SAISA North Spring Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 20 11 31
2 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 16 22 38
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 12 28 40
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 23 29 52
5 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 34 22 56
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 33 24 57
7 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 31 55 86
8 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 47 44 91
9 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 54 44 98
10 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 56 55 111
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 1 4 1 1 2 12 Ashton Loring '26
Paige Phillips '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 2 3 3 2 1 16 Andrew Simpson '27
Evelyn Earnhardt '25
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 7 3 2 2 3 3 20 Kathleen Hale '26
Julia Brighton '27
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 5 1 4 5 4 23 Andrew Ettlemyer '27
Sarah Lillard '26
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 6 6 7 4 7 31 Roberto Martelli '24
Abby Van Brimmer '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 7 7 6 6 5 33 John Richards '26
Joseph Morgan '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils BKD 4 5 5 8 6 34 Ian Hoogenboom '25
Rio Asaka '26
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 6 8 8 8 7 10 47 Matthew Blessington '24
Danielle Clement '26
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 8 9 9 9 10 9 54
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 9 10 10 10 9 8 56 Damian Uzonwanne '27
Preston Cyr '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 2 4 1 1 2 1 11 May Proctor '27
Sarina Schmoyer '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 1 1 3 4 5 8 22 Ian Connolly '25
William Robertson '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 2 2 5 4 6 22 Sam Woodley '26
Luke Novak '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 3 5 6 3 3 24 Tucker Parks '25
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 7 10 4 2 1 4 28 Max Braun '25
Lucas Bush '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 6 5 7 3 6 2 29 Robert Gates '26 [1-3]
Emma Gouiran '24 [4-6]
Sam Lookadoo '25 [1-3]
Jenna Palmer '24 [4-6]
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 5 6 6 9 7 DNS 44
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 8 7 9 7 8 5 44 Kate Pierce '24
Kyle Shrewsbury '25
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 9 8 10 10 DSQ 7 55 Edward Lucas Brady '27
Thomas Hester '27
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 9 8 8 DSQ 9 55 James Keller '25
Francesca Ruhe '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs555779
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111335
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils222446
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs6668810
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets333557
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels777991
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444668
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks999113
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers101010224
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks88810102

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs6668810
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222446
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils333557
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs777991
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets444668
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels88810102
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555779
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks101010224
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers111335
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks999113

Conditions — 02/17/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From NNW (339°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.4 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1012.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.22 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →