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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 3 7
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 5 11
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 9 6 15
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 15 6 21
5 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 12 13 25
6 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 18 13 31
7 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 20 15 35
8 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 24 11 35
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 1 1 4 Duncan Swain '15
Erin Bondy '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 2 3 6 Conor Fowler '14
Phoebe Gittelson '14
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 3 4 2 9 Sean Mclaughlin '15
Kaitlyn Nanartowich '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 3 5 12 Emmet Todd '17
Zachary Cronin '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 6 5 4 15 George Luber '17
Matthew Woodward '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 5 6 7 18 Kelsey Martins '16
Phoung Pham '17
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 7 7 6 20 Joe Dalton '15
John Paul Kelly '16
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 8 8 8 24 Amelia Vinciguerra '17
Anna George '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 3 Kate Shaner '16
Mara Rettig '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 1 5 Jackson Chabot '14
Indre Jankeviciute '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 2 4 6 Robert Queisser '16
Mariah Allen '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 3 3 6 Kyle Brego '17
Evan Sampou '17
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 6 5 11 Marco Catipovic '14
Brady Winn '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 5 8 13 Kelsey Delosh '17
Courtney Grippin '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 6 13 Emily Chase '16
Cara Dooley '15
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 8 7 15 Briana Travers '17
Eric Kuhn '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers222
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders333
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1444
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2555
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats888
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos666
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs777

Division B

Team1B2B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs22
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders44
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 155
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 266
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats11
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos77
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs88

Conditions — 04/26/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 93%  ·  Pressure 1010.1 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From SE (141°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1010.1 hPa Rain0.24 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →