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NWICSA Coed Qualifiers

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 24 17 41
2 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 25 35 60
3 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 38 29 67
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 36 46 82
5 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 59 55 114
6 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 70 75 145
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 1 2 4 1 3 1 3 2 1 2 24 Kris Thompson '16
Molly Utter '14
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 4 1 1 4 4 25 Brian Hickman '15
Cragan Smith '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 2 3 3 5 3 1 2 4 4 3 3 36 Taylor Martin '16
Benjamin Kaas '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 4 4 4 2 4 5 3 2 3 2 1 38 Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-12]
Kaili Swetland '14 [1-6, 11-12]
Alexa Swartz '17 [7-10]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 5 5 5 6 3 6 4 5 5 5 5 5 59 Johan Jorna '14
Alyssa Staples '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 6 6 6 5 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 70 William Service '15
Lindsay Maggard '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 2 1 1 17 Lily Grimshaw '15
Sarah Redmond '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 4 2 2 3 3 3 2 1 1 2 2 29 Stephen Moran '16 [1-12]
Gretchen Rude '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Mickey Scott '14 [7-8, 11-12]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 2 3 4 2 4 4 1 3 3 3 3 35 Austin Sandifer '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cody Odou '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Kyle Peterzã©N '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aike Burger '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 DNS 5 5 4 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 46 Jake Fetterman '15 [1-2]
Alexander Halliday '16 [3-6, 9-12]
Gabe Hill '16 [7-8]
Haley Bolin '17 [1-3]
Jake Fetterman '15 [4-12]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 5 3 4 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 55 Quanah Green '17
Brianne Busey '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 6 5 6 6 DNS 6 6 DNF 6 6 DNS DNS 75 Lauren Engstrom '16
Aaron Wells '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737376767777828284848787
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers767677778282848487877373
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings777782828484878773737676
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers848487877373767677778282
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies828284848787737376767777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878773737676777782828484

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737376767777828284848787
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers767677778282848487877373
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings777782828484878773737676
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers848487877373767677778282
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies828284848787737376767777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878773737676777782828484
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oregon State University Oregon State University Brian Hickman '15 Cragan Smith '14
Beavers Austin Sandifer '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cody Odou '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Kyle Peterzã©N '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aike Burger '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Portland State University Portland State University Johan Jorna '14 Alyssa Staples '14
Vikings Quanah Green '17 Brianne Busey '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-12] Kaili Swetland '14 [1-6, 11-12]
Alexa Swartz '17 [7-10]
Ducks Stephen Moran '16 [1-12] Gretchen Rude '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Mickey Scott '14 [7-8, 11-12]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound William Service '15 Lindsay Maggard '14
Loggers Lauren Engstrom '16 Aaron Wells '16
University of Washington University of Washington Kris Thompson '16 Molly Utter '14
Huskies Lily Grimshaw '15 Sarah Redmond '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Taylor Martin '16 Benjamin Kaas '17
Vikings Jake Fetterman '15 [1-2]
Alexander Halliday '16 [3-6, 9-12]
Gabe Hill '16 [7-8]		 Haley Bolin '17 [1-3]
Jake Fetterman '15 [4-12]

Conditions — 05/03/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1012.9 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From SW (222°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1012.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oregon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.16)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Oregon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →