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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 12 19 31
2 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 19 18 37
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 18 20 38
4 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 3 25 13 38
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 31 13 44
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 21 30 51
7 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 44 17 61
8 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 1 25 38 63
9 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 32 32 64
10 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 4 44 41 85
11 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 30 57 87
12 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 5 40 49 89
13 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 42 53 95
14 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 64 36 100
15 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 2 58 52 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 2 1 3 6 12 Robert Berry '13
Emma Dayton '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 1 6 6 5 18 Paul Foley '15
Kristina Stewart '14
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 6 5 5 3 19 Geoff Abel '14
Lara Gemmrich '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 2 8 8 21 Debbi Kenote '13
Jasmine Gerraty '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 3 7 OCS 1 1 25 David Berry '16
Jocelyn Van Der Geest '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 1 10 4 4 7 25 Hans Vroege '16
Annin Ramsing '13
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 5 OCS 7 2 30 Neil Roberts '11
Jordan Byrum '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 9 OCS 2 4 31 Casey Pruitt '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 3 9 OCS 32 Peter Mcgrath '13
Elisa Fu '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 5 12 7 12 9 40 Samantha Palmer '14
Jason Thompson '14
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 13 8 10 11 42 Elisha Allen '13
Dan Millerd '13
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 8 9 11 OCS 44 Alex Dodd '13
Clara Reid '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 4 11 10 13 10 44 Brock Poesiat '16
Jordan Pow '17
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 2 DNF DNF 14 12 58 Christopher Eichar '16
Evan Herlocker '14
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 64 Landon Gartner '13
Michelle Flandin '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 2 3 2 6 13 Andrew Colebrook '16
Evan Derickson '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 3 6 2 1 4 13 Reid Cannon '15
Sarah Berry '15
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 5 5 4 3 17 Karl Jensen '13
Jeanne Currie '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 3 4 6 5 18 Ross Jespersen '16
Leh Smallshaw '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 1 1 OCS 1 19 Manuel Gomez '17
Heather Lee '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 4 6 3 7 20 Alexander Halliday '16
Emily Hanna '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 7 DNF 5 2 30 Burke Oklariski '13
Welsh B '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 10 7 7 8 32 Ryan Mclaughlin '16
Aaron Meyers '15
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 9 9 9 9 36 Ser Gin Ong '15
Ivan Lobachev '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 1 8 8 12 10 38 William Service '15
Emma Franz '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 4 11 11 8 11 41 Noah Havelaar '16
Chris Dimoff '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 5 12 12 13 12 49 Carleen Kukat '16
Adele Horbulyk '16
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 2 14 10 14 14 52 Kyle Kubler '13
Nichole Lindquist-Kleissler '15
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 13 DNF 11 13 53 Juliette Funck '13
Jonathan Heinz '14
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 DNF DNF 10 15 57 Fraser Macsporran '15
William Pardoe '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 181818181
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 271717171
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 37777
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 48888
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 183838383
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 284848484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 34444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 181818181
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 271717171
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 37777
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 48888
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 183838383
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers 284848484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 34444
School / Team SkipperCrew
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Neil Roberts '11 Jordan Byrum '16
UBC Thunderbirds 1 Fraser Macsporran '15 William Pardoe '16
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Alex Dodd '13 Clara Reid '16
UBC Thunderbirds 2 Karl Jensen '13 Jeanne Currie '16
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Landon Gartner '13 Michelle Flandin '14
UBC Thunderbirds 3 Ser Gin Ong '15 Ivan Lobachev '14
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Elisha Allen '13 Dan Millerd '13
UBC Thunderbirds 4 Juliette Funck '13 Jonathan Heinz '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Hans Vroege '16 Annin Ramsing '13
Loggers 1 William Service '15 Emma Franz '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Christopher Eichar '16 Evan Herlocker '14
Loggers 2 Kyle Kubler '13 Nichole Lindquist-Kleissler '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Robert Berry '13 Emma Dayton '16
Thunder 1 Manuel Gomez '17 Heather Lee '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Geoff Abel '14 Lara Gemmrich '17
Thunder 2 Ross Jespersen '16 Leh Smallshaw '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria David Berry '16 Jocelyn Van Der Geest '15
Thunder 3 Reid Cannon '15 Sarah Berry '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Brock Poesiat '16 Jordan Pow '17
Thunder 4 Noah Havelaar '16 Chris Dimoff '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Samantha Palmer '14 Jason Thompson '14
Thunder 5 Carleen Kukat '16 Adele Horbulyk '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Debbi Kenote '13 Jasmine Gerraty '17
Vikings 1 Burke Oklariski '13 Welsh B '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Peter Mcgrath '13 Elisa Fu '15
Vikings 2 Ryan Mclaughlin '16 Aaron Meyers '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Paul Foley '15 Kristina Stewart '14
Vikings 3 Alexander Halliday '16 Emily Hanna '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Casey Pruitt '13 Sarah Hanavan '13
Vikings 4 Andrew Colebrook '16 Evan Derickson '13

Conditions — 02/09/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1025.0 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.8 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From WNW (287°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine4.9 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1025.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn · NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at British Columbia: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.48 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at British Columbia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at British Columbia, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →