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NEISA Central 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 22 18 40
2 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 26 27 53
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 13 40 53
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 31 25 56
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 37 26 63
6 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 46 45 91
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 51 53 104
8 Providence College Providence College Friars 63 56 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 4 1 1 1 2 1 1 13 Alex Moreno '19
Emily Walker '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 1 2 5 2 1 2 4 22 Franco Bilik '18
James Woodwell '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 3 5 2 3 6 4 2 26 George Luber '17
Ryan Novak-Smith '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 6 3 3 4 5 3 3 31 Donal Ryan '19
Sofia Kirkman '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 4 6 OCS 3 5 5 37 Bayard Lalor '19
Crete Clifford '17
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 6 5 6 7 5 4 7 6 46 Benjamin Eley '18
William Whelan '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 7 7 4 6 7 6 7 51 Jade Forsberg '17
Sarah Yang '19
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 63 Nathaniel Thomas '18
Timothy Moore '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 1 2 1 1 5 1 1 18 Charlie Blasberg '18
Davis Tantillo '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 3 4 4 3 1 4 2 25 Stephen Fletcher '17
Abigail Duclos '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 6 6 2 2 2 3 26 Jennifer Killian '19
Mara Terchunian '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 5 1 2 4 3 6 4 27 Joseph Dragon '17
Evan Sampou '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 6 3 5 OCS 4 3 5 40 Emily Croteau '19
Hannah Davis '19
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 1 7 5 8 6 6 5 7 45 John Zupkus '16
Mackenzie Davis '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 4 7 3 7 8 DNF 8 53 Alexie Lessing '19 [1-4]
Nathaniel Wiener '18 [5-8]
Emmet Byron '19 [1-4]
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 8 8 7 5 7 7 6 56 Kohl Peasley '19
Brian Cain '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22886644
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33557711
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers44228866
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55771133
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars66442288
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77113355
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards88664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1010121214141616
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1111131315151717
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1212141416161010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1313151517171111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1414161610101212
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1515171711111313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1616101012121414
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1717111113131515

Conditions — 03/20/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1021.5 hPa

Temperature

35°F
↑ 37°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 25°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 22.5 kn
From ENE (59°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1021.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →