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NWU Spring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 14 21 35
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 24 12 36
3 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 30 31 61
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 40 46 86
5 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 48 43 91
6 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 55 42 97
7 Rockets Rockets Rockets 35 63 98
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 56 43 99
9 Baldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace 62 65 127
10 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 85 80 165
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 3 14 Allison Marozza '21
Jake Orhan '21
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 3 1 5 4 2 1 4 4 24 Will Neubauer '20
Margaret Carroll '21
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 5 4 4 5 4 5 2 1 30 Michael Stone '19
Ella Carlson '21
Rockets Rockets Rockets 7 9 2 2 1 3 5 6 35
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 2 3 3 9 6 4 DSQ 2 40 Anton De Lesseps '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Audrey Debruine '19 [3-6]
Alison Rosengren '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Leah Schulman '22 [3-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 6 6 7 7 5 6 6 5 48 Victor Nartovich '21 [1-8]
Matthew Granstrom '21 [1-4]
Sophie Inglis '22 [5-8]
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 8 8 8 6 8 7 3 7 55 Zachary Anderson '21
Charles Hoffmann '21
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 4 7 6 3 9 DSQ 8 8 56 Cuyler Dull '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Hershenhorn '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Chrisjon Willis '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Anneliese Slamowitz '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Baldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace 9 5 9 8 7 8 7 9 62
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 10 10 10 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 85 Logan Noel '19
Anna Prisco '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 12 Sherman Thompson '22
Katerina Siavelis '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 3 8 21 Sarah Youtt '21
Kristen Picard '21
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 5 3 3 2 3 5 1 9 31 Maya Smith '19
Erin Bouton '22
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 3 5 5 5 8 7 6 3 42 Jack Brownlee '20 [1-5, 7-8]
Erin Gallagher '21 [6]
Graham Gunderman '22 [1-5, 7-8]
Andela Barun '20 [6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 4 6 4 DSQ 4 3 4 7 43 Charlie Sidles '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Guilherme Vendemiatti '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Zoe Detweiler '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Christelle Fayemi '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 6 4 6 6 7 4 5 5 43 Jack Rickman '22
Nicole Nelson '22
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 7 8 7 4 5 6 7 2 46 Avery Zieper '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Balka '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Caleigh Bell-Rosof '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Koolik '22 [3-4]
Madison Shirey '19 [7-8]
Rockets Rockets Rockets 10 9 8 7 6 8 9 6 63
Baldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace 8 7 DNF 9 9 9 8 4 65
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 9 10 9 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 80 Nick Nowicki '20
Jaeda Roberts '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Baldwin-WallaceBaldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace779912121414
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons12121414161677
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks88111113131515
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 113131515171788
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2141416167799
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 115151717881111
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 2161677991212
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 199121214141616
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 21111131315151717
RocketsRockets Rockets17178811111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Baldwin-WallaceBaldwin-Wallace Baldwin-Wallace88111113131515
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons13131515171788
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks99121214141616
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 1141416167799
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 215151717881111
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 1161677991212
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 217178811111313
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 11111131315151717
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 212121414161677
RocketsRockets Rockets779912121414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Miami University Miami University Zachary Anderson '21 Charles Hoffmann '21
Red Hawks Jack Brownlee '20 [1-5, 7-8]
Erin Gallagher '21 [6]		 Graham Gunderman '22 [1-5, 7-8]
Andela Barun '20 [6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Anton De Lesseps '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Audrey Debruine '19 [3-6]		 Alison Rosengren '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Leah Schulman '22 [3-6]
Wildcats 1 Avery Zieper '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Balka '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Caleigh Bell-Rosof '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Koolik '22 [3-4]
Madison Shirey '19 [7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Cuyler Dull '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Hershenhorn '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Chrisjon Willis '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Anneliese Slamowitz '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Wildcats 2 Charlie Sidles '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Guilherme Vendemiatti '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Zoe Detweiler '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Christelle Fayemi '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Logan Noel '19 Anna Prisco '21
Maroons Nick Nowicki '20 Jaeda Roberts '21
University of Michigan University of Michigan Will Neubauer '20 Margaret Carroll '21
Wolverines 1 Sherman Thompson '22 Katerina Siavelis '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan Allison Marozza '21 Jake Orhan '21
Wolverines 2 Sarah Youtt '21 Kristen Picard '21
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Michael Stone '19 Ella Carlson '21
Gophers 1 Maya Smith '19 Erin Bouton '22
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Victor Nartovich '21 [1-8] Matthew Granstrom '21 [1-4]
Sophie Inglis '22 [5-8]
Gophers 2 Jack Rickman '22 Nicole Nelson '22

Conditions — 05/04/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From ENE (66°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →