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South Points 5 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Pine View School Pine View School Pythons 26 13 39
2 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 37 23 60
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 32 29 61
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 35 39 74
5 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Varsity 49 38 87
6 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 64 39 103
7 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 56 51 107
8 Sarasota Military Academy Sarasota Military Academy Eagles 55 60 115
9 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 46 73 119
10 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 75 81 156
11 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 90 80 170
12 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 114 78 192
13 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 99 99 198
14 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Varsity 111 91 202
15 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 105 98 203
16 The Pine School The Pine School Varsity Knights 81 136 217
17 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 120 103 223
18 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Varsity 131 101 232
19 Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 105 132 237
20 Varsity Varsity Varsity 104 MRP 137 MRP 241 MRP
21 Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 125 147 272
22 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 147 150 297
23 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 166 MRP 178 MRP 344 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Pine View School Pine View School Pythons 1 8 1 3 3 5 5 26 Nick Hernandez '15
Garrett Lawlor '16
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 9 4 2 2 4 10 1 32 Shawn Harvey '17 [1-7]
Adrianne Han '16 [1-4, 7]
Jax Malloy '16 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 8 10 3 4 1 3 6 35 Christopher Williford '15
Max Gillette '16
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 3 19 9 1 2 1 2 37 Patrick Shanahan '15
Peninah Benjamin '16
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 5 6 12 5 12 2 4 46 Shane Riera '17
George Williams '16
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Varsity 2 9 10 6 7 12 3 49 Preston Senior '15
Claire Anderson '15
Sarasota Military Academy Sarasota Military Academy Eagles 7 11 5 10 9 6 7 55 Bogan Whitehead '15
Casey Goers '15
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 7 4 15 5 8 11 56 Jack Johansson '17 [1-7]
Benito Guido '16 [1-4, 7]
Pere Puig '15 [5-6]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 14 1 8 12 10 4 15 64 Brandon Kirby '16
Alex Commette '17
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 15 12 16 7 8 9 8 75 Nico Schultz '16 [1-7]
Jasmine Dahlby '15 [1-2]
Anna Millbourn '18 [3-7]
The Pine School The Pine School Varsity Knights 4 2 14 13 13 16 19 81 Aj Lettengarver '15
Erin Spellman '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 11 13 7 18 15 14 12 90 Meleah Davies '15
Marti Macdonald '15
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 10 22 11 14 19 7 16 99 Emmet Ward '16
Aislyn Graves '20
Varsity Varsity Varsity 12 14 6 11 11 13 17 104 MRP
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 16 3 20 17 6 22 21 105 Matthew Magardino '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Puzak '18 [3-4, 7]
Kaytlyn Drouin '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Askar '18 [3-4, 7]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 17 5 17 16 21 20 9 105 Nevin Avila '16 [1-7]
Michael Malkiewicz '16 [1-4]
Ethan Myott '17 [5-6]
Hanna Brydon '17 [7]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Varsity 18 OCS 15 9 17 18 10 111 Nicholas Giacobbe '15
Jack Daye '17
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 21 17 19 8 20 11 18 114 Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-7]
Trevor Tigges '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Ochalek '17 [3-4, 7]
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 22 20 13 21 16 15 13 120 Lilly Capiola '19 [1-7]
Devin Sushil '16 [1-4, 7]
Mathew Regala '16 [5-6]
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 19 15 22 22 14 19 14 125 Tori Davis '15 [1-7]
Elizabeth Davis '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Brett Boreham '15 [3-4, 7]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Varsity 20 16 21 19 18 17 20 131 Mikaela Munao '18
Adriana Munao '16
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 23 21 18 20 22 21 22 147 Blaire Mccarthy '18
Phillip Peterson '17
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 13 18 23 23 23 23 23 166 MRP Ariel Casaretto '17
Genevieve Selden '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Pine View School Pine View School Pythons 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 13 Louisa Nordstrom '16
Zack Jordan '16
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 2 6 3 2 2 7 1 23 Nic Baird '15 [1-7]
Andreea Ranney-Pace '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Cole Smith '15 [3-4]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 4 5 1 3 4 8 4 29 Andrew Swedlow '18 [1-7]
Vera Mariani '16 [1-2, 7]
Dylan Denman '15 [3-6]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Varsity 5 4 8 4 5 3 9 38 Holly Wells '16
Erica Brown '17
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 3 1 11 7 7 5 5 39 Ian Macdiarmid '17
Delaney Brown '16
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 6 7 4 13 3 4 2 39 Mack Fox '16 [1-7]
Dae Kelly '17 [1-4]
John Monahan '16 [5-7]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 7 2 7 9 9 6 11 51 Sean Brennan '17 [1-7]
Nick Bellitti '15 [1-4]
Timothy Kaplan '16 [5-7]
Sarasota Military Academy Sarasota Military Academy Eagles 8 11 10 5 11 1 14 60 Angelo Mehtala '15
Matt Pelisek '17
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 10 17 9 10 8 12 7 73 Olivia De Olazarra '18
Lanier Williams '18
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 13 14 14 8 10 11 8 78 Trevor Bornarth '18 [1-7]
Nick Ochalek '17 [1-2]
Andrew Hammond '16 [3-7]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 15 13 6 11 15 10 10 80 Sinead Mcmanus '16
Charlotte Mack '17
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 12 15 5 6 13 14 16 81 Jasmine Dahlby '15
Audrey Scanlon '15
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Varsity 14 12 12 18 6 17 12 91 Zachary Boogaart '16
Tommy Kilcourse '16
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 21 16 19 15 12 9 6 98 Daniel Denison '17 [1-7]
Kurban Ali '17 [1-2]
Joshua Renault '17 [3-4]
Connor Friel '17 [5-6]
Hanna Brydon '17 [7]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 9 10 15 12 18 18 17 99 Chase Burwell '17
Tucker Mc Elwaney '18
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Varsity 16 9 16 16 16 13 15 101 Cameron Kuchar '17
Ryan Corrick '16
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 11 8 17 17 14 15 21 103 Savannah Irvin '16 [1-7]
Jonathan Theobald '16 [1-6]
Mathew Regala '16 [7]
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 19 20 18 20 19 16 20 132 Kyle Jaffe '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Landon Micelle '15 [3-4, 7]
Kristina Puzak '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Jaffe '16 [3-4, 7]
The Pine School The Pine School Varsity Knights 17 18 20 19 20 20 22 136 Annemiek Doedens '15
Hugh Herlin '15
Varsity Varsity Varsity 22 19 13 14 17 19 13 137 MRP
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 20 23 21 21 21 22 19 147 Anna Feins '15 [1-7]
Kacy Spencer '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Jakob Germann '17 [3-4, 7]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 23 21 23 22 22 21 18 150 Tanner Mcfadden '15 [1-7]
Nicole Sieling '15 [1-4]
Emma Cronin '15 [5-7]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 18 22 22 DNF DNF DNF DNF 178 MRP Ariel Casaretto '17
Genevieve Selden '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity22222424113
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders1919222224241
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Varsity2244779
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity13131515171719
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers881010121214
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Varsity10101212141416
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity14141616181821
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity23232525224
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy Thunderwolves16161818212123
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity252522447
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pythons7799111113
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Varsity15151717191922
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1133668
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders2121232325252
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors44779911
Sarasota Military AcademySarasota Military Academy Eagles33668810
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity11111313151517
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers12121414161618
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS991111131315
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils18182121232325
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Varsity Knights17171919222224
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors6688101012
VarsityVarsity Varsity242411336

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity23232525224
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2121232325252
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Varsity33668810
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity14141616181821
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers991111131315
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Varsity11111313151517
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity15151717191922
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity242411336
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy Thunderwolves17171919222224
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity1133668
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pythons881010121214
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Varsity16161818212123
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders2244779
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders22222424113
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors6688101012
Sarasota Military AcademySarasota Military Academy Eagles44779911
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity12121414161618
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers13131515171719
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS10101212141416
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1919222224241
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Varsity Knights18182121232325
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors7799111113
VarsityVarsity Varsity252522447
School / Team SkipperCrew
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Matthew Magardino '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Puzak '18 [3-4, 7]		 Kaytlyn Drouin '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Askar '18 [3-4, 7]
Varsity Kyle Jaffe '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Landon Micelle '15 [3-4, 7]		 Kristina Puzak '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Jaffe '16 [3-4, 7]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Jack Johansson '17 [1-7] Benito Guido '16 [1-4, 7]
Pere Puig '15 [5-6]
Raiders Sean Brennan '17 [1-7] Nick Bellitti '15 [1-4]
Timothy Kaplan '16 [5-7]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Preston Senior '15 Claire Anderson '15
Varsity Holly Wells '16 Erica Brown '17
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Nicholas Giacobbe '15 Jack Daye '17
Varsity Zachary Boogaart '16 Tommy Kilcourse '16
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Nevin Avila '16 [1-7] Michael Malkiewicz '16 [1-4]
Ethan Myott '17 [5-6]
Hanna Brydon '17 [7]
Varsity Daniel Denison '17 [1-7] Kurban Ali '17 [1-2]
Joshua Renault '17 [3-4]
Connor Friel '17 [5-6]
Hanna Brydon '17 [7]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Mikaela Munao '18 Adriana Munao '16
Varsity Cameron Kuchar '17 Ryan Corrick '16
Martin County High School Martin County High School Meleah Davies '15 Marti Macdonald '15
Tigers Sinead Mcmanus '16 Charlotte Mack '17
Naples High School Naples High School Lilly Capiola '19 [1-7] Devin Sushil '16 [1-4, 7]
Mathew Regala '16 [5-6]
Varsity Savannah Irvin '16 [1-7] Jonathan Theobald '16 [1-6]
Mathew Regala '16 [7]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Emmet Ward '16 Aislyn Graves '20
Varsity Chase Burwell '17 Tucker Mc Elwaney '18
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Brandon Kirby '16 Alex Commette '17
Thunderwolves Ian Macdiarmid '17 Delaney Brown '16
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Ariel Casaretto '17 Genevieve Selden '15
Varsity Ariel Casaretto '17 Genevieve Selden '15
Pine View School Pine View School Nick Hernandez '15 Garrett Lawlor '16
Pythons Louisa Nordstrom '16 Zack Jordan '16
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Shawn Harvey '17 [1-7] Adrianne Han '16 [1-4, 7]
Jax Malloy '16 [5-6]
Raiders Andrew Swedlow '18 [1-7] Vera Mariani '16 [1-2, 7]
Dylan Denman '15 [3-6]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Nico Schultz '16 [1-7] Jasmine Dahlby '15 [1-2]
Anna Millbourn '18 [3-7]
Sailors Jasmine Dahlby '15 Audrey Scanlon '15
Sarasota Military Academy Sarasota Military Academy Bogan Whitehead '15 Casey Goers '15
Eagles Angelo Mehtala '15 Matt Pelisek '17
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Tori Davis '15 [1-7] Elizabeth Davis '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Brett Boreham '15 [3-4, 7]
Varsity Anna Feins '15 [1-7] Kacy Spencer '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Jakob Germann '17 [3-4, 7]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Patrick Shanahan '15 Peninah Benjamin '16
Chargers Nic Baird '15 [1-7] Andreea Ranney-Pace '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Cole Smith '15 [3-4]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-7] Trevor Tigges '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Ochalek '17 [3-4, 7]
SF BULLDOGS Trevor Bornarth '18 [1-7] Nick Ochalek '17 [1-2]
Andrew Hammond '16 [3-7]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Blaire Mccarthy '18 Phillip Peterson '17
Green Devils Tanner Mcfadden '15 [1-7] Nicole Sieling '15 [1-4]
Emma Cronin '15 [5-7]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Christopher Williford '15 Max Gillette '16
Raiders Mack Fox '16 [1-7] Dae Kelly '17 [1-4]
John Monahan '16 [5-7]
The Pine School The Pine School Aj Lettengarver '15 Erin Spellman '17
Varsity Knights Annemiek Doedens '15 Hugh Herlin '15
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Shane Riera '17 George Williams '16
Warriors Olivia De Olazarra '18 Lanier Williams '18

Conditions — 01/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1024.6 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From NNE (21°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1024.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →