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Charleston Fall Interconference

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 128
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Lady Cougars 174
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 184
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 193
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 236
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 288
7 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 312
8 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 389
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Lady Cougars B 3 1 1 3 6 1 6 2 3 1 3 6 1 9 46 Bella Shakespeare '27 [1-14]
Ashley Alfortish '27 [1-6, 11-14]
Paige Lubrano '26 [7-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 9 2 7 8 3 5 1 1 2 5 2 7 2 7 61 Lawson Levine '24
Andrea Melnik '27
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 4 12 2 5 1 7 9 4 5 3 8 1 3 3 67 Brandon Geller '23
Brylie Schaubach '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 2 7 5 4 8 10 4 5 11 9 1 3 4 10 83 Adam Larson '24
Shea Hoffacker '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 1 9 6 1 9 2 14 6 6 11 6 4 8 5 88 Matthew King '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Patrick Igoe '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Rori Bywater '25 [1-14]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 6 6 3 10 12 3 2 7 8 13 5 8 7 6 96 Owen Bannasch '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Brent Penwarden '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Ella Wisely '27 [1-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 5 8 12 15 11 8 3 3 7 2 7 12 13 1 107 Humberto Porrata '25
Emmy Digiacomo '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 12 10 9 2 4 9 7 12 14 15 4 5 5 2 110 Benjamin Usher '27
Blaine Garner '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 13 3 8 16 2 6 5 8 4 4 13 13 10 11 116 Magnus Weissenberger '25 [1-4]
Brendan Jay '27 [5-14]
Brady Briggs '27 [1-4]
Magnus Weissenberger '25 [5-8]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [9-14]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 14 4 11 11 7 4 13 10 1 10 9 10 9 13 126 Brady Parks '25
Joseph Martinez '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Lady Cougars A 10 5 4 7 10 13 8 14 12 8 14 9 6 8 128 Fredrikke Foss '25
Sophia Browne '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 7 13 10 6 15 11 12 11 10 6 11 2 11 4 129 Jordan Byrd '24 [1-5, 10-14]
Andreas Keswater '24 [6-9]
Madisen Hamai '26 [1-5, 10-14]
Melissa Janes '26 [6-9]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 8 11 13 9 16 15 10 16 15 14 10 11 12 12 172 Zachary Ward '25 [1-4, 11-14]
Timothy Hibben '27 [5-10]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [1-4]
Brady Briggs '27 [5-10]
Timothy Hibben '27 [11-14]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 15 15 14 12 5 14 16 9 9 12 12 14 15 15 177 Joshua Bendura '26 [1-14]
Grace Booth '27 [1-2]
Sebastian Beavers '26 [3-14]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 11 14 15 14 14 12 15 13 13 7 15 15 14 14 186 Madison Roy '25 [1-14]
Matthew Aguilera '26 [1-4]
Kristen Cooper '25 [5-14]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 16 16 16 13 13 16 11 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 212 Walter Roou '25
Carson Rozell '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars221116161515141413131212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Lady Cougars33445566778899
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11223344556677
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles44332211161615151414
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins556677889910101111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes7788991010111112121313
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack6655443322111616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88776655443322

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1010998877665544
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Lady Cougars11111212131314141515161611
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains99101011111212131314141515
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles12121111101099887766
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1313141415151616112233
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes151516161122334455
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack141413131212111110109988
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Joshua Bendura '26 [1-14] Grace Booth '27 [1-2]
Sebastian Beavers '26 [3-14]
Captains Walter Roou '25 Carson Rozell '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Brandon Geller '23 Brylie Schaubach '26
Cougars Lawson Levine '24 Andrea Melnik '27
College of Charleston College of Charleston Fredrikke Foss '25 Sophia Browne '25
Lady Cougars Bella Shakespeare '27 [1-14] Ashley Alfortish '27 [1-6, 11-14]
Paige Lubrano '26 [7-10]
Florida State University Florida State University Brady Parks '25 Joseph Martinez '24
Seminoles Madison Roy '25 [1-14] Matthew Aguilera '26 [1-4]
Kristen Cooper '25 [5-14]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Matthew King '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Patrick Igoe '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Rori Bywater '25 [1-14]
Fins Owen Bannasch '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Brent Penwarden '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Ella Wisely '27 [1-14]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Adam Larson '24 Shea Hoffacker '27
Wolfpack Benjamin Usher '27 Blaine Garner '25
University of Miami University of Miami Zachary Ward '25 [1-4, 11-14]
Timothy Hibben '27 [5-10]		 Eva Klovatskiy '26 [1-4]
Brady Briggs '27 [5-10]
Timothy Hibben '27 [11-14]
Hurricanes Magnus Weissenberger '25 [1-4]
Brendan Jay '27 [5-14]		 Brady Briggs '27 [1-4]
Magnus Weissenberger '25 [5-8]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [9-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Jordan Byrd '24 [1-5, 10-14]
Andreas Keswater '24 [6-9]		 Madisen Hamai '26 [1-5, 10-14]
Melissa Janes '26 [6-9]
Bulls Humberto Porrata '25 Emmy Digiacomo '24

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From NE (50°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn · NE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →