SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 11 12 23
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 20 19 39
3 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 19 30 49
4 Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 38 20 58
5 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 47 24 71
6 Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 30 42 72
7 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 32 56 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 1 1 1 2 1 4 11 Harrison Cabiness '12 [1-7]
Mary Collins '11 [1-6]
Cali Mcgovern '14 [7]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 2 2 6 3 1 4 1 19 John Mellnik '12
Alexandra Rizk '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 3 2 2 5 3 2 20 Nicole Hause '14
Amy Kubie '14
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 5 4 3 6 4 5 3 30 Samuel Hodges '13
Thomas Andrews '13
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 6 4 5 3 2 5 32 Andrew Battigaglia '12
Elizabeth Rahn '15
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 4 5 5 4 7 7 6 38 Nick Wilder '13
Zoe Williams '14
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 7 7 7 6 6 DNS 47 Eduardo Leal '12
Nina Quattrocchi '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 2 1 3 3 1 1 12 Drew Lisicki '12 [1-4]
Kathryn Hodges '11 [5-7]
Kathryn Hodges '11 [1-4]
Mary Collins '11 [5-7]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 1 4 2 5 2 2 19 Elizabeth Chambers '14
Courtney Alexander '14
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 4 4 2 1 1 3 5 20 Patrick Muller '12
Amelia Montgomery '12
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 2 5 3 4 2 5 3 24 Gregory Bachman '11
Olivia Moore '14
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 5 3 5 5 4 4 4 30 Elliott Brennan '13
Kristen Mcdonald '13
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 42 Logan Little '12
Thomas Andrews '13
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 56 Andrew Battigaglia '12
Elizabeth Rahn '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn1133557
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3355772
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2244661
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson4466113
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils5577224
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets6611335
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina7722446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn2244661
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4466113
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3355772
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson5577224
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils6611335
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets7722446
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina1133557

Conditions — 03/19/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From ENE (57°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1022.1 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →