SAISA South Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 10 7 17
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 26 15 41
3 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 24 24 48
4 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 14 34 48
5 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 23 36 59
6 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 35 26 61
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 36 27 63
8 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 48 50 98
9 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 66 66 132
10 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 86 MRP 86 MRP 172 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 3 3 1 1 1 10 Hank Seum '27
Taylor Collison '28
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 5 1 2 2 2 2 14 Brendan Smucker '25
Madison Shore '27
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 4 2 1 6 7 3 23 Dawson Kohl '27
Priscilla Foster '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 4 5 4 3 6 24 Steven Hardee '26 [1-3]
Nathan Long '28 [4-6]
Cora Johnson '27 [1-3]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 6 4 3 6 4 26 Blake March '27
Catherine Brennan '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 6 5 7 5 5 7 35 Zechariah Frantz '25
Rylie Cataldo '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 7 6 7 4 5 36 Jack Adderley '28 [1-6]
Henry Campbell '25 [1-3]
Nora Vandermeid '27 [4-6]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 8 8 8 8 8 8 48 Ayden Feria '27
Rajshibhu Pandey '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 66 No Show
No Show
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 86 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 1 1 1 1 7 Stefanos Pappas '25
Cheyenne Dooley '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 2 2 3 5 15 Luke Justin '25
Colin Molnar '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 4 3 4 5 4 24 David Webb '28 [1-3]
Christopher Mccollum '28 [4-6]
Isaac Van Buren '28 [1-3]
Robin Burger '28 [4-6]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 3 6 6 7 2 2 26 Mason Howell '28
Paige Arneson '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 6 7 4 3 4 3 27 Matthew Sexton '28
Isabel Brenner '28
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 7 3 5 6 7 6 34 Annslee Maloy '26
Nicholas Norman '26
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 5 5 7 5 6 8 36 Nathan Hjort '27
Nicole Hirt '25
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 8 8 8 DNF 8 7 50 Austin Rupert '26
Sean Clark '25
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 66 No Show
No Show
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 86 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111333
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators888101010
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers333555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444666
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes999111
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish555777
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars666888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls101010222
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights777999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons222444
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles333555
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators999111
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins555777
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes101010222
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish666888
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars777999
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111333
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights888101010

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1011.6 hPa

Temperature

85°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 79°F
Feels like 95°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SSE (164°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1011.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Palm Beach Atlantic: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Palm Beach Atlantic by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Palm Beach Atlantic, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →