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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 24 9 33
2 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 17 36 53
3 Northwestern University Northwestern University White 33 33 66
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 39 28 67
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Black 57 27 84
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 45 39 84
7 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 65 52 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 5 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 17 Parker Trepton '18
Brett Hutchinson '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 2 1 4 1 2 2 3 2 3 4 24 Isabella Hamilton '17
Bailey Adkins '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University White 1 2 2 4 5 3 7 5 2 2 33 Ryder Easterlin '20
Samantha Harney '18
Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 4 4 3 3 3 5 6 4 4 3 39 Jacob Bruce '16 [1-4, 6-10]
Allison Park '17 [5]
Allison Park '17 [1-4, 6-10]
Jacob Bruce '16 [5]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 6 5 6 5 4 4 2 3 5 5 45 Michael Valverde '18
Cassandra Trask '20
Northwestern University Northwestern University Black 3 6 5 7 6 6 5 6 7 6 57 Zachary Li '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Susan Riley '17 [3-4, 7]
Samuel Balka '20 [8]
Samuel Balka '20 [1-7, 9-10]
Susan Riley '17 [8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 7 7 7 6 7 7 4 7 6 7 65 Maya Smith '19
Danielle Green '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 9 Michael Stone '19
Jessica Faragher '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Black 2 2 2 4 6 5 1 5 27 Audrey Debruine '19
Guilherme Vendemiatti '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 3 3 4 2 3 4 6 3 28 Brian Fogarty '19 [1-4]
Coby Parker '19 [5-8]
Coby Parker '19 [1-2]
Amelia Brown '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Brian Fogarty '19 [5-6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University White 4 6 7 3 5 3 3 2 33 Kelly Logacho '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Charles Tokowitz '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Mariel Tang '20 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 6 4 3 6 2 2 7 6 36 Susie Voltz '19
Dylan Morris '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 5 5 6 5 4 6 4 4 39 Julia Sachs '19
Owen Luterbach '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 7 7 5 7 7 7 5 7 52 Ben Bachan '20
Ryan Sigurdson '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 122222424191921212323
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 223232525202022222424
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 324241919212123232525
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Black21212323252520202222
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Purple19192121232325252020
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University White20202222242419192121
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers25252020222224241919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 12323252520202222
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 22424191921212323
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 32525202022222424
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Black2222242419192121
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Purple2020222224241919
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University White2121232325252020
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers1919212123232525
School / Team SkipperCrew
Northwestern University Northwestern University Zachary Li '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Susan Riley '17 [3-4, 7]
Samuel Balka '20 [8]		 Samuel Balka '20 [1-7, 9-10]
Susan Riley '17 [8]
Black Audrey Debruine '19 Guilherme Vendemiatti '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jacob Bruce '16 [1-4, 6-10]
Allison Park '17 [5]		 Allison Park '17 [1-4, 6-10]
Jacob Bruce '16 [5]
Purple Brian Fogarty '19 [1-4]
Coby Parker '19 [5-8]		 Coby Parker '19 [1-2]
Amelia Brown '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Brian Fogarty '19 [5-6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Ryder Easterlin '20 Samantha Harney '18
White Kelly Logacho '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Charles Tokowitz '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Mariel Tang '20 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 Bailey Adkins '19
Gophers 1 Michael Stone '19 Jessica Faragher '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Michael Valverde '18 Cassandra Trask '20
Gophers 2 Julia Sachs '19 Owen Luterbach '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Maya Smith '19 Danielle Green '18
Gophers 3 Ben Bachan '20 Ryan Sigurdson '18
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Parker Trepton '18 Brett Hutchinson '19
Panthers Susie Voltz '19 Dylan Morris '20

Conditions — 05/06/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From NNE (24°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover24% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1015.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minnesota: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnesota by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Minnesota, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →