Navigate

Great Oak Qual Group B

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 12 12
2 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 20 20
3 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 27 27
4 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 30 30
5 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 33 33
6 Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 35 35
7 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 38 38
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 43 43
9 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 53 53
10 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 56 56
11 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 58 58
12 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 68 68
13 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 75 75
14 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 83 83
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 1 3 4 2 1 12 Jack Schweda '20
Gavin Burkhart '16
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 9 6 1 1 1 2 20 Josh Sullivan '16 [1-2]
Toby Sullivan '19 [3-6]
Toby Sullivan '19 [1-2]
Josh Sullivan '16 [3-6]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 4 3 5 6 5 4 27 Jack Behrend '16
Paul Mclean '17
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 3 9 2 3 6 7 30 Jemima Korbel '18
Casteel Lisac '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 2 8 6 8 4 5 33 Grant Kojaian '16
Wade Lorimer '16
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 8 4 4 2 9 8 35 Samuel Bartel '18 [1-6]
Rachel Bartel '20 [1-3]
Erik Sundberg '17 [4-6]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 7 11 9 5 3 3 38 Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16
David Phlamm '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 5 5 8 7 8 10 43 Brant Bolling '16
Jonathan Prins '16
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 6 7 10 9 10 11 53 Gloria Kevliciute '17
Caroline Bernet '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 13 10 7 10 7 9 56 Charlie Hicks '16
Mckenna Miller '16
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 10 2 12 11 11 12 58 Joey Simpson '17
Walker Mullin '19
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 12 12 11 12 OCS 6 68 James Zampa '16 [1-3]
Rowan Henke '17 [4-5]
Han-Ray Jahn '17 [6]
Linnea Lipson '16 [1, 4, 6]
Han-Ray Jahn '17 [2, 5]
Rowan Henke '17 [3]
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 11 13 13 13 12 13 75 Katie Krauska '17 [1]
Lucas Haarstad '17 [2-6]
Elise Krauska '19 [1]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 14 14 14 14 13 14 83 Chris Hummel '18
Sam Wojcik '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks112233
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red22111414
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Varsity334455
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity443322
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity556677
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity665544
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity778899
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity887766
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions9910101111
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Varsity10109988
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity111112121313
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red121211111010
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity1313141411
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Blue141413131212
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks Jack Schweda '20 Gavin Burkhart '16
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red Joey Simpson '17 Walker Mullin '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity Katie Krauska '17 [1]
Lucas Haarstad '17 [2-6]		 Elise Krauska '19 [1]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity Grant Kojaian '16 Wade Lorimer '16
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity James Zampa '16 [1-3]
Rowan Henke '17 [4-5]
Han-Ray Jahn '17 [6]		 Linnea Lipson '16 [1, 4, 6]
Han-Ray Jahn '17 [2, 5]
Rowan Henke '17 [3]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16 David Phlamm '18
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity Jack Behrend '16 Paul Mclean '17
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity Jemima Korbel '18 Casteel Lisac '18
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions Chris Hummel '18 Sam Wojcik '20
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity Josh Sullivan '16 [1-2]
Toby Sullivan '19 [3-6]		 Toby Sullivan '19 [1-2]
Josh Sullivan '16 [3-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity Samuel Bartel '18 [1-6] Rachel Bartel '20 [1-3]
Erik Sundberg '17 [4-6]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Brant Bolling '16 Jonathan Prins '16
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity Gloria Kevliciute '17 Caroline Bernet '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue Charlie Hicks '16 Mckenna Miller '16

Conditions — 09/26/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1023.8 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From E (82°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1023.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lake Forest Sailing: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Forest Sailing by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Lake Forest Sailing, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →