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Tyrell Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 8 17
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 16 13 29
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 17 32
4 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 25 28 53
5 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 26 28 54
6 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 38 36 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 2 1 2 1 1 9 Samuel Campbell '17
Andrea Farr '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 1 3 1 2 2 15 Pierre Dupont '16
Sadie Woolf '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 3 2 3 4 3 16 Colin Henderson '15
Abigail Duclos '18
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 4 4 5 4 3 5 25 Ryan Carlucci '18 [1-4]
Tatum Mclaughlin '16 [5-6]
Hannah Lovejoy '17 [1-4]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 3 5 4 5 5 4 26 Shane Baker '17
Alexandra Rice '16
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 5 DNF 6 6 DNS DNS 38 Robert Bueti '15
Catherine Phelan '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 1 1 2 2 1 8 Lydia Grasberger '18
Nicole Lukas '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 3 2 1 1 4 13 Minot Frye '16
Caitlin Cloonan '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 2 3 3 3 3 17 Grace Olsen '15
Rachel Hanford '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 5 4 4 5 5 28 Martin Hooker '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kimberly Jackman '16 [3-4]
Shannon Nardi '16 [1-2]
Charles Zizza '17 [3-6]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 6 6 5 5 4 2 28 Kelsey Laforest '17
Caitlin Goodman '17
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 4 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS 36 Briana Travers '17
Joe Dalton '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers141416161818
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies191915151717
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags151517171919
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders161618181414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies171719191515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos181814141616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers151517171919
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies141416161818
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags161618181414
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders171719191515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies181814141616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos191915151717

Conditions — 04/12/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1024.9 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From WSW (257°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1024.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →