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Halifax River Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 21 16 37
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 25 22 47
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 34 20 54
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 30 30 60
5 University of Miami University of Miami 'Canes 41 19 60
6 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 23 45 68
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 41 27 68
8 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 38 42 80
9 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 37 57 94
10 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 40 59 99
11 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 66 59 125
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 6 1 9 2 2 21 Stefanos Pappas '25
Natalie Dunlap '28
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 3 9 3 3 4 1 23 Dawson Kohl '27
Emma Kilcollins '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 2 2 8 8 25 Joe Seiffert '25
Sarah Goodyear '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 8 7 1 5 4 30 Oliver West '27
Gizela Kohan '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 7 4 8 8 1 6 34 Beatriz Newland '27
Hannes Leonard '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 4 5 5 6 10 7 37 Charlie Eckert '27
Emma Salomon '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 6 1 9 7 6 9 38 Zechariah Frantz '25
Jay Hay '27
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 10 2 4 10 9 5 40 Ayden Feria '27
Jay Teters '27
University of Miami University of Miami 'Canes 8 10 6 4 3 10 41 Brendan Jay '27
Dan Elling '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 9 7 10 5 7 3 41 Jack Adderley '28 [1-6]
Henry Campbell '25 [1-3]
Alexander Goldsmith '28 [4-6]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 11 11 11 11 11 11 66 Abigail Hesterhagen '28
Thomas Mccormack Iii '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 6 3 1 2 1 3 16 Darby Smith '28
Roman Borger '26
University of Miami University of Miami 'Canes 1 4 3 5 2 4 19 Christopher Mccollum '28
James Hopkins '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 2 5 4 3 1 20 Zach O'Connor '27
Sarah Percy '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 1 6 1 4 6 22 Mason Mattice '28
Conner Brandon '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 5 2 6 5 7 27 Matthew Sexton '28 [1-3]
Milo Fleming '28 [4-6]
Sam Frushone '27 [1-3]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 6 4 3 8 2 30 Harrison Vanderground '28
Brady Briggs '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 9 7 8 7 6 5 42 Timothy Dolan '25
Christopher Cunha '28
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 3 8 7 9 10 8 45 Nathan Hjort '27 [1-6]
Mason Oleniczak '28 [1-3]
Kaylee King '28 [4-6]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 8 10 11 8 9 11 57 Ashley Flanagan '27
Tyra Dimatteo '27
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 10 9 9 10 11 10 59 Aaron Lukowski '28
Ali Hussain '25
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 11 11 10 11 7 9 59 Rajshibhu Pandey '27
Sean Clark '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles111333
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators888101010
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers222444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins333555
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami 'Canes101010111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes999111111
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish555777
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars666888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111111222
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights777999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators999111111
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers333555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins555777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444666
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami 'Canes111111222
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes101010111
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish666888
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars777999
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111333
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights888101010

Conditions — 03/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From W (262°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1015.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Embry-Riddle: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Embry-Riddle by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Embry-Riddle, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →