Navigate

North 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 21 10 31
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 8 26 34
3 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 24 18 42
4 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 15 36 51
5 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 35 31 66
6 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 1 56 33 89
7 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 37 55 92
8 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 52 42 94
9 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 59 42 101
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 56 62 118
11 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 60 59 119
12 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 59 88 147
13 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 2 89 69 158
14 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 83 77 160
15 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 102 79 181
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 82 107 189
17 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 3 94 98 192
18 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 109 99 208
19 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 99 109 208
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 8 Kevin Laube '14
Carolyn Ortel '14
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 1 3 2 3 4 2 15 Oliver Toole '14
Haley Kirk '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 2 5 4 5 2 3 21 Kieran Chung '15
Yuri Namikawa '14
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 6 2 3 4 5 4 24 Mateo Vargas '14
Tally Buckstaff '14
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 4 8 6 2 8 7 35 Brandon Wood '14
Katie Everett '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 6 7 6 6 5 37 Cameron Hutcheson '14
Margaret Bobbin '13
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 5 11 10 10 10 6 52 Matthew Van Rensselaer '13
Nevin Garcia '12
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 9 7 5 9 16 10 56 Erik Lund '14
Rosie Bubb '13
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 1 10 10 8 12 7 9 56 Tommy Pastalka '13
Jean Rutledge '13
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 8 4 9 13 17 8 59 William Edwards '12
Timothy Pilegard '14
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 12 9 11 7 9 11 59 Zachary Haney '11
Mark Hurdle '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 11 14 12 8 3 12 60 Travis Benton '14
Grady Pierroz '14
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 16 12 14 11 13 16 82 Ray Carley '13 [1-6]
Caitlin Riley '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Anne O'Connor '12 [3-4]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 13 13 13 16 11 17 83 Dan Berman '13
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 2 15 15 16 15 15 13 89 Emma Shaw '14 [1-4]
Michael Radziejowski '13 [5-6]
Rachel Graham '13 [1-4]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 3 19 17 15 14 14 15 94 Lucas Murray '15
Jessica Brown '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 18 16 17 18 12 18 99 Michael Midgley '15
Andre Mercader '14
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 17 18 18 17 18 14 102 Macy Stout '13
Kristen Schlotman '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 14 19 19 19 19 19 109 Ryan Wilkerson '14
Genevieve Puccinelli '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 1 1 2 3 2 1 10 Hans Henken '15
Natalie Urban '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 2 3 7 1 3 18 Michael Dahl '15
Katie Riklin '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 9 5 1 1 6 4 26 John Ortel '15
Cam Hutton '14
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 6 6 7 2 8 2 31 Lindsay Grove '13
Caroline Keig '15
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 1 3 7 9 6 3 5 33
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 5 3 12 5 4 7 36 Max Kohrman '15
Brittany Hallawell '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 4 8 9 9 8 42 Andrew Lamb '14 [1-6]
Jared Jawad '13 [1-2]
Mollie Mcquiston '14 [3-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 11 9 4 4 5 9 42 Peter Bailey '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 19 10 5 8 7 6 55 Daniel Kivlovitz '12
Erik Samuels '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 13 8 6 10 11 11 59 Aubrey Toole '12
Sarah Adams '13
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 7 11 11 13 10 10 62 Shaun Prestridge '13
Matthew Susank '15
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 2 8 13 10 12 13 13 69 Alex Verdoia '15
Matthew Kunnari '12
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 1 14 15 13 11 12 12 77 Dan Berman '13
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 10 12 14 14 15 14 79
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 12 14 15 16 16 15 88 Charles Shane '13 [1-6]
David Macko '14 [1-4]
Christina Stege '14 [5-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 3 16 17 17 15 14 19 98 Karisa Chapa '14
Marnie Phillips '14
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 2 15 16 16 18 18 16 99 Ryan Wilkerson '14
Genevieve Puccinelli '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 17 18 19 17 19 17 107 Christopher Keefe '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 18 19 18 19 17 18 109 Trevor Webster '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley222222
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1333333
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1777777
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters555555
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara666666
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans181818181818
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1999999
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2101010101010
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 3111111111111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 4121212121212
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 1131313131313
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 2471471471471471471
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 3474747474747
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins141414141414
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego171717171717
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 1151515151515
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 2161616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley222222
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1333333
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1777777
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters555555
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara666666
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans181818181818
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1999999
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2101010101010
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 3111111111111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 4121212121212
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 1131313131313
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 2471471471471471471
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis 3474747474747
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins141414141414
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego171717171717
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 1151515151515
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 2161616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Erik Lund '14 Rosie Bubb '13
Mustang 1 Shaun Prestridge '13 Matthew Susank '15
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Macy Stout '13 Kristen Schlotman '13
Mustang 2
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 Nevin Garcia '12
Keelhaulers 1 Andrew Lamb '14 [1-6] Jared Jawad '13 [1-2]
Mollie Mcquiston '14 [3-6]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Michael Midgley '15 Andre Mercader '14
Keelhaulers 2 Trevor Webster '12
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Zachary Haney '11 Mark Hurdle '13
Otters Charles Shane '13 [1-6] David Macko '14 [1-4]
Christina Stege '14 [5-6]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Brandon Wood '14 Katie Everett '15
Santa Clara Lindsay Grove '13 Caroline Keig '15
Stanford University Stanford University Mateo Vargas '14 Tally Buckstaff '14
Cardinal 1 Michael Dahl '15 Katie Riklin '13
Stanford University Stanford University Kevin Laube '14 Carolyn Ortel '14
Cardinal 2 John Ortel '15 Cam Hutton '14
Stanford University Stanford University Kieran Chung '15 Yuri Namikawa '14
Cardinal 3 Hans Henken '15 Natalie Urban '15
Stanford University Stanford University Oliver Toole '14 Haley Kirk '15
Cardinal 4 Max Kohrman '15 Brittany Hallawell '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Travis Benton '14 Grady Pierroz '14
Berkeley Aubrey Toole '12 Sarah Adams '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Dan Berman '13
UC Davis 1 Dan Berman '13
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Ryan Wilkerson '14 Genevieve Puccinelli '15
UC Davis 2 Ryan Wilkerson '14 Genevieve Puccinelli '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Lucas Murray '15 Jessica Brown '14
UC Davis 3 Karisa Chapa '14 Marnie Phillips '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles William Edwards '12 Timothy Pilegard '14
Bruins Peter Bailey '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Ray Carley '13 [1-6] Caitlin Riley '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Anne O'Connor '12 [3-4]
UC San Diego Christopher Keefe '14
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Tommy Pastalka '13 Jean Rutledge '13
UC Santa Cruz 1
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Emma Shaw '14 [1-4]
Michael Radziejowski '13 [5-6]		 Rachel Graham '13 [1-4]
UC Santa Cruz 2 Alex Verdoia '15 Matthew Kunnari '12
University of Southern California University of Southern California Cameron Hutcheson '14 Margaret Bobbin '13
Trojans Daniel Kivlovitz '12 Erik Samuels '13

Conditions — 02/11/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1018.0 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →