NE Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 16 17 33
2 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 21 21 42
3 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 19 28 47
4 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 24 31 55
5 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 26 29 55
6 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 43 24 67
7 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 45 39 84
8 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 52 39 91
9 Huskies Huskies Huskies 44 58 102
10 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 40 66 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 1 1 2 6 4 16 Emil Tullberg '25 [1-6]
Shannon Gondoly '25 [1-3]
Frances Donahoe '24 [4-6]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 6 3 1 2 3 19 Walter Chiles '27
Isabelle Vagell '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 4 2 4 3 5 21 Ted Lutton '24
Claudia Mabley '24
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 3 5 10 4 1 24 Marshall Rodes '26
Hannah Ditmars '24
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 2 4 5 1 9 26 Sean Lund '26
Abigail Forcier '25
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 6 7 9 8 8 2 40 Wilfred Hynes '26
Grace Kokkotos '27
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 8 9 6 7 5 8 43 No Show
No Show
Huskies Huskies Huskies 9 8 8 3 10 6 44
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 5 7 9 7 10 45 Katherine Weaver '25
Emilia Oliver '26
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 10 10 10 6 9 7 52 Andrew Graham '24 [1-6]
Emily King '25 [1-3]
Ian Mccaffrey '25 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 3 6 2 2 1 17 Sean Morrison '27
Charlotte Martinez '23
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 1 2 4 5 7 21 Cameron Frary '24
Greta Shuster '25
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 1 6 1 1 4 DSQ 24 Peter Schnell '26
No Show
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 4 3 6 8 3 28 William Procter '24
Annabelle Wyman '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 2 4 5 6 6 29 Henry Poynter '26
Avery Wilson '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 5 5 7 7 3 4 31 Cole Perra '26
Evelyn Buxton '26
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 7 5 8 7 5 39 Harry Boutemy '24
Peter Wang '24
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs DNF DNS DNS 3 1 2 39 Emily King '25 [1-3]
Ian Mccaffrey '25 [4-6]
Brian Boguejimenez '28 [1-3]
Huskies Huskies Huskies DNF 8 8 9 DSQ DSQ 58
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 66 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats111444
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons444555
HuskiesHuskies Huskies999101010
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen101010111111
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds555666
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers666777
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats121212111
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix777888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks888999
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs111111121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats888999
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons999101010
HuskiesHuskies Huskies444555
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen555666
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds101010111111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers111111121212
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats777888
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix121212111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111444
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs666777

Conditions — 10/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1011.4 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From WSW (258°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1011.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn · E 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.39 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →