2 1 49 Billy Vogel '25 [1-15]
Yuchen Zhou '23 [1-3, 11-15]
Zachary Beyer '25 [4-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 5 1 1 5 1 4 4 3 4 11 4 1 4 3 2 53 Brittany Shabino '25
Joaquin Lopez '25
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 3 2 6 2 4 2 11 6 3 6 7 7 6 1 5 71 Jack Viscuso '25
Rose Cummins '24
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 2 8 4 7 6 7 5 2 5 3 1 8 5 6 3 72 Luke Koerschner '23
Aidan King '25
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 7 5 9 4 5 6 2 4 7 2 2 4 2 9 8 76 Iain Mcsweeney '25
Alex Silecky '24
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 4 7 7 6 3 9 8 8 11 4 5 5 8 4 10 99 Caroline Grin '25
Maya Dunn '25
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 9 9 5 10 11 10 10 9 6 5 9 11 3 7 7 121 Nok In Chan '24 [1-2, 11-12]
Edwin Becker '25 [3-10, 13-15]
Edwin Becker '25 [1-2, 11-12]
Nok In Chan '24 [3-10, 13-15]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes OCS 11 11 9 8 8 9 7 8 8 8 6 10 10 4 129 Emily Williams '25
Matthew Valerin '25
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 8 10 8 11 9 5 7 11 10 7 10 10 11 11 9 137 Cecilia Patrick '25 [1-10]
Carmela D’Antuono '24 [11-15]
Katie Honegger '25 [1-4, 9-15]
Muskaan Agarwal '25 [5-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 OCS 6 10 8 10 11 6 10 9 10 11 9 7 8 11 138 Kate Crannell '24 [1-15]
Mila Straskraba '25 [1-2, 5-15]
Sophie Yanachik '25 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 4 4 6 3 34 Samuel Stephens '25
Bryson Denuyl '24
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 3 3 1 1 2 2 1 3 2 3 3 1 7 2 36 Jenna Kozal '24
Anna Donnelly '24
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 3 5 7 4 6 4 8 7 4 3 2 5 2 1 6 67 Abigail Paul '25
Abigail Baker '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 7 4 4 8 5 7 7 6 5 5 4 1 3 3 1 70 Dominique Delano '23
Brynna Smith '22
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 6 2 8 5 3 DNF 3 2 1 6 5 2 8 5 5 73 Joseph Thuente '24 [1-15]
Isaiah Pesch '25 [1-4, 9-12]
Claudia Parisi '24 [5-8, 13-15]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 4 8 2 7 4 5 6 4 7 4 7 7 6 2 4 77 Andrew Gallagher '24 [1-15]
Arianna Denning '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Maddalena Stroik '26 [5-8, 13-15]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 5 6 6 6 7 3 4 5 6 8 8 6 7 4 8 89 Joseph Mowrey '25
William Bernhardt '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 8 7 5 2 11 9 10 8 8 7 6 9 9 8 9 116 Jolene Jirousek '25
Asha Edmondson '23
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 9 9 9 9 8 8 5 10 9 9 10 8 10 10 11 134 Charlie Lemkuil '22 [1-8]
Theresa Villa '23 [9-15]
Natalia Luna '24 [1-4]
Brennah Satterfield '23 [5-8]
Ishani Basak '25 [9-15]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 10 10 11 11 10 10 9 9 10 10 11 10 5 9 7 142 Alexander Maas '24 [1-15]
Guy Sloan '24 [1-2, 5-6, 11-15]
Kaiya Lawing '25 [3-4, 7-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 11 11 10 10 9 6 11 11 11 DNF 9 11 DNF DNS 10 156 Nicholas Silecky '25 [1-15]
Brian Pribe '22 [1-13, 15]
Kenny Tran '24 [14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles11335577991111222
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 166881010113355777
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 277991111224466888
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 122446688101011333
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 233557799111122444
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 188101011335577999
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 299111122446688101010
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 310101133557799111111
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes44668810101133555
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers55779911112244666
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets1111224466881010111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles22446688101011333
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 177991111224466888
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 288101011335577999
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 133557799111122444
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 244668810101133555
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 199111122446688101010
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 210101133557799111111
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31111224466881010111
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes55779911112244666
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers66881010113355777
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets11335577991111222
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Brittany Shabino '25 Joaquin Lopez '25
Golden Eagles Jenna Kozal '24 Anna Donnelly '24
Michigan State University Michigan State University Luke Koerschner '23 Aidan King '25
Spartans 1 Dominique Delano '23 Brynna Smith '22
Michigan State University Michigan State University Kate Crannell '24 [1-15] Mila Straskraba '25 [1-2, 5-15]
Sophie Yanachik '25 [3-4]
Spartans 2 Alexander Maas '24 [1-15] Guy Sloan '24 [1-2, 5-6, 11-15]
Kaiya Lawing '25 [3-4, 7-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Emily Williams '25 Matthew Valerin '25
Buckeyes Jolene Jirousek '25 Asha Edmondson '23
Purdue University Purdue University Nok In Chan '24 [1-2, 11-12]
Edwin Becker '25 [3-10, 13-15]		 Edwin Becker '25 [1-2, 11-12]
Nok In Chan '24 [3-10, 13-15]
Boilermakers Joseph Mowrey '25 William Bernhardt '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Billy Vogel '25 [1-15] Yuchen Zhou '23 [1-3, 11-15]
Zachary Beyer '25 [4-10]
Wolverines 1 Samuel Stephens '25 Bryson Denuyl '24
University of Michigan University of Michigan Caroline Grin '25 Maya Dunn '25
Wolverines 2 Abigail Paul '25 Abigail Baker '25
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Cecilia Patrick '25 [1-10]
Carmela D’Antuono '24 [11-15]		 Katie Honegger '25 [1-4, 9-15]
Muskaan Agarwal '25 [5-8]
Fighting Irish 1 Charlie Lemkuil '22 [1-8]
Theresa Villa '23 [9-15]		 Natalia Luna '24 [1-4]
Brennah Satterfield '23 [5-8]
Ishani Basak '25 [9-15]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Joseph Gallagher '24 John Szymanski '25
Fighting Irish 2 Joseph Thuente '24 [1-15] Isaiah Pesch '25 [1-4, 9-12]
Claudia Parisi '24 [5-8, 13-15]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Jack Viscuso '25 Rose Cummins '24
Fighting Irish 3 Andrew Gallagher '24 [1-15] Arianna Denning '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Maddalena Stroik '26 [5-8, 13-15]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Iain Mcsweeney '25 Alex Silecky '24
Rockets Nicholas Silecky '25 [1-15] Brian Pribe '22 [1-13, 15]
Kenny Tran '24 [14]

Conditions — 03/26/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌨️Slight snow
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

31°F
↑ 33°F   ↓ 30°F
Feels like 19°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.8 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 30.3 kn
From NW (315°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1010.6 hPa Snow0.28 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · NW 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Notre Dame: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Notre Dame by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Notre Dame, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →