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Southern Series 5 @ SRU

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Providence College Providence College Friars 234
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 234
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 262
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 362
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 403
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 440
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 474
8 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 521
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 540
10 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 542
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 550
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Providence College Providence College Friars A 2 1 4 1 2 1 5 4 10 13 13 4 6 4 5 8 4 1 88 Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-11]
Ian Sutherland '12 [12-18]
Colleen Cassidy '15 [1-11]
Aimee Kelleher '13 [12-18]
Brown University Brown University Bears A 10 6 5 2 15 5 4 7 1 1 4 6 1 3 3 6 8 3 90 Johanna Kincaid '15
Lydia Whiteford '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 5 10 3 3 5 11 10 10 9 4 2 17 2 10 11 5 1 12 130 Colby Vavolotis '13
Emily Augello '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 12 3 6 7 3 4 14 6 2 2 1 18 5 6 13 19 3 8 132 Henry O'Brien '15
Callagy Ross '14
Brown University Brown University Bears B 7 11 9 19 18 8 9 9 3 8 12 3 12 1 10 1 2 2 144 Madeleine Harvey '12 [1-11]
Emmett Weeks '14 [12-18]
Kelly Mcglynn '15 [1-11]
Lucas Serra '13 [12-18]
Providence College Providence College Friars B 3 5 11 5 12 20 13 8 7 5 5 10 10 2 1 10 12 7 146 Chris Aitken '15 [1-18]
Thomas Hoban '15 [1-11]
Claire Chambers '15 [12-18]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 8 9 8 15 13 16 11 3 12 11 8 9 9 13 4 3 6 4 162 David Pierce '12
Camilla Nivison '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 6 8 2 11 6 19 2 14 13 6 10 16 11 8 8 7 16 10 173 Jack Hunger '15
Morgan Wheeler '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 18 4 12 12 4 2 6 16 22 9 16 11 13 5 12 9 7 9 187 Christopher Jensen '14
Baillie Lawless '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 17 13 21 17 11 14 17 2 6 7 3 7 3 11 15 15 5 5 189 Campbell Duffy '13
Connor Adams '15
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs A 13 16 13 4 1 6 12 11 4 12 17 1 4 14 18 17 17 20 200 Johannes Raatz '15 [1-18]
Marco Catipovic '14 [1-6]
Emilija Schreck '13 [7-18]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A DNS DNS 18 10 8 12 1 1 5 3 18 8 16 20 2 2 19 15 204 Kaitlyn Norton '15
Christopher Capuano '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 1 17 17 18 17 18 7 12 14 17 11 2 7 12 17 4 11 14 216 Genevieve Marquardt '15
Adrienne Adorno '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 14 2 1 6 9 10 15 15 16 21 14 12 15 16 14 12 15 19 226 Tasha Greenwood '15
Carolyn Marsh '13
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 16 7 20 13 22 3 18 5 11 15 7 13 14 9 21 14 13 11 232 Andrew Morgan '15
Matthew Ferlotti '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 20 20 19 16 16 7 3 17 15 18 6 5 17 19 7 16 9 18 248 Heidi Hood '16
Luke Orchardo '16
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges A 4 18 15 9 19 13 22 21 18 19 20 14 8 7 9 13 21 6 256 John Fonte '12 [1-11]
Jared Dunn '13 [12-18]
Hannah Spiro '15 [1-11]
Ariel Ganz '12 [12-18]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 15 15 14 14 14 17 8 18 17 14 9 22 19 18 20 18 10 16 278 Samuel Scribner '15 [1-18]
Jacob Barbato '15 [1-6]
Samuel Wells '15 [7-18]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges B 11 19 7 8 7 15 20 13 19 10 19 15 22 21 16 22 20 22 286 Jacob Hardy '13 [1-11]
Josh Basseches '12 [12-18]
Beth Cohen '14 [1-11]
Kaitlin Hulce '14 [12-18]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 19 12 10 20 10 9 16 20 20 20 21 19 20 17 22 20 22 21 318 Priscilla Stoll '15
Matthew Charpentier '11
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs B 9 14 22 21 20 21 19 22 21 DNS DNS 21 18 15 6 11 18 17 321 Alex Dion '15
Olivia Recht '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B DNS DNS 16 22 21 22 21 19 8 16 15 20 21 22 19 21 14 13 336 Luke Puk '15
Peyton Albanese '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs111111111111111111
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats222222222222222222
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges333333333333333333
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears444444444444444444
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers555555555555555555
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies666666666666666666
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars777777777777777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams212121212121212121212121212121212121
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks888888888888888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks999999999999999999
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts101010101010101010101010101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs111111111111111111111111111111111111
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats121212121212121212121212121212121212
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges131313131313131313131313131313131313
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears141414141414141414141414141414141414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers151515151515151515151515151515151515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies161616161616161616161616161616161616
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars171717171717171717171717171717171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams222222222222222222222222222222222222
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks181818181818181818181818181818181818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks191919191919191919191919191919191919
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts202020202020202020202020202020202020
School / Team SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Johannes Raatz '15 [1-18] Marco Catipovic '14 [1-6]
Emilija Schreck '13 [7-18]
Lord Jeffs Alex Dion '15 Olivia Recht '15
Bates College Bates College David Pierce '12 Camilla Nivison '14
Bobcats Samuel Scribner '15 [1-18] Jacob Barbato '15 [1-6]
Samuel Wells '15 [7-18]
Brandeis University Brandeis University John Fonte '12 [1-11]
Jared Dunn '13 [12-18]		 Hannah Spiro '15 [1-11]
Ariel Ganz '12 [12-18]
Judges Jacob Hardy '13 [1-11]
Josh Basseches '12 [12-18]		 Beth Cohen '14 [1-11]
Kaitlin Hulce '14 [12-18]
Brown University Brown University Johanna Kincaid '15 Lydia Whiteford '15
Bears Madeleine Harvey '12 [1-11]
Emmett Weeks '14 [12-18]		 Kelly Mcglynn '15 [1-11]
Lucas Serra '13 [12-18]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Andrew Morgan '15 Matthew Ferlotti '15
Buccaneers Priscilla Stoll '15 Matthew Charpentier '11
Northeastern University Northeastern University Tasha Greenwood '15 Carolyn Marsh '13
Huskies Heidi Hood '16 Luke Orchardo '16
Providence College Providence College Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-11]
Ian Sutherland '12 [12-18]		 Colleen Cassidy '15 [1-11]
Aimee Kelleher '13 [12-18]
Friars Chris Aitken '15 [1-18] Thomas Hoban '15 [1-11]
Claire Chambers '15 [12-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Campbell Duffy '13 Connor Adams '15
Hawks Jack Hunger '15 Morgan Wheeler '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Christopher Jensen '14 Baillie Lawless '15
Seahawks Genevieve Marquardt '15 Adrienne Adorno '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Kaitlyn Norton '15 Christopher Capuano '15
Rams Luke Puk '15 Peyton Albanese '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Colby Vavolotis '13 Emily Augello '12
Catamounts Henry O'Brien '15 Callagy Ross '14

Conditions — 04/28/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1020.2 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From W (268°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1020.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 14 kn · NW 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →