SAISA Spring Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 13 20 33
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 24 19 43
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 29 32 61
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 59 27 86
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 44 42 86
6 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 51 60 111
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 55 58 113
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 48 66 114
9 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 67 50 117
10 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 50 67 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 13 Christopher Stocke '15
Ali Yarbrough '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 2 4 2 5 6 2 1 24 Jake Reynolds '16
Alicia Blumenthal '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 3 4 4 8 4 2 29 Robert Savoie '14
Jessica Resnick '16
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 8 2 6 2 2 9 6 44 Edwin Strong '15
Meredith Rutledge '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 4 7 7 3 10 5 7 48 John Reddaway '15
Chris Walton '16
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 6 6 5 8 3 3 9 50 Cole Barney '14
Kailey Savacool '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 6 5 10 3 7 4 6 10 51 Sophia Schultz '17
Taran Wilkens '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 9 9 8 6 7 7 5 55 Benton Morton '14
Jillian Tucker '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 7 10 5 9 10 5 10 3 59 Daniel Lawless '17
Mara Strobel-Lanka '17
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 7 8 10 9 9 8 8 67 Blake Pierce '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Ian Nora '14 [5-6]
Alexis Ryan '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Bernardo Pineda '16 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 1 2 1 4 4 2 19 Ryan Davidson '16
Emily Stuart '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 8 1 3 2 1 3 20 Benjamin Mohney '15
Nicole Santana '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 3 5 4 4 5 3 1 27 Ian Ikeda '17
Hannah Knighton '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 5 3 3 6 3 2 6 32 Jason D'Agostino '17
Sarah Hanson '16
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 7 2 7 5 6 5 5 42 John Roberts '17
Cali Mcgovern '14
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 8 10 8 2 1 7 7 50 Maria Ayala '18 [1-8]
Ashley Siana '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Chance Sweat '16 [3-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 4 6 5 8 7 9 10 58 David Rogers '15
Paulina Spencer '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 10 10 4 6 7 8 6 9 60 Cornell Lee '16
Francisco Perez '17
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 6 9 7 9 DSQ 10 10 4 66 Eric Mckissick '16 [1-6]
Joshua Kim '17 [7-8]
Joshua Kim '17 [1-6]
Eric Mckissick '16 [7-8]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 6 9 10 9 9 8 8 67 Jeffrey Pyles '14
Cassie Todd '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22446688
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11335577
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33557799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4466881010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins55779911
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College6688101022
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77991133
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars8810102244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1010224466
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99113355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33557799
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22446688
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons4466881010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets55779911
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins6688101022
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College77991133
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8810102244
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars99113355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls11335577
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1010224466

Conditions — 04/26/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NE (40°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover12% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1016.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.34 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →