SAISA South Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 17 21 38
2 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 28 16 44
3 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 36 23 59
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 28 33 61
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 23 39 62
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 43 23 66
7 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 32 34 66
8 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 39 MRP 47 MRP 86 MRP
9 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 46 54 100
10 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 66 66 132
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 3 7 1 1 3 17 Matthew Peterson '18
Sage Morgan '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 2 1 4 4 6 23 Michael Sanandajian '18
Mandi Dickie '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 6 9 7 2 1 28 Jack Famiglietti '18
Katie Freeley '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 4 5 4 3 3 9 28 Anna Palmer '17
Shaynah True '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 9 4 3 5 7 4 32 Samuel Peirson '17
Rebekah Woodburn '19
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 5 7 5 8 6 5 36 Rafael Melendez '17
Hannah Sellers '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 2 2 OCS 2 39 MRP Stephan Verhulst '19
Kelsy Waack '18
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 9 6 6 8 7 43 Giancarlo Falconi '16
Nick Gangemi '16
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 8 8 9 5 8 46 Chad Murray '17 [1-6]
Madelyn Wyner '18 [1-2]
Heidi Garbade '17 [3-4]
Jose Aponte '18 [5-6]
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 66 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 4 1 1 5 4 16 Samuel Armington '18
Rachel Daye '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 3 2 5 6 2 21 Geoffrey St. John '19
Kathryn Ross '18
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 4 5 8 2 1 3 23 Curtis Woodworth '17 [1-6]
Michelle Pine '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Caitlyn Gillespie '19 [3-4]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 6 4 4 3 1 23 Max Thompson '19
Lisa Diaz '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 7 7 5 7 2 5 33 Stanley Carraway '19
Joseph Collura '11
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 6 2 6 8 4 8 34 Walter Conlan, Iv '18
Jamie Johar '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 8 3 6 8 6 39 Delaney Caron '18
Paul Grisko '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 1 7 3 7 7 47 MRP Peter Steo '19 [1-6]
Lauri Niklason '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kelsey Blue '19 [3-4]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 9 9 9 9 9 9 54 John Larson '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Federico Pozas '18 [3-4]
Jason Limbach '12 [1-2]
John Schade '18 [3-4]
Madelyn Wyner '18 [5-6]
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 66 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1113355
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2224466
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators88101022
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles335577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1446688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2557799
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes991133
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls66881010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars779911
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls10102244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1224466
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2335577
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators991133
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles446688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1557799
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 266881010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes10102244
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls779911
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars88101022
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls113355

Conditions — 03/19/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From E (85°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine5.1 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1012.3 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.33 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →