ICSA/Gill Coed Dinghy Nationals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 102 77 179
2 Yale University Yale University Elis 68 131 199
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 145 86 231
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 111 151 262
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 154 161 315
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 225 93 318
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 180 144 324
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 177 163 340
9 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 161 196 357
10 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 195 167 362
11 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 159 207 366
12 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 184 195 379
13 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 189 193 382
14 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 189 206 395
15 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 191 205 396
16 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 219 203 422
17 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 190 269 459
18 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 231 236 467
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Elis 1 1 8 3 7 13 3 2 5 1 2 1 2 5 9 2 2 1 68 Thomas Barrows '10 [1-18]
Blair Belling '11 [1-4, 9-10, 15]
Marla Menninger '10 [5-8, 11-14, 16-17]
Jane Macky '09 [18]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 3 4 1 3 3 5 4 4 18 5 3 10 3 13 5 13 2 102 Jesse Kirkland '10 [1-18]
Madeline Jackson '11 [1-4, 9-10, 15]
Megan Magill '11 [5-7, 11, 16]
Mike Kuschner '10 [8, 12-14, 17-18]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 4 15 8 1 15 11 6 3 6 4 2 1 13 2 6 1 11 111 Kyle Rogachenko '10 [1-18]
Wilson Stout '10 [1-8, 11-12, 15-16]
Jaclyn Finney '09 [9-10]
Alan Alkins '10 [13-14, 17-18]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 12 7 6 10 17 2 7 13 11 8 5 7 4 3 8 7 12 145 Charlie Buckingham '11 [1-18]
Alexandra Taylor '10 [1-4, 7-10, 15]
Carly Chamberlain '09 [5-6, 11-13, 16]
Marco Teixidor '10 [14]
Sprague Brodie '09 [17-18]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 8 12 15 8 12 15 3 17 8 9 8 6 9 1 7 4 8 154 Brian Kamilar '09 [1-4, 7-18]
Taylor Canfield '11 [5-6]
Andrew Schneider '09 [1-6, 9-10]
Daniel Bloomstine '11 [7-8, 11-18]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 18 5 5 5 7 6 8 11 7 13 11 9 15 4 12 11 4 159 Mitchell Hall '10 [1-18]
Stephanie Reynolds '12 [1-4, 9-10, 15]
Darby Smith '11 [5-8, 11-14, 16-18]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 15 6 9 13 2 1 4 17 7 16 16 10 15 16 5 1 3 5 161 Todd Hawkins '09 [1-18]
Danielle Gamache '09 [1-10, 12-13, 15-16]
William Gallagher '10 [11, 14, 17-18]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 13 15 1 17 15 16 16 18 6 4 1 12 4 10 6 13 RDG 6 177 Benjamin Li '17 [1-18]
Sarah Manning '16 [1-4, 7, 9-10, 15-16]
Anna Booras '16 [5-6, 8, 11-14, 17-18]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 14 9 11 9 9 5 1 9 15 13 6 9 16 12 17 4 8 13 180 Andrew Bonn '16 [1-18]
Christina Chance '10 [1-3, 9-10, 15]
Clark Hayes '11 [4-8, 11-12, 16]
Andrew Hotchkiss '09 [13-14, 17-18]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 17 10 10 4 DSQ 7 14 14 9 3 7 11 11 7 11 10 10 184 Nicholas Martin '10 [1-4, 9-18]
Zeke Horowitz '12 [5-8]
Molly Robinson '09 [1-4, 13-14, 17-18]
Katie Weaver '10 [5-8]
Britney Haas '09 [9-12, 15-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 10 3 2 16 9 9 10 9 5 10 15 3 17 16 14 15 17 189 Tomas Hornos '10 [1-18]
Lara Hwa '09 [1-6, 9-12, 15-16]
Daniel Hurwit '09 [7-8, 17-18]
Margaret Rew '11 [13-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 16 13 6 12 12 8 14 13 1 3 11 13 13 8 14 9 5 18 189 Patrick Kana '12 [1-18]
Kaitlyn Van Nostrand '09 [1-4, 9-12, 15-16]
David Thompson '11 [5-8, 13-14, 17-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 7 2 DSQ 18 10 8 5 12 14 7 14 14 1 11 18 9 9 190 Halsey Richartz '11 [1-18]
Ali Zablocki '12 [1-4, 9-13, 15-16]
Aaron Dornbrand-Lo '09 [5-8, 14, 17-18]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 18 16 13 14 6 2 10 11 10 10 17 6 5 7 10 15 14 7 191 Cole Hatton '11 [1-2, 5-18]
Nick Dugdale '12 [3-4]
Kelly Mckenna '09 [1-2, 5-12, 15-16]
Hayley Tobin '11 [3-4, 13-14, 17-18]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 14 17 11 11 14 12 1 8 12 15 16 12 2 8 3 18 16 195 Alan Palmer '11 [1-10, 13-18]
John Stokes '11 [11-12]
Michelle Konstadt '10 [1-2, 11]
Meghan Wareham '11 [3-4]
John Stokes '11 [5-8]
Quincy Bock '11 [9-10, 15]
Winston Yan '10 [12-14, 16-18]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 5 14 7 14 4 OCS 15 2 15 12 DSQ 17 DSQ 15 10 6 15 219 Arthur Blodgett '09 [1-18]
Nicole Laliberte '10 [1-6, 9-10, 15-16]
Emilie Mademann '12 [7-8, 11-14, 17-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 2 16 16 17 6 13 12 16 2 14 17 8 14 18 17 16 14 225 Matthew Paige '13 [1-12]
Jonathan Pope '17 [13-18]
Maia Agerup '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Sara Swanson '16 [5-6, 11-12]
Kelsey Shakin '19 [13-18]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 17 11 18 4 13 11 17 16 18 17 18 4 18 6 12 16 12 3 231 Joseph Blouin '10 [1-18]
Seth Olson '09 [1-14]
John Maclellan '10 [15-16]
Mildred Conroy '12 [17-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 1 9 9 2 11 1 13 1 5 3 3 1 6 3 6 1 77 Michael Menninger '11 [1-18]
Kelly Wilbur '10 [1-5, 9-10]
Jennifer Chamberlin '09 [6-8, 11-18]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 3 6 1 2 1 1 5 16 4 3 13 2 10 1 2 12 2 86 Evan Aras '12 [1-18]
Caila Johnson '10 [1-12, 14-16, 18]
Marco Teixidor '10 [13]
Carly Chamberlain '09 [17]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 4 4 10 3 5 8 4 4 7 15 1 13 4 3 1 1 3 93 Cy Thompson '11
John Hill '12
Yale University Yale University Elis 7 6 5 8 8 9 4 11 1 2 2 4 8 8 9 9 14 16 131 Joseph Morris '12 [1-18]
Michael Hession '10 [1-8, 11-18]
Grace Becton '09 [9-10]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 7 9 5 6 16 2 2 14 6 6 11 7 7 17 4 4 10 144 Robert Vann '11 [1-18]
Trisha Kutkiewicz '09 [1-8, 11-12, 15]
Jaquina Soland '11 [9-10]
Martin Sterling '10 [13-14, 16-18]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 9 9 7 2 7 18 12 6 15 10 1 2 9 6 4 12 11 11 151 Michael Brown '09 [1-8, 11-18]
Stephanie Roble '11 [9-10]
Alissa Ayres '09 [1-2]
Michael Komar '10 [3-18]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 15 14 3 12 4 9 12 7 8 10 15 6 12 13 5 3 7 161 Adam Roberts '09 [1-8, 13-18]
Tyler Sinks '11 [9-12]
Carrie Amarante '09 [1-4, 15-18]
Daniel Bloomstine '11 [5-6]
Evan Cooke '10 [7-8, 13-14]
Lauren Gillooly '09 [9-10]
Christian Manchester '10 [11-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 18 13 3 7 4 3 14 14 2 12 7 7 12 2 5 16 10 14 163 Solomon Tarlin '17 [1-18]
Julia Hall '15 [1-2, 9-10]
Matt Johnson '12 [3-8, 11-18]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 14 12 11 12 16 6 3 10 5 5 16 14 5 3 16 8 7 4 167 Jonathan Garrity '09 [1-4, 9-10]
Tedd Himler '11 [5-8, 11-18]
Winston Yan '10 [1-4]
Jonathan Garrity '09 [5-8, 11-18]
Grace Charles '11 [9-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 14 18 18 1 13 16 9 3 15 11 9 1 5 15 18 17 6 193 John Evans '12 [1-8, 11-14]
Peter Bermudez '09 [9-10, 15-18]
Christina Kelly '09 [1-4]
Nathan Rosenberg '10 [5-8, 11-14]
Francine Magasinn '09 [9-10]
Margaret Rew '11 [15-18]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 DSQ 8 15 5 11 7 16 11 18 9 5 16 15 7 11 9 5 195 Bryan Rigby '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Anna Cornetta '20 [5-10, 15-18]
Rebecca Bestoso '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Samuel Stokes '12 [5-10, 15-18]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 17 2 13 11 17 7 5 17 17 3 13 16 14 14 2 17 2 9 196 Daniel Reich '21 [1-18]
Matthew Franzek '11 [1-8, 11-18]
Nicole Kelly '12 [9-10]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 13 5 17 13 13 14 13 3 9 16 4 DSQ 10 11 10 6 15 12 203 Andrew Meier '15 [1-18]
Nicole Butchart '10 [1-6, 9-10, 15-16]
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11 [7-8, 11-14, 17-18]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 10 8 16 17 11 17 17 13 8 14 12 8 4 18 12 7 5 8 205 Taylor Grimes '09 [1-4, 9-10]
Oliver Riihiluoma '12 [5-8, 11-18]
Carolyn Prioleau '15 [1-2, 9-10, 13-18]
Justin Doane '12 [3-4]
Taylor Grimes '09 [5-8, 11-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 DSQ 12 4 10 8 10 15 18 17 8 10 11 13 11 14 8 13 206 John Darby '14 [1-8, 15-18]
Austen Anderson '12 [9-14]
Megan Barden '16 [1-10]
Samuel Blouin '12 [11-18]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 15 10 2 6 14 10 6 7 6 9 DSQ 17 18 9 14 15 13 17 207 Timothy King '09 [1-12, 15-18]
Sean Ross '12 [13-14]
Justin Ahearn '10 [1-12, 15-18]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 12 11 15 14 15 12 18 8 12 13 17 6 15 17 8 10 18 15 236 Derek Packard '09 [1-18]
John Maclellan '10 [1-2, 9-10]
Mildred Conroy '12 [3-8, 11-14]
Seth Olson '09 [15-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 16 16 10 16 18 15 15 18 10 11 14 12 17 16 18 13 16 18 269 Kelley Millane '09
Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355779911111131315151717
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2218181616141412121010886644
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33557799111113131515171711
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons4422181816161414121210108866
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55779911111313151517171133
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson6644221818161614141212101088
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77991111131315151717113355
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1616141412121010886644221818
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1212101088664422181816161414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs8866442218181616141412121010
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414121210108866442218181616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99111113131515171711335577
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls15151717113355779911111313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010886644221818161614141212
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal11111313151517171133557799
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131515171711335577991111
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen17171133557799111113131515
Yale UniversityYale University Elis1818161614141212101088664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2244668810101212141416161818
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11171715151313111199775533
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4466881010121214141616181822
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33111717151513131111997755
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas6688101012121414161618182244
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson55331117171515131311119977
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen8810101212141416161818224466
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151313111199775533111717
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers11119977553311171715151313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs77553311171715151313111199
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers13131111997755331117171515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1010121214141616181822446688
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616181822446688101012121414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks99775533111717151513131111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1212141416161818224466881010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414161618182244668810101212
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818224466881010121214141616
Yale UniversityYale University Elis17171515131311119977553311
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Brian Kamilar '09 [1-4, 7-18]
Taylor Canfield '11 [5-6]
Andrew Schneider '09 [1-6, 9-10]
Daniel Bloomstine '11 [7-8, 11-18]
Eagles Adam Roberts '09 [1-8, 13-18]
Tyler Sinks '11 [9-12]
Carrie Amarante '09 [1-4, 15-18]
Daniel Bloomstine '11 [5-6]
Evan Cooke '10 [7-8, 13-14]
Lauren Gillooly '09 [9-10]
Christian Manchester '10 [11-12]
Boston University Boston University Benjamin Li '17 [1-18] Sarah Manning '16 [1-4, 7, 9-10, 15-16]
Anna Booras '16 [5-6, 8, 11-14, 17-18]
Terriers Solomon Tarlin '17 [1-18] Julia Hall '15 [1-2, 9-10]
Matt Johnson '12 [3-8, 11-18]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Nicholas Martin '10 [1-4, 9-18]
Zeke Horowitz '12 [5-8]
Molly Robinson '09 [1-4, 13-14, 17-18]
Katie Weaver '10 [5-8]
Britney Haas '09 [9-12, 15-16]
Cougars Bryan Rigby '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Anna Cornetta '20 [5-10, 15-18]
Rebecca Bestoso '10 [1-4, 11-14]
Samuel Stokes '12 [5-10, 15-18]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Arthur Blodgett '09 [1-18] Nicole Laliberte '10 [1-6, 9-10, 15-16]
Emilie Mademann '12 [7-8, 11-14, 17-18]
Tritons Andrew Meier '15 [1-18] Nicole Butchart '10 [1-6, 9-10, 15-16]
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11 [7-8, 11-14, 17-18]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Charlie Buckingham '11 [1-18] Alexandra Taylor '10 [1-4, 7-10, 15]
Carly Chamberlain '09 [5-6, 11-13, 16]
Marco Teixidor '10 [14]
Sprague Brodie '09 [17-18]
Hoyas Evan Aras '12 [1-18] Caila Johnson '10 [1-12, 14-16, 18]
Marco Teixidor '10 [13]
Carly Chamberlain '09 [17]
Harvard University Harvard University Alan Palmer '11 [1-10, 13-18]
John Stokes '11 [11-12]
Michelle Konstadt '10 [1-2, 11]
Meghan Wareham '11 [3-4]
John Stokes '11 [5-8]
Quincy Bock '11 [9-10, 15]
Winston Yan '10 [12-14, 16-18]
Crimson Jonathan Garrity '09 [1-4, 9-10]
Tedd Himler '11 [5-8, 11-18]
Winston Yan '10 [1-4]
Jonathan Garrity '09 [5-8, 11-18]
Grace Charles '11 [9-10]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Patrick Kana '12 [1-18] Kaitlyn Van Nostrand '09 [1-4, 9-12, 15-16]
David Thompson '11 [5-8, 13-14, 17-18]
Statesmen John Darby '14 [1-8, 15-18]
Austen Anderson '12 [9-14]
Megan Barden '16 [1-10]
Samuel Blouin '12 [11-18]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Kyle Rogachenko '10 [1-18] Wilson Stout '10 [1-8, 11-12, 15-16]
Jaclyn Finney '09 [9-10]
Alan Alkins '10 [13-14, 17-18]
Monarchs Michael Brown '09 [1-8, 11-18]
Stephanie Roble '11 [9-10]
Alissa Ayres '09 [1-2]
Michael Komar '10 [3-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Matthew Paige '13 [1-12]
Jonathan Pope '17 [13-18]
Maia Agerup '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Sara Swanson '16 [5-6, 11-12]
Kelsey Shakin '19 [13-18]
Hawks Cy Thompson '11 John Hill '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Todd Hawkins '09 [1-18] Danielle Gamache '09 [1-10, 12-13, 15-16]
William Gallagher '10 [11, 14, 17-18]
Privateers Daniel Reich '21 [1-18] Matthew Franzek '11 [1-8, 11-18]
Nicole Kelly '12 [9-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Jesse Kirkland '10 [1-18] Madeline Jackson '11 [1-4, 9-10, 15]
Megan Magill '11 [5-7, 11, 16]
Mike Kuschner '10 [8, 12-14, 17-18]
Seahawks Michael Menninger '11 [1-18] Kelly Wilbur '10 [1-5, 9-10]
Jennifer Chamberlin '09 [6-8, 11-18]
Stanford University Stanford University Cole Hatton '11 [1-2, 5-18]
Nick Dugdale '12 [3-4]
Kelly Mckenna '09 [1-2, 5-12, 15-16]
Hayley Tobin '11 [3-4, 13-14, 17-18]
Cardinal Taylor Grimes '09 [1-4, 9-10]
Oliver Riihiluoma '12 [5-8, 11-18]
Carolyn Prioleau '15 [1-2, 9-10, 13-18]
Justin Doane '12 [3-4]
Taylor Grimes '09 [5-8, 11-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Tomas Hornos '10 [1-18] Lara Hwa '09 [1-6, 9-12, 15-16]
Daniel Hurwit '09 [7-8, 17-18]
Margaret Rew '11 [13-14]
Jumbos John Evans '12 [1-8, 11-14]
Peter Bermudez '09 [9-10, 15-18]
Christina Kelly '09 [1-4]
Nathan Rosenberg '10 [5-8, 11-14]
Francine Magasinn '09 [9-10]
Margaret Rew '11 [15-18]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Andrew Bonn '16 [1-18] Christina Chance '10 [1-3, 9-10, 15]
Clark Hayes '11 [4-8, 11-12, 16]
Andrew Hotchkiss '09 [13-14, 17-18]
Midshipmen Robert Vann '11 [1-18] Trisha Kutkiewicz '09 [1-8, 11-12, 15]
Jaquina Soland '11 [9-10]
Martin Sterling '10 [13-14, 16-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Halsey Richartz '11 [1-18] Ali Zablocki '12 [1-4, 9-13, 15-16]
Aaron Dornbrand-Lo '09 [5-8, 14, 17-18]
Quakers Kelley Millane '09 Kelsi Schoenrock '12
University of South Florida University of South Florida Mitchell Hall '10 [1-18] Stephanie Reynolds '12 [1-4, 9-10, 15]
Darby Smith '11 [5-8, 11-14, 16-18]
Bulls Timothy King '09 [1-12, 15-18]
Sean Ross '12 [13-14]
Justin Ahearn '10 [1-12, 15-18]
Washington College Washington College Joseph Blouin '10 [1-18] Seth Olson '09 [1-14]
John Maclellan '10 [15-16]
Mildred Conroy '12 [17-18]
Shoremen Derek Packard '09 [1-18] John Maclellan '10 [1-2, 9-10]
Mildred Conroy '12 [3-8, 11-14]
Seth Olson '09 [15-18]
Yale University Yale University Thomas Barrows '10 [1-18] Blair Belling '11 [1-4, 9-10, 15]
Marla Menninger '10 [5-8, 11-14, 16-17]
Jane Macky '09 [18]
Elis Joseph Morris '12 [1-18] Michael Hession '10 [1-8, 11-18]
Grace Becton '09 [9-10]

Conditions — 06/01/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1013.7 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From W (265°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine7.1 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1013.7 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn* · W 9 kn* · W 18 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →