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Salve Regina Fleet Race Invite

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 4 4
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 5 5
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 11 11
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 11 11
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 15 15
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 17 17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 3151515
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 1101010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 2111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 3121212

Conditions — 10/14/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1008.6 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine4.4 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1008.6 hPa Rain0.04 in

What this breeze does at Salve Regina — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Salve Regina in this breeze: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled fleet-race days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →