SAISA Fall Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 13 16 29
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 16 17 33
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 27 10 37
4 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 26 27 53
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 29 31 60
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 20 42 62
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 40 47 87
8 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 49 41 90
9 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 59 43 102
10 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 58 63 121
11 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 61 66 127
12 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 70 65 135
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 1 2 1 4 2 13 Emily Allen '25
Piper Desantis '23
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 2 1 4 1 7 16 Sydney Monahan '23
Olivia Smith '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 3 4 6 2 3 20 Eden Nykamp '25
Amelia Johnson '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 4 6 3 5 3 5 26 Katie Nelson '24
Avery Harris '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 6 5 6 3 6 1 27 Grace Squires '24
Lucy Klempen '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 4 7 2 5 6 29 Olivia Sowa '24
Abby Scudder '24
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 8 5 7 9 4 40 Marina Geilen '25
Laura Johnston '25
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 8 7 11 8 7 8 49 Sofia Scarpa '26 [1-6]
Samantha Harvey '25 [1-3]
Mary Macdonald '24 [4-6]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 9 12 8 9 10 10 58 Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Paige Arneson '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 12 9 9 10 8 11 59 Ka Hamner '26
Angelina Khourisader '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 10 10 11 11 9 61 Lauren Mellinger '25
Isabelle Pobanz '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 11 11 12 12 12 12 70 Sarah Weese '24 [1-3]
Emma Pope '25 [4-6]
Emma Pope '25 [1-3]
Sarah Weese '24 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 3 3 10 Emma Tallman '25
Roxanne Snyder '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 2 2 2 1 6 16 Kaitlyn Liebel '26 [1-3]
Agija Elerte '26 [4-6]
Mary Mann '23 [1-3]
Rori Bywater '25 [4-6]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 3 3 4 4 1 17 Emma Shakespeare '24
Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 10 5 5 3 2 2 27 Niah Ford '26
Olivia Hanley '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 4 4 5 5 9 31 Isabella Du Plessis '24
Annika Milstien '25
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 7 8 6 10 6 4 41 Annslee Maloy '26 [1-6]
Hattie Lechner '26 [1-3]
Samantha Harvey '25 [4-5]
Mary Macdonald '24 [6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 6 8 8 8 7 42 Lily Schwartz '25
Tess Heilman '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 7 7 9 7 5 43 Emily Threeton '26
Zi Burns '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 9 9 6 9 8 47 Sandra Heilshorn '23
Olivia Campmany '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 12 10 10 7 12 12 63 Samantha Piccerillo '25
Kathleen Perry '24
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 11 11 12 11 10 10 65 Abigail Austin '24
Alexandra Brown '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 12 11 12 11 11 66 Charlotte Meyers '25
Khushi Sharma '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars111333
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons222444
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles333555
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles555777
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs101010121212
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets666888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins777999
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes111111111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack888101010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars999111111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls121212222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222444
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons333555
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles444666
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles666888
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers555777
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs111111111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets777999
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins888101010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes121212222
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack999111111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars101010121212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111333
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Grace Squires '24 Lucy Klempen '24
Cougars Emma Tallman '25 Roxanne Snyder '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Eden Nykamp '25 Amelia Johnson '25
Tritons Lily Schwartz '25 Tess Heilman '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22 Paige Arneson '25
Eagles Samantha Piccerillo '25 Kathleen Perry '24
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Sofia Scarpa '26 [1-6] Samantha Harvey '25 [1-3]
Mary Macdonald '24 [4-6]
Panthers Annslee Maloy '26 [1-6] Hattie Lechner '26 [1-3]
Samantha Harvey '25 [4-5]
Mary Macdonald '24 [6]
Florida State University Florida State University Katie Nelson '24 Avery Harris '25
Seminoles Niah Ford '26 Olivia Hanley '24
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Lauren Mellinger '25 Isabelle Pobanz '23
Yellow Jackets Charlotte Meyers '25 Khushi Sharma '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Emily Allen '25 Piper Desantis '23
Fins Kaitlyn Liebel '26 [1-3]
Agija Elerte '26 [4-6]
Mary Mann '23 [1-3]
Rori Bywater '25 [4-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Olivia Sowa '24 Abby Scudder '24
Wolfpack Isabella Du Plessis '24 Annika Milstien '25
Rollins College Rollins College Ka Hamner '26 Angelina Khourisader '23
Tars Emily Threeton '26 Zi Burns '26
University of Georgia University of Georgia Sarah Weese '24 [1-3]
Emma Pope '25 [4-6]
Emma Pope '25 [1-3]
Sarah Weese '24 [4-6]
Bulldogs Abigail Austin '24 Alexandra Brown '23
University of Miami University of Miami Marina Geilen '25 Laura Johnston '25
Hurricanes Sandra Heilshorn '23 Olivia Campmany '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Sydney Monahan '23 Olivia Smith '23
Bulls Emma Shakespeare '24 Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24

Conditions — 10/28/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NNE (13°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1019.5 hPa Rain0.26 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →