SAISA Women's Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 12 9 21
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 13 24
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 16 14 30
4 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 25 35 60
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 41 35 76
6 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 49 MRP 44 MRP 93 MRP
7 Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins 54 MRP 58 MRP 112 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 2 1 1 4 11 Melany Johnson '15
Heidi Carlson '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 1 3 2 3 12 Clerc Cooper '15
Elizabeth Chambers '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 4 3 2 3 1 16 Dominique Wright '15 [1-6]
Charlie Bess '17 [1-2]
Alison Knoles '17 [3-6]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 4 5 5 4 5 2 25 Sophia Schultz '17
Hannah Shepherd '16
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 7 7 7 7 7 41 Nichole Palen '14 [1-6]
Kristin Neill '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kelly Kosco '17 [3-4]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 3 4 6 6 5 49 MRP Cassie Todd '16
Kristina Boelcskevy '14
Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins 7 6 6 5 4 6 54 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 1 2 2 1 9 Grace Lucas '14 [1-6]
Morgan Buckley '15 [1-4]
Elizabeth Chambers '14 [5-6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 3 3 1 1 2 13 Solvig Sayre '14
Lissa Mcclung '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 2 2 3 3 3 14 Colleen Hartman '13
Ali Yarbrough '16
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 5 5 6 7 6 35 Paulina Spencer '16 [1-6]
Jillian Tucker '15 [1-4]
Annalisa Kristoffersen '15 [5-6]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 7 6 6 5 6 5 35 Margaret Swerdloff '17
Abigail Oakes '15
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 4 4 4 4 4 44 MRP Kailey Savacool '16
Skylar Barney '17
Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins 5 7 7 7 5 7 58 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons223344
DolphinsDolphins Dolphins334455
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College445566
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack556677
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls771122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks667711

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons223344
DolphinsDolphins Dolphins334455
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College445566
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack556677
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls771122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks667711

Conditions — 04/19/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Moderate rain
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.2 kn
avg  ·  max 16.3 kn
Gusts to 32.1 kn
From NE (39°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.8 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1017.6 hPa Rain0.74 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.42 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →