SAISA South Spring Tournament / Gregg Popp Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 11 20 31
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 26 12 38
3 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 23 17 40
4 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 29 35 64
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 24 42 66
6 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 29 44 73
7 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 43 37 80
8 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 47 38 85
9 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 40 49 89
10 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 53 37 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 2 1 5 1 11 Aidan Dennis '25
Danielle Ketner '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 8 1 5 2 2 23 Hilton Kamps '25
Anjella Klaiber '23
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 4 3 3 6 5 24 Erik Volk '23 [1-6]
Jordan Macmoyle '25 [1-3]
Annette Breton '26 [4-6]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 BKD 4 7 6 26 Patrick Barney '25
Elizabeth Williamson '26
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 4 2 7 BKD 3 8 29 Brendan Smucker '25
Alvin Tang '24
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 7 6 10 2 1 3 29 Hudson Jenkins '25
Eric Bonifacic '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 8 9 8 7 4 4 40 Madison Roy '25
Olivia Figley '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 9 5 6 6 10 7 43 Tanner Cummings '24
Timothy Dolan '26
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 6 10 5 8 8 10 47 Ava Moring '25
Zuzanna Barska '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 10 7 9 9 9 9 53 Andrew Lam '26 [1-3]
Venesh Pershaud '24 [4-6]
Erica Johnson '26 [1-3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 3 4 2 12 Ella Deschamps '25
Payton Ruth '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 2 2 5 3 3 17 Carly Orhan '23
Connor Teague '23
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 10 4 3 1 1 1 20 Josh Becher '26
Steven Hardee '26
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 9 7 8 4 2 5 35 Sofia Scarpa '26 [1-6]
Michael Dowling '24 [1-3]
Anthon Funderburk '24 [4-6]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 4 6 10 6 5 6 37 Josh Rosen '26 [1-6]
Suhas Medidi '26 [1-3]
Mason Engelke '26 [4-6]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 7 9 9 2 6 4 37 Joseph Mcnaughton '23
Kathleen Perry '24
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 6 5 4 8 8 7 38 Marco Distel '25
Andres Ruisanchez '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 8 6 7 9 9 42 Garrett Floerchinger '26
Colin Molnar '25
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 8 3 5 10 7 DSQ 44 Julian Larsen '26
Thomas Ingram '26
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 5 10 7 9 10 8 49 Sailor Mohrman '25
Faith Hayden '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold333555
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles111444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators999111111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles555777
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins666888
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes101010111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars777999
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111111333
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights888101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold444666
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles333555
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators101010111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles666888
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers555777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins777999
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes111111333
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars888101010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111444
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights999111111

Conditions — 02/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From W (281°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1023.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Embry-Riddle: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.18)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.39 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 16% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Embry-Riddle by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Embry-Riddle, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →