SAISA Women's Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 22 9 31
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 29 21 50
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 32 23 55
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 27 33 60
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 24 51 75
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 40 53 93
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 60 56 116
8 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 66 63 129
9 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 81 58 139
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 71 91 162
11 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 81 90 171
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 6 4 5 2 22 Grace Squires '24
Chloe Hudgins '24
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 4 2 6 2 1 2 3 24 Eden Nykamp '25 [1-8]
Elissa Martinez '23 [1, 3-8]
Tess Levanway '26 [2]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 3 3 7 2 6 1 27 Emily Allen '25 [1-8]
Reagan Carris '26 [1-5]
Mary Mann '23 [6-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 5 4 4 5 3 1 4 29 Sydney Monahan '23 [1-4]
Kay Brunsvold '25 [5-8]
Olivia Smith '23 [1-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 2 6 1 4 5 3 6 32 Olivia Sowa '24
Abby Scudder '24
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 6 6 5 5 1 6 4 7 40 Katie Nelson '24
Avery Harris '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 7 7 11 8 7 8 5 60 Sandra Heilshorn '23
Olivia Campmany '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 11 10 8 7 3 8 7 DNF 66 Carly Orhan '23
Angelina Khourisader '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 8 9 10 9 9 9 9 8 71 Sarah Weese '24
Madeline Shepard '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 9 11 11 10 11 10 10 9 81 Kathleen Perry '24
Erica Johnson '26
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 8 9 8 10 DNS DNS DNS 81 Lauren Mellinger '25
Isabelle Pobanz '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 9 Emma Tallman '25 [1-8]
Roxanne Snyder '23 [1-4]
Rowan Schanley '24 [5-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 4 2 3 3 2 1 3 21 Emma Shakespeare '24
Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 3 4 4 2 3 3 2 23 Isabella Du Plessis '25
Annika Milstien '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 6 3 2 4 4 5 4 33 Kaitlyn Liebel '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Agija Elerte '26 [3-4]
Mary Mann '23 [1-2]
Ella Bilow '26 [3]
Kayla Putzke '24 [4]
Ella Deschamps '25 [5-8]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 2 6 6 DNF 7 6 8 51 Lily Schwartz '25 [1-8]
Amelia Johnson '25 [1-5]
Sophie Leduc '26 [6-8]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 6 7 7 8 7 9 4 5 53 Niah Ford '26
Tia Schoening '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 8 8 9 5 5 7 7 56 Danielle Ketner '26 [1-4]
Laura Johnston '25 [5-8]
Julianna Skoglund '23 [1-4]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 5 9 5 6 6 9 9 58 Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25
Sofia Moreno '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 9 5 7 DNF 8 8 6 63 Ka Hamner '26
Zi Burns '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 11 10 11 10 DNF DNS DNS DNS 90 Emerson Bergan '25
Abigail Lydick '24
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 11 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 91 Abigail Austin '24
Gabrielle Moss '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11122233
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons2221111616
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles33344455
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles44433322
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs1313131414141515
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5556661111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins66655544
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1414141313131212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1111111212121313
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars12121211111166
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls15151516161611

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11122233
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons2221111616
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles33344455
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles44433322
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs1313131414141515
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5556661111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins66655544
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1414141313131212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1111111212121313
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars12121211111166
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls15151516161611
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Grace Squires '24 Chloe Hudgins '24
Cougars Emma Tallman '25 [1-8] Roxanne Snyder '23 [1-4]
Rowan Schanley '24 [5-8]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Eden Nykamp '25 [1-8] Elissa Martinez '23 [1, 3-8]
Tess Levanway '26 [2]
Tritons Lily Schwartz '25 [1-8] Amelia Johnson '25 [1-5]
Sophie Leduc '26 [6-8]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Kathleen Perry '24 Erica Johnson '26
Eagles Emerson Bergan '25 Abigail Lydick '24
Florida State University Florida State University Katie Nelson '24 Avery Harris '25
Seminoles Niah Ford '26 Tia Schoening '26
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Lauren Mellinger '25 Isabelle Pobanz '23
Yellow Jackets Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25 Sofia Moreno '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Emily Allen '25 [1-8] Reagan Carris '26 [1-5]
Mary Mann '23 [6-8]
Fins Kaitlyn Liebel '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Agija Elerte '26 [3-4]
Mary Mann '23 [1-2]
Ella Bilow '26 [3]
Kayla Putzke '24 [4]
Ella Deschamps '25 [5-8]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Olivia Sowa '24 Abby Scudder '24
Wolfpack Isabella Du Plessis '25 Annika Milstien '25
Rollins College Rollins College Carly Orhan '23 Angelina Khourisader '23
Tars Ka Hamner '26 Zi Burns '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Sarah Weese '24 Madeline Shepard '24
Bulldogs Abigail Austin '24 Gabrielle Moss '23
University of Miami University of Miami Sandra Heilshorn '23 Olivia Campmany '25
Hurricanes Danielle Ketner '26 [1-4]
Laura Johnston '25 [5-8]
Julianna Skoglund '23 [1-4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Sydney Monahan '23 [1-4]
Kay Brunsvold '25 [5-8]
Olivia Smith '23 [1-4]
Bulls Emma Shakespeare '24 Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24

Conditions — 04/15/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From SW (235°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover33% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1015.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn* · SW 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.37 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →