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SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 4 10
2 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 7 12
3 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 16 7 23
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 17 26
5 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 21 12 33
6 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 17 20 37
7 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 19 19 38
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 16 27 43
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 26 22 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 1 1 5 John Roberts '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 3 2 6 Travis Tucker '20
Elizabeth Blenk '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 2 3 9 Darby Reddaway '19 [1-3]
Chris Walton '16 [1-2]
Hannah Gersch '19 [3]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 7 7 16 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Ian Christine '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 5 5 16 Allison Chenard '19
Jennifer Cahalan '19
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 5 6 6 17 Clifford Gilman '19 [1-3]
No Show [1-2]
Jeneshia Washington-Hughes '18 [3]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 7 4 8 19 John Sipp '18
Moriah Taylor '19
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 9 8 4 21 Ian Coyne '19 [1, 3]
Matthew Art '18 [2]
Luke Schwarzentraub '17 [1, 3]
Ian Coyne '19 [2]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 9 9 26 Brent Deangelis '16 [1-2]
Kirsten Failing '17 [3]
Clare Sweeney '19 [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers222
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers333
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats444
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils555
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs888
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets666
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks999
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers222
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers333
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats444
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils555
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs888
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets666
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks999
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers101010

Conditions — 03/26/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1019.1 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From SW (217°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1019.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.66 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →