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MCSA Women's Qualifiers

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 22 13 35
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 18 29 47
3 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 28 22 50
4 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 36 21 57
5 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 46 MRP 55 MRP 101 MRP
6 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 58 MRP 68 MRP 126 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 3 1 3 3 2 2 3 18 Jenna Probst '22
Margaret Carroll '21
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 4 2 1 6 1 4 2 22 Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-8]
Mariel Tang '20 [1-6]
Eva Bambakidis '22 [7-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 5 2 4 5 1 4 3 4 28 Clara Brown '22
Kristin Berg '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 6 5 6 2 5 6 1 5 36 Cailin Considine '19
Emma Zalog '20
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 1 3 4 4 3 6 1 46 MRP Leah Peluchiwski '20
Kata Lamb '20
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 3 6 5 6 2 5 5 6 58 MRP Eva Rossell '22 [1-8]
Corinne Nedeau '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Baird '20 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 1 3 2 1 3 1 1 13 Lillian Nemeth '22 [1-8]
Audrey Debruine '19 [1-6]
Natalie Shilati '20 [7-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 5 5 1 1 4 1 2 2 21 Erin Sullivan '21
Anna Thickens '21
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 3 2 3 2 2 4 4 22 Bailey Adkins '19
Kendall Van Horne '20
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 2 4 4 3 5 3 5 29 Sarah Youtt '21 [1-8]
Sarah Silvestri '19 [1-6]
Kristen Picard '21 [7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 3 55 MRP Kelsey Kennedy '22
Anna Benedict '21
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 68 MRP Sophia Militello '21 [1-8]
Alexandra Burt '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Brianna Corrion '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines99101011111212
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans7788991010
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers1010111112121313
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats889910101111
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish11111212131388
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers121213138899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1515161617171818
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans1313141415151616
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers16161717181877
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1414151516161717
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish17171818771414
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers18187714141515

Conditions — 04/20/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1010.1 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.2 kn
avg  ·  max 15.8 kn
Gusts to 32.1 kn
From N (4°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1010.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →