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MCSA Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 13 10 23
2 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 37 21 58
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 21 45 66
4 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 47 34 81
5 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 27 56 83
6 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 54 35 89
7 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 57 53 110
8 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 75 76 151
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 13 Kate Klement '17
Korina Hendricks '17
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 3 21 Lane Tobin '18
Amy Baer '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 7 1 1 5 3 3 3 2 27 Isabella Hamilton '17
Bailey Adkins '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 4 5 4 3 4 4 6 4 37 Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-9]
Hannah Givertz '18 [1-4, 9]
Madison Shirey '19 [5-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5 5 6 6 4 5 6 4 6 47 Katherine Schneeberger '17
Molly Lafave '19
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 3 4 5 DNS 6 5 DNF 7 54 Rachel Rantanen '19 [1-9]
Robin Daniels '19 [1-6]
Rebecca Meyer '19 [7-9]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 7 6 7 7 6 7 7 5 5 57 Lindsey Clark '20 [1-9]
Claire Christensen '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Carley Korte '20 [3-4]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 8 8 8 8 7 DNF DNF DNS DNS 75 Delaney Imbler '17
Carrington Gelardi '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 10 Andrea Sullivan '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Carolyn Keck '19 [5-6, 9]
Maggie Houtz '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 21 Susan Riley '17
Audrey Debruine '19
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 3 3 2 4 3 DNF 5 3 34 Leah Peluchiwski '20 [1-9]
Kata Lamb '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Harriet Fink '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Molly Lafave '19 [9]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 3 6 4 4 2 5 4 3 4 35 Miranda Madden '19 [1-9]
Dayna Vasilko '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Rebecca Meyer '19 [3-4]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 5 5 7 7 4 3 4 5 45 Hannah Thayer '20
Claire Foley '20
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 6 4 7 6 6 6 5 6 7 53 Learon Mcginn '19 [1-9]
Claire Heneghan '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Carley Korte '20 [5-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 7 7 6 5 5 7 6 7 6 56 Maya Smith '19 [1-9]
Jessica Faragher '19 [1-2]
Julia Sachs '19 [3-9]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 8 8 8 8 DNF 8 DNS DNS DNS 76 Carla Marzari '19
Rebeccca Sadoski '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles113355771
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines446688224
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans224466882
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers557711335
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats335577113
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish668822446
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets771133557
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers882244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles224466882
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines557711335
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans335577113
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers668822446
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats446688224
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish771133557
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets882244668
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers113355771
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Lindsey Clark '20 [1-9] Claire Christensen '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Carley Korte '20 [3-4]
Golden Eagles Learon Mcginn '19 [1-9] Claire Heneghan '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Carley Korte '20 [5-6]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Rachel Rantanen '19 [1-9] Robin Daniels '19 [1-6]
Rebecca Meyer '19 [7-9]
Spartans Miranda Madden '19 [1-9] Dayna Vasilko '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Rebecca Meyer '19 [3-4]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-9] Hannah Givertz '18 [1-4, 9]
Madison Shirey '19 [5-8]
Wildcats Susan Riley '17 Audrey Debruine '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Lane Tobin '18 Amy Baer '19
Wolverines Hannah Thayer '20 Claire Foley '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 Bailey Adkins '19
Gophers Maya Smith '19 [1-9] Jessica Faragher '19 [1-2]
Julia Sachs '19 [3-9]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Katherine Schneeberger '17 Molly Lafave '19
Fighting Irish Leah Peluchiwski '20 [1-9] Kata Lamb '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Harriet Fink '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Molly Lafave '19 [9]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Delaney Imbler '17 Carrington Gelardi '18
Rockets Carla Marzari '19 Rebeccca Sadoski '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Kate Klement '17 Korina Hendricks '17
Badgers Andrea Sullivan '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Carolyn Keck '19 [5-6, 9]		 Maggie Houtz '19 [1-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 04/08/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From WSW (242°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · S 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Michigan: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.56 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Michigan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →