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UNCW Trophy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 22 19 41
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 33 22 55
3 Clemson University Clemson University Orange 43 16 59
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 42 46 88
5 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 33 58 91
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 40 56 96
7 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 50 74 124
8 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 65 66 131
9 Clemson University Clemson University Purple 80 76 156
10 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 109 50 159
11 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 61 103 164
12 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 97 77 174
13 Clemson University Clemson University White 86 89 175
14 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 96 95 191
15 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 103 113 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 1 4 1 1 2 1 8 22 Charles Mckenzie '25
Nina Lubchenco '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 4 2 7 6 5 6 1 33 Benjamin Usher '27 [1-8]
Marc Hauenstein '27 [1-6]
Lindsey Mcdonough '25 [7-8]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 3 2 6 3 7 1 9 2 33 Ian Hoogenboom '25
Jack Wigmore '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 1 5 8 2 3 9 7 5 40 Maddison Carew '27
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 7 5 6 2 8 2 3 42 Nilah Miller '25
Sam Heighway '25
Clemson University Clemson University Orange 10 6 1 8 4 4 3 7 43 Rowan Barnes '26
Vanessa Marahrens '26
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 5 8 9 5 5 6 8 4 50 Kathleen Hale '26 [1-6]
Jessica Baugh '27 [7-8]
Julia Brighton '27 [1-6]
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 7 3 10 4 8 11 5 13 61 Dylan Flack '27 [1-7]
Quinn Healey '27 [8]
Dylan Flack '27 [1-5, 7]
Amelia Dunat '25 [6, 8]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 6 9 12 13 9 3 4 9 65 Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26
Eli Perl '25
Clemson University Clemson University Purple 12 10 3 10 10 14 11 10 80 Samantha Bialek '24
Dillan Smith '27
Clemson University Clemson University White 11 11 7 9 12 12 12 12 86 Garrett Cook '24
Jonathan Caruso '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 8 12 14 11 13 10 14 14 96 Robert Gates '26
Alana Vodicka '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 15 15 13 12 11 7 13 11 97 Hailey Hathaway '26 [1-8]
Abbi Barnette '26 [1-6]
Luke Novak '27 [7-8]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 14 13 15 15 15 15 10 6 103 Danielle Clement '26
Matthew Blessington '24
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 13 14 11 14 14 13 15 15 109 Joey Dunn '25 [1-8]
Lizzie Anderson '23 [1-3, 7-8]
Rebecca Koch '25 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Orange 2 6 1 1 3 1 1 1 16 Ashton Loring '26
Carter Durst '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 19 Harrison Thomson '26
Grace Beard '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 2 4 3 5 3 2 2 22 Jacob Usher '25 [1-8]
Jacob Friend '25 [1-3, 7-8]
Magnolia Smith '25 [4-6]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 4 9 4 1 4 4 11 46 Antonio Priskich '27
Paige Phillips '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 10 7 3 5 6 7 6 6 50 Torin Stremlau '25
Carley Yount '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 7 5 7 8 13 5 8 3 56 Annika Milstien '25
Shea Hoffacker '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 4 8 8 6 7 6 9 10 58 Ryan Froeb '27
Kay Lyon '27
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 5 3 5 9 8 14 13 9 66 Noah Jost '27 [1-3]
Runyon Tyler '26 [4-8]
Megan Miller '26 [1-3]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 12 11 12 7 4 8 7 13 74 May Proctor '27 [1-8]
Sarina Schmoyer '27 [1-3, 7-8]
Jessica Baugh '27 [4-6]
Clemson University Clemson University Purple 11 9 6 10 12 9 5 14 76 Jack Houseal '27
Jackson Ward '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 6 10 10 12 10 11 11 7 77 Erin Winters '25
Tonya Hakim '25
Clemson University Clemson University White 8 13 14 14 15 10 10 5 89 Matthew Laufer '27
Ellie Spicer '27
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 14 14 13 11 9 12 14 8 95 Tyler Williams '26 [1-8]
Theodore Cirone '26 [1-6]
Tyler Feldheim '26 [7-8]
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 13 12 11 13 14 13 15 12 103 Charles Palmer '26 [1-4, 6-8]
Yolanda Fan '27 [5]
Maria Bassett '27 [1-4, 6-8]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 15 15 15 15 11 15 12 15 113 Danielle Clement '26
Matthew Blessington '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars55577799
Clemson UniversityClemson University Orange22244466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Purple33355577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11133355
Clemson UniversityClemson University White44466688
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils6668881010
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Rams1010101212121414
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels9991111111313
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University LadyPack8881010101212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack7779991111
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks13131315151522
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers14141411133
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1111111313131515
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub12121214141411
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons15151522244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars6668881010
Clemson UniversityClemson University Orange33355577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Purple44466688
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22244466
Clemson UniversityClemson University White55577799
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils7779991111
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Rams1111111313131515
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels1010101212121414
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University LadyPack9991111111313
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8881010101212
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks14141411133
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers15151522244
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks12121214141411
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub13131315151522
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons11133355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clemson University Clemson University Rowan Barnes '26 Vanessa Marahrens '26
Orange Ashton Loring '26 Carter Durst '26
Clemson University Clemson University Samantha Bialek '24 Dillan Smith '27
Purple Jack Houseal '27 Jackson Ward '25
Clemson University Clemson University Nilah Miller '25 Sam Heighway '25
Tigers Antonio Priskich '27 Paige Phillips '25
Clemson University Clemson University Garrett Cook '24 Jonathan Caruso '25
White Matthew Laufer '27 Ellie Spicer '27
College of Charleston College of Charleston Charles Mckenzie '25 Nina Lubchenco '25
Cougars Harrison Thomson '26 Grace Beard '25
Duke University Duke University Ian Hoogenboom '25 Jack Wigmore '27
Blue Devils Ryan Froeb '27 Kay Lyon '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Maddison Carew '27 Jane Caroline Minchew '25
LadyPack Annika Milstien '25 Shea Hoffacker '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Benjamin Usher '27 [1-8] Marc Hauenstein '27 [1-6]
Lindsey Mcdonough '25 [7-8]
Wolfpack Jacob Usher '25 [1-8] Jacob Friend '25 [1-3, 7-8]
Magnolia Smith '25 [4-6]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26 Eli Perl '25
Rams Noah Jost '27 [1-3]
Runyon Tyler '26 [4-8]		 Megan Miller '26 [1-3]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Kathleen Hale '26 [1-6]
Jessica Baugh '27 [7-8]		 Julia Brighton '27 [1-6]
Tar Heels May Proctor '27 [1-8] Sarina Schmoyer '27 [1-3, 7-8]
Jessica Baugh '27 [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Hailey Hathaway '26 [1-8] Abbi Barnette '26 [1-6]
Luke Novak '27 [7-8]
Seahawks Erin Winters '25 Tonya Hakim '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Joey Dunn '25 [1-8] Lizzie Anderson '23 [1-3, 7-8]
Rebecca Koch '25 [4-6]
The Dub Torin Stremlau '25 Carley Yount '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Robert Gates '26 Alana Vodicka '26
Gamecocks Tyler Williams '26 [1-8] Theodore Cirone '26 [1-6]
Tyler Feldheim '26 [7-8]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Danielle Clement '26 Matthew Blessington '24
Volunteers Danielle Clement '26 Matthew Blessington '24
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Dylan Flack '27 [1-7]
Quinn Healey '27 [8]		 Dylan Flack '27 [1-5, 7]
Amelia Dunat '25 [6, 8]
Demon Deacons Charles Palmer '26 [1-4, 6-8]
Yolanda Fan '27 [5]		 Maria Bassett '27 [1-4, 6-8]

Conditions — 03/02/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1020.0 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1020.0 hPa Rain0.25 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.27 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →