Bud Morrow Cup

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 77
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 94
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 102
4 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 112
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 137
6 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 207
7 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 209
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 13 Owen Bannasch '26
Kayla Putzke '24
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 5 1 3 6 3 6 4 5 4 37 Griffin Richardson '25
Sophie Leduc '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins B 4 5 4 8 5 5 3 2 7 43 Gordon Gurnell '23
Rylie Garcia-Studdard '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins A 11 3 2 5 8 7 2 3 10 51 Ella Deschamps '25
Elizabeth Williamson '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 7 6 5 4 9 2 7 4 8 52 Erik Volk '23
Kelly Dunsmore '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 3 9 9 7 4 9 5 BKD 3 55 Jackson Mcgeough '25
Zi Burns '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 1 4 10 1 2 13 DNS 10 1 57 Carly Orhan '23
Angelina Khourisader '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 8 14 11 3 7 4 6 6 5 64 Ella Bilow '26
Payton Ruth '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 6 8 6 10 11 3 8 7 6 65 Carter Morin '25
Tia Soultanakis '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 12 11 8 11 6 10 9 9 9 85 Ayla Weisberg '25
Ochithya Fernando '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles A 9 13 7 9 13 8 10 13 12 94 Zechariah Frantz '25 [1-9]
Emerson Bergan '25 [1-3, 7-9]
Mason Engelke '26 [4-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers A 10 7 12 14 10 11 13 8 11 96 Elijah Healy '26
Gavin Valentine '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles B 13 10 13 13 14 14 11 11 14 113 Venesh Pershaud '24
Timothy Dolan '26
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers B 14 12 14 12 12 12 12 12 13 113 Joaquin Marquez '24
Conlan Ridgeway '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers111222555
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons222555666
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles555666777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins666777888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins777888999
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars888999101010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls999101010111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers101010111111121212
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111111121212141414
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles121212141414151515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins141414151515161616
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins151515161616171717
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars161616171717111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls171717111222

Conditions — 03/18/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 14.0 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From SW (227°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1014.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 14 kn · N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →