SAISA Women's Conference Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 12 24 36
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 22 17 39
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 34 22 56
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 35 29 64
5 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 36 43 79
6 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 34 51 85
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 52 38 90
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 63 64 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 12 Charlotte Rose '22
Rori Bywater '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 3 4 5 2 2 3 22 Emma Shakespeare '24
Carolina Perez Rovira '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 3 4 2 3 4 6 7 34 Olivia Sowa '24
Annika Milstien '25
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 5 6 3 4 5 4 1 34 Carolina Cassedy '22
Christine Catherman '22
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 7 2 5 7 3 1 6 35 Kiera Oreardon '22 [1-3, 6-8]
Rowan Schanley '24 [4-5]
Kalea Woodard '24 [1-3, 6-8]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 3 4 5 6 2 7 5 4 36 Katie Nelson '24
Kristen Cooper '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 8 6 7 7 6 6 7 5 52 Ashley Delisser '24 [1-6]
Julianna Skoglund '23 [7-8]
Grace Harden '22 [1-6]
Chloe Beach '24 [7-8]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 63 Anika Pruim '22 [1-3]
Jane Caroline Minchew '25 [4-8]
Evelyn Earnhardt '25 [1-3]
Joey Dunn '25 [4-6]
Emma Frank '25 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 4 3 2 1 2 3 17 Sydney Monahan '23
Olivia Smith '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 5 1 2 3 6 1 1 22 Isabella Du Plessis '24
Josey Buescher '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 4 2 1 1 3 6 2 24 Emily Allen '25
Grace Benzal '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 2 3 7 4 2 3 6 29 Fredrikke Foss '25
Noelle Owen '23
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 3 5 5 5 4 5 7 38 Sandra Heilshorn '23
Laura Johnston '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 7 6 7 4 6 5 4 4 43 Kathleen Lojko '23
Breanna Brobst '22
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 7 6 6 7 7 7 5 51 Natalie Aramendia '25 [1-8]
Caroline Maloney '22 [1-3, 7-8]
Stella Wang '22 [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 64 Felicity Davies '23 [1-8]
Lizzie Anderson '23 [1-3]
Deborah Stewart '23 [4-6]
Sydney Mitchell '23 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11133355
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils22244466
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles33355577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44466688
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes66688822
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55577711
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88822244
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks77711133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22244466
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils33355577
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles44466688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins55577711
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77711133
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66688822
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls11133355
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks88822244

Conditions — 10/30/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1003.4 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From WSW (246°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1003.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →