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Northeastern Tech Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 20 14 34
2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 36 16 52
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 19 50 69
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 49 31 80
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 43 43 86
6 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 58 45 103
7 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 44 66 110
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 45 70 115
9 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 74 54 128
10 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 63 68 131
11 Endicott College Endicott College Gulls 77 77 154
12 Beacons Beacons Beacons 104 104 208
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 1 1 3 7 1 3 19 Alexander Sutula '13
Ruth Bodell '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 2 3 2 2 1 5 1 20 Colin Patterson '11
Artemis Sapountzi '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 1 5 2 7 1 6 3 11 36 Neil Forrester '12
Teresa Gblin '11
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 7 8 3 5 8 2 4 43 Martin Mcdonald '12
Gwendolyn Tetirick '13
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 7 3 7 4 10 2 6 5 44 Keaton Burns '12
Susannah Sanford '10
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 9 4 5 7 5 8 2 45 Sydney Rey '13
Sara Abad '11
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 6 5 6 6 10 4 9 49 Alicia Beyer '10
Grant Wonders '12
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 10 8 9 8 4 4 9 6 58 Melinda Moynihan '12
Joshua Bullen '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 8 4 10 10 8 3 10 10 63 Kelly Mercer '13 [1-8]
Ann Stallings '12 [1-4]
Mark Bohrman '10 [5-8]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 10 6 9 11 11 11 7 74 Whit Durant '12
Rachel Pisa '12
Endicott College Endicott College Gulls 11 11 11 11 9 9 7 8 77 Kate Bispham '?? [1-8]
Tyler Prince '12 [1-4]
Kerri Dunn '12 [5-8]
Beacons Beacons Beacons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 104
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 3 1 2 1 4 1 14 Jacob Denney '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 4 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 16 Mark Van De Loo '13
Roberto Melã©Ndez '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 5 2 4 3 4 3 5 31 Nick Waldo '13
Nicholas Gordon '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 DSQ 6 7 7 3 1 4 43 Sarah Hylton '13
Sabrina Amaro '13
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 6 5 5 6 9 5 3 45 Justin Cruanes '11
Parrish Wright '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 4 4 3 5 5 DNS DNS 50 Zachary Fox '13
Molly Clements '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 9 7 8 4 6 6 6 54 William Trumper '11
Molly Hermann '12
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 11 7 9 6 8 8 9 8 66 Elizabeth Braunstein '11
Emilija Schreck '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 9 3 11 9 10 7 10 9 68 Jeff Croteau '10 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariami Bekauri '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Kim Luu '10 [1-2, 5-6]
Zach Breed '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 8 8 11 11 11 7 7 70 Abigail Crenshaw '14
Kate Boerma '13
Endicott College Endicott College Gulls 10 10 10 10 9 10 8 10 77 Cate Brady '??
Peter Hornat '12
Beacons Beacons Beacons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 104
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs11223344
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221112121111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33445566
Endicott CollegeEndicott College Gulls44332211
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson55667788
BeaconsBeacons Beacons111112121122
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds66554433
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers7788991010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats88776655
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99101011111212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010998877
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue12121111101099

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs1313141415151616
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1414131324242323
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green1515161617171818
Endicott CollegeEndicott College Gulls1616151514141313
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1717181819192020
BeaconsBeacons Beacons2323242413131414
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1818171716161515
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers1919202021212222
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats2020191918181717
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies2121222223232424
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos2222212120201919
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue2424232322222121

Conditions — 04/24/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From ENE (69°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1016.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at MIT: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →