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NWICSA Coed Conference Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 19 30 49
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 36 30 66
3 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 73 40 113
4 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 66 59 125
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 67 69 136
6 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 72 72 144
7 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 62 92 154
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 1 1 19 Karl Haelsig '14
Sarah Redmond '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 2 4 2 2 3 2 5 1 4 2 2 2 36 Casey Pruitt '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 4 5 7 6 7 5 2 7 2 2 5 3 3 4 62 Hans Vroege '16
Annin Ramsing '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 6 6 3 7 4 3 DNF 5 7 4 2 4 4 3 66 Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-10]
Charles Shoemaker '16 [11-14]
Kaili Swetland '14 [1-8, 11-14]
Charles Shoemaker '16 [9-10]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 2 5 2 3 4 5 4 6 5 DNF 5 7 DNF 67 Neil Roberts '11 [1-14]
Juliette Funck '13 [1-8]
Stuart Martin '14 [9-14]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 5 4 6 3 6 6 6 6 4 3 6 7 5 5 72 Johan Jorna '14
Alyssa Staples '14
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 7 7 4 5 5 7 4 3 3 7 3 6 6 6 73 Brian Hickman '15 [1-6]
Ciara Anderson '16 [7-14]
Cragan Smith '14 [1-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 1 2 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 5 2 3 30 Peter Mcgrath '13
Sara Welsh '12
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 2 3 3 1 1 3 5 1 3 1 1 1 2 30 Zachary Forcade '13 [1-4, 9-14]
Sam Parish '15 [5-8]
Caylin Cordray '13 [1-4, 9-14]
Kris Thompson '16 [5-8]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 3 2 4 4 2 2 1 3 1 4 6 5 1 40 Austin Sandifer '16
Aike Burger '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 4 6 5 2 4 4 3 4 4 6 2 6 5 59 Eliza Pearce '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Jackson Thomas '15 [3-6, 9-14]
Mickey Scott '14 [1-2, 7-8]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 5 7 5 1 6 7 6 7 5 5 5 3 3 4 69 Alexander Kroitzsch '16 [1-14]
Stuart Martin '14 [1-8]
Jeanne Currie '16 [9-14]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 7 5 4 6 5 6 5 4 7 6 3 4 4 6 72 Brianne Busey '14
Taylor Miron '16
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 6 6 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 92 William Service '15
Emma Franz '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds44556677112233
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks11223344556677
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers22334455667711
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings33445566771122
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers55667711223344
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies66771122334455
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings77112233445566

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds111112121313141488991010
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks889910101111121213131414
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers991010111112121313141488
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings101011111212131314148899
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers121213131414889910101111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies131314148899101011111212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings141488991010111112121313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oregon State University Oregon State University Brian Hickman '15 [1-6]
Ciara Anderson '16 [7-14]		 Cragan Smith '14 [1-6]
Beavers Austin Sandifer '16 Aike Burger '16
Portland State University Portland State University Johan Jorna '14 Alyssa Staples '14
Vikings Brianne Busey '14 Taylor Miron '16
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Neil Roberts '11 [1-14] Juliette Funck '13 [1-8]
Stuart Martin '14 [9-14]
UBC Thunderbirds Alexander Kroitzsch '16 [1-14] Stuart Martin '14 [1-8]
Jeanne Currie '16 [9-14]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-10]
Charles Shoemaker '16 [11-14]		 Kaili Swetland '14 [1-8, 11-14]
Charles Shoemaker '16 [9-10]
Ducks Eliza Pearce '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Jackson Thomas '15 [3-6, 9-14]		 Mickey Scott '14 [1-2, 7-8]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Hans Vroege '16 Annin Ramsing '13
Loggers William Service '15 Emma Franz '15
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Haelsig '14 Sarah Redmond '15
Huskies Zachary Forcade '13 [1-4, 9-14]
Sam Parish '15 [5-8]		 Caylin Cordray '13 [1-4, 9-14]
Kris Thompson '16 [5-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Casey Pruitt '13 Sarah Hanavan '13
Vikings Peter Mcgrath '13 Sara Welsh '12

Conditions — 04/06/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1026.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →